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This letter is concerned with solving continuous-discrete Gaussian smoothing problems by using the Taylor moment expansion (TME) scheme. In the proposed smoothing method, we apply the TME method to approximate the transition density of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Zheng Zhao , Simo Särkkä

This paper considers approximate smoothing for discretely observed non-linear stochastic differential equations. The problem is tackled by developing methods for linearising stochastic differential equations with respect to an arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-21 Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

The Bayesian smoothing equations are generally intractable for systems described by nonlinear stochastic differential equations and discrete-time measurements. Gaussian approximations are a computationally efficient way to approximate the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-05 Juha Ala-Luhtala , Simo Särkkä , Robert Piché

This thesis is mainly concerned with state-space approaches for solving deep (temporal) Gaussian process (DGP) regression problems. More specifically, we represent DGPs as hierarchically composed systems of stochastic differential equations…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-25 Zheng Zhao

In this paper the issue of filtering and smoothing in continuous discrete time is studied when the state variable evolves in some submanifold of Euclidean space, which may not have the usual Lebesgue measure. Formal expressions for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

We study the filtering and smoothing problem for continuous-time linear Gaussian systems. While classical approaches such as the Kalman-Bucy filter and the Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) smoother provide recursive formulas for the conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Masahiro Kurisaki

State estimation in heavy-tailed process and measurement noise is an important challenge that must be addressed in, e.g., tracking scenarios with agile targets and outlier-corrupted measurements. The performance of the Kalman filter (KF)…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-08 Michael Roth , Tohid Ardeshiri , Emre Özkan , Fredrik Gustafsson

Filtering and smoothing algorithms for linear discrete-time state-space models with skew-t-distributed measurement noise are proposed. The algorithms use a variational Bayes based posterior approximation with coupled location and skewness…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Henri Nurminen , Tohid Ardeshiri , Robert Piché , Fredrik Gustafsson

In this paper, we propose a new asymptotic expansion approach for nonlinear filtering based on a small parameter in the system noise. This method expresses the filtering distribution as a power series in the noise level, where the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-18 Masahiro Kurisaki

Estimating the state of a dynamical system from a series of noise-corrupted observations is fundamental in many areas of science and engineering. The most well-known method, the Kalman smoother (and the related Kalman filter), relies on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-24 Luca Ambrogioni , Umut Güçlü , Eric Maris , Marcel van Gerven

The Kalman filter and Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) smoother are optimal for state estimation in linear dynamic systems. With nonlinear systems, the challenge consists in how to propagate uncertainty through the state transitions and output…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

We consider the problem of `discrete-time persistence', which deals with the zero-crossings of a continuous stochastic process, X(T), measured at discrete times, T = n(\Delta T). For a Gaussian Stationary Process the persistence (no…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 George C. M. A. Ehrhardt , Alan J. Bray , Satya N. Majumdar

Practical Bayes filters often assume the state distribution of each time step to be Gaussian for computational tractability, resulting in the so-called Gaussian filters. When facing nonlinear systems, Gaussian filters such as extended…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-17 Wenhan Cao , Tianyi Zhang , Zeju Sun , Chang Liu , Stephen S. -T. Yau , Shengbo Eben Li

The solutions of Hamiltonian equations are known to describe the underlying phase space of a mechanical system. In this article, we propose a novel spatio-temporal model using a strategic modification of the Hamiltonian equations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Satyaki Mazumder , Sayantan Banerjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We consider the problem of approximating optimal in the Minimum Mean Squared Error (MMSE) sense nonlinear filters in a discrete time setting, exploiting properties of stochastically convergent state process approximations. More…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Dionysios S. Kalogerias , Athina P. Petropulu

We propose a principled algorithm for robust Bayesian filtering and smoothing in nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems when both the transition function and the measurement function are described by non-parametric Gaussian process (GP)…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-08-13 Marc Peter Deisenroth , Ryan Turner , Marco F. Huber , Uwe D. Hanebeck , Carl Edward Rasmussen

We present a general probabilistic perspective on Gaussian filtering and smoothing. This allows us to show that common approaches to Gaussian filtering/smoothing can be distinguished solely by their methods of computing/approximating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-09 Marc Peter Deisenroth , Henrik Ohlsson

Filtering and smoothing algorithms for linear discrete-time state-space models with skew-t distributed measurement noise are presented. The proposed algorithms improve upon our earlier proposed filter and smoother using the mean field…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Henri Nurminen , Tohid Ardeshiri , Robert Piche , Fredrik Gustafsson

In this paper, we propose a progressive Bayesian procedure, where the measurement information is continuously included into the given prior estimate (although we perform observations at discrete time steps). The key idea is to derive a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-04-03 Uwe D. Hanebeck , Jannik Steinbring

This paper develops a new nonlinear filter, called Moment-based Kalman Filter (MKF), using the exact moment propagation method. Existing state estimation methods use linearization techniques or sampling points to compute approximate values…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Yutaka Shimizu , Ashkan Jasour , Maani Ghaffari , Shinpei Kato
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