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For a given Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm we introduce a distance between two configurations that quantifies the difficulty of transition from one configuration to the other configuration. We argue that the distance takes a universal…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2018-03-21 Masafumi Fukuma , Nobuyuki Matsumoto , Naoya Umeda

In our previous work [1], we introduced to an arbitrary Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm a distance between configurations. This measures the difficulty of transition from one configuration to the other, and enables us to investigate the…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2018-12-05 Masafumi Fukuma , Nobuyuki Matsumoto , Naoya Umeda

The method of tempered transitions was proposed by Neal (1996) for tackling the difficulties arising when using Markov chain Monte Carlo to sample from multimodal distributions. In common with methods such as simulated tempering and…

Computation · Statistics 2012-09-11 Gundula Behrens , Nial Friel , Merrilee Hurn

Simulated tempering is popular method of allowing MCMC algorithms to move between modes of a multimodal target density {\pi}. One problem with simulated tempering for multimodal targets is that the weights of the various modes change for…

Computation · Statistics 2019-02-12 Nicholas G. Tawn , Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Parallel tempering is a meta-algorithm for Markov Chain Monte Carlo that uses multiple chains to sample from tempered versions of the target distribution, enhancing mixing in multi-modal distributions that are challenging for traditional…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-30 Daniel Zhao , Natesh S. Pillai

The tempered Lefschetz thimble method is a parallel-tempering algorithm towards solving the numerical sign problem. It uses the flow time of the gradient flow as a tempering parameter and is expected to tame both the sign and multimodal…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2019-12-25 Masafumi Fukuma , Nobuyuki Matsumoto , Naoya Umeda

The tempered Lefschetz thimble method (TLTM) is a parallel-tempering algorithm towards solving the numerical sign problem, where the system is tempered by the antiholomorphic gradient flow to tame both the sign and ergodicity problems…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2020-02-14 Masafumi Fukuma , Nobuyuki Matsumoto , Naoya Umeda

In order to characterize molecular structures we introduce configurational fingerprint vectors which are counterparts of quantities used experimentally to identify structures. The Euclidean distance between the configurational fingerprint…

The tempered Lefschetz thimble method (TLTM) is a parallel-tempering algorithm towards solving the numerical sign problem. It tames both the sign and ergodicity problems simultaneously by tempering the system with the flow time of…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2020-01-07 Masafumi Fukuma , Nobuyuki Matsumoto , Naoya Umeda

We derive new results comparing the asymptotic variance of diffusions by writing them as appropriate limits of discrete-time birth-death chains which themselves satisfy Peskun orderings. We then apply our results to simulated tempering…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-16 Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) provides asymptotically consistent estimates of intractable posterior expectations as the number of iterations tends to infinity. However, in large data applications, MCMC can be computationally expensive per…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-03 Niloy Biswas , Lester Mackey

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) has become routinely used for sampling from posterior distributions. Its extension Riemann manifold HMC (RMHMC) modifies the proposal kernel through distortion of local distances by a Riemannian metric. The…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-21 Akihiko Nishimura , David Dunson

We propose a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm based on Gibbs sampling with parallel tempering to solve nonlinear optimal control problems. The algorithm is applicable to nonlinear systems with dynamics that can be approximately…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-10 João Hespanha , Kerem Camsari

The algorithm based on integration over Lefschetz thimbles is a promising method to resolve the sign problem for complex actions. However, this algorithm often meets a difficulty in actual Monte Carlo calculations because the configuration…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2019-12-06 Masafumi Fukuma , Naoya Umeda

Metastability is a formidable challenge to Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. In this paper we present methods for algorithm design to meet this challenge. The design problem we consider is temperature selection for the infinite swapping…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-12 Paul Dupuis , Guo-Jhen Wu

Modern problems in astronomical Bayesian inference require efficient methods for sampling from complex, high-dimensional, often multi-modal probability distributions. Most popular methods, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling, perform…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-03-16 Will Vousden , Will M. Farr , Ilya Mandel

Simulated tempering is a widely used strategy for sampling from multimodal distributions. In this paper, we consider simulated tempering combined with an arbitrary local Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler and present a new decomposition…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-06 Jhanvi Garg , Krishna Balasubramanian , Quan Zhou

We develop a novel Monte Carlo algorithm for the vector consisting of the supremum, the time at which the supremum is attained and the position at a given (constant) time of an exponentially tempered L\'evy process. The algorithm, based on…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-20 Jorge Ignacio González Cázares , Aleksandar Mijatović

In the context of Bayesian inversion for scientific and engineering modeling, Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling strategies are the benchmark due to their flexibility and robustness in dealing with arbitrary posterior probability density…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-07 Han Lu , Mohammad Khalil , Thomas Catanach , Jiefu Chen , Xuqing Wu , Xin Fu , Cosmin Safta , Yueqin Huang

The Expectation Maximisation (EM) algorithm is widely used to optimise non-convex likelihood functions with latent variables. Many authors modified its simple design to fit more specific situations. For instance, the Expectation (E) step…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Thomas Lartigue , Stanley Durrleman , Stéphanie Allassonnière
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