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Exponential random graph models are extremely difficult models to handle from a statistical viewpoint, since their normalising constant, which depends on model parameters, is available only in very trivial cases. We show how inference can…

Applications · Statistics 2010-09-30 Alberto Caimo , Nial Friel

Hyperbolic models are known to produce networks with properties observed empirically in most network datasets, including heavy-tailed degree distribution, high clustering, and hierarchical structures. As a result, several embeddings…

Computation · Statistics 2025-05-16 Simon Lizotte , Jean-Gabriel Young , Antoine Allard

A quality-Bayesian approach, combining the direct sampling method and the Bayesian inversion, is proposed to reconstruct the locations and intensities of the unknown acoustic sources using partial data. First, we extend the direct sampling…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Zhaoxing Li , Yanfang Liu , Jiguang Sun , Liwei Xu

The efficient resolution of Bayesian inverse problems remains challenging due to the high computational cost of traditional sampling methods. In this paper, we propose a novel framework that integrates Conditional Flow Matching (CFM) with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Daniil Sherki , Ivan Oseledets , Ekaterina Muravleva

In this work we investigate the ability of a kinetic approach for traffic dynamics to predict speed distributions obtained through rough data. The present approach adopts the formalism of uncertainty quantification, since reaction strengths…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-04-07 M. Herty , A. Tosin , G. Visconti , M. Zanella

To improve the routing decisions of individual drivers and the management policies designed by traffic operators, one needs reliable estimates of travel time distributions. Since congestion caused by both recurrent patterns (e.g., rush…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-13 Nikki Levering , Marko Boon , Michel Mandjes

Bayesian inference in deep neural networks is challenging due to the high-dimensional, strongly multi-modal parameter posterior density landscape. Markov chain Monte Carlo approaches asymptotically recover the true posterior but are…

A most important aspect in the field of traffic modeling is the simulation of bottleneck situations. For their realistic description a macroscopic multi-lane model for uni-directional freeways including acceleration, deceleration, velocity…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Dirk Helbing

This paper presents two one-dimensional mathematical models describing automobile traffic flow on straight road segments at a signalized intersection. When the traffic light is permissive, the flow density and velocity are obtained by…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Akbota Senkebayeva

This work introduces a sampling method capable of solving Bayesian inverse problems in function space. It does not assume the log-concavity of the likelihood, meaning that it is compatible with nonlinear inverse problems. The method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-27 Lorenzo Baldassari , Ali Siahkoohi , Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna , Maarten V. de Hoop

The formulation of Bayesian inverse problems involves choosing prior distributions; choices that seem equally reasonable may lead to significantly different conclusions. We develop a computational approach to better understand the impact of…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-08 John E. Darges , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud

We address the numerical solution of infinite-dimensional inverse problems in the framework of Bayesian inference. In the Part I companion to this paper (arXiv.org:1308.1313), we considered the linearized infinite-dimensional inverse…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-14 Noemi Petra , James Martin , Georg Stadler , Omar Ghattas

We consider mixed model of traffic flow distribution in large networks (BMW model, 1954 & Stable Dynamic model, 1999). We build dual problem and consider primal-dual mirror descent method for the dual problem. There are two ways to recover…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-16 Alexander Gasnikov , Evgenia Gasnikova , Yurii Nesterov

In many applications, Bayesian inverse problems can give rise to probability distributions which contain complexities due to the Hessian varying greatly across parameter space. This complexity often manifests itself as lower dimensional…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-28 Simon L. Cotter , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Paul Russell

The simulation of traffic flow on networks requires knowledge on the behavior across traffic intersections. For macroscopic models based on hyperbolic conservation laws there exist nowadays many ad-hoc models describing this behavior. Based…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Michael Herty , Niklas Kolbe

We introduce an approach for efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for challenging high-dimensional distributions in sparse Bayesian learning (SBL). The core innovation involves using hierarchical prior-normalizing transport…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Jan Glaubitz , Youssef Marzouk

The control of traffic signals is fundamental and critical to alleviate traffic congestion in urban areas. However, it is challenging since traffic dynamics are complicated in real-world scenarios. Because of the high complexity of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-10 Hu Wang , Hao Chen , Qi Wu , Congbo Ma , Yidong Li , Chunhua Shen

In performing a Bayesian analysis, two difficult problems often emerge. First, in estimating the parameters of some model for the data, the resulting posterior distribution may be multi-modal or exhibit pronounced (curving) degeneracies.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2013-12-20 F. Feroz , J. Skilling

Hierarchical models in Bayesian inverse problems are characterized by an assumed prior probability distribution for the unknown state and measurement error precision, and hyper-priors for the prior parameters. Combining these probability…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-10 Arvind K. Saibaba , Johnathan Bardsley , D. Andrew Brown , Alen Alexanderian

Inverse problems are prevalent in both scientific research and engineering applications. In the context of Bayesian inverse problems, sampling from the posterior distribution can be particularly challenging when the forward models are…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-17 Zhihang Xu , Xiaoyu Zhu , Daoji Li , Qifeng Liao