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Traditional approaches in mental health research apply General Linear Models (GLM) to describe the longitudinal dynamics of observed psycho-behavioral measurements (questionnaire summary scores). Similarly, GLMs are also applied to…

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are one of the most widely used statistical methods for analyzing sequence data. However, the reporting of output from HMMs has largely been restricted to the presentation of the most-probable (MAP) hidden state…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-01 Michalis K. Titsias , Christopher Yau , Christopher C. Holmes

In this paper, we propose circular Hidden Quantum Markov Models (c-HQMMs), which can be applied for modeling temporal data in quantum datasets (with classical datasets as a special case). We show that c-HQMMs are equivalent to a constrained…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-11-03 Mohammad Ali Javidian , Vaneet Aggarwal , Zubin Jacob

Variable order sequence modeling is an important problem in artificial and natural intelligence. While overcomplete Hidden Markov Models (HMMs), in theory, have the capacity to represent long-term temporal structure, they often fail to…

The proliferation of malware variants poses a significant challenges to traditional malware detection approaches, such as signature-based methods, necessitating the development of advanced machine learning techniques. In this research, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Ritik Mehta , Olha Jureckova , Mark Stamp

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are ubiquitous in time-series modelling, with applications ranging from chemical reaction modelling to speech recognition. These HMMs are often large, with high-dimensional memories. A recently-proposed…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-23 Rishi Sundar , Thomas Elliott

Gaussian process state-space model (GPSSM) is a fully probabilistic state-space model that has attracted much attention over the past decade. However, the outputs of the transition function in the existing GPSSMs are assumed to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-16 Zhidi Lin , Lei Cheng , Feng Yin , Lexi Xu , Shuguang Cui

We investigate a novel modeling approach for end-to-end neural network training using hidden Markov models (HMM) where the transition probabilities between hidden states are modeled and learned explicitly. Most contemporary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Daniel Mann , Tina Raissi , Wilfried Michel , Ralf Schlüter , Hermann Ney

A Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is a common statistical model which is widely used for analysis of biological sequence data and other sequential phenomena. In the present paper we show how HMMs can be extended with side-constraints and present…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-08-02 Henning Christiansen , Christian Theil Have , Ole Torp Lassen , Matthieu Petit

The problems of large-scale multiple testing are often encountered in modern scientific researches. Conventional multiple testing procedures usually suffer considerable loss of testing efficiency due to the lack of consideration of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-21 Pengfei Wang , Zhaofeng Tian

We present the Gaussian process dynamical mixture model (GPDMM) and show its utility in single-example learning of human motion data. The Gaussian process dynamical model (GPDM) is a form of the Gaussian process latent variable model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Jesse St. Amand , Leonardo Gizzi , Martin A. Giese

Discrete hidden Markov models (HMM) are often applied to malware detection and classification problems. However, the continuous analog of discrete HMMs, that is, Gaussian mixture model-HMMs (GMM-HMM), are rarely considered in the field of…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Jing Zhao , Samanvitha Basole , Mark Stamp

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) have become very popular as a computational tool for the analysis of sequential data. They are memoryless machines which transition from one internal state to another, while producing symbols. These symbols…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-10-01 Ben O`Neill , Tom M. Barlow , Dominik Safranek , Almut Beige

We propose a Neural Hidden Markov Model (HMM) with Adaptive Granularity Attention (AGA) for high-frequency order flow modeling. The model addresses the challenge of capturing multi-scale temporal dynamics in financial markets, where…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-24 Tianzuo Hu

Data collected by wearable devices in sports provide valuable information about an athlete's behavior such as their activity, performance, and ability. These time series data can be studied with approaches such as hidden Markov and…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-22 Shirley Rojas-Salazar , Erin M. Schliep , Christopher K. Wikle , Matthew Hawkey

The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is a widely-used statistical model for handling sequential data. However, the presence of missing observations in real-world datasets often complicates the application of the model. The EM algorithm and Gibbs…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Dongrong Li , Tianwei Yu , Xiaodan Fan

In this study, we address the interpretability issue in complex, black-box Machine Learning models applied to sequence data. We introduce the Model-Based tree Hidden Semi-Markov Model (MOB-HSMM), an inherently interpretable model aimed at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Chan Hsu , Wei-Chun Huang , Jun-Ting Wu , Chih-Yuan Li , Yihuang Kang

We propose DenseHMM - a modification of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) that allows to learn dense representations of both the hidden states and the observables. Compared to the standard HMM, transition probabilities are not atomic but composed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Joachim Sicking , Maximilian Pintz , Maram Akila , Tim Wirtz

This paper presents a new and flexible prognostics framework based on a higher order hidden semi-Markov model (HOHSMM) for systems or components with unobservable health states and complex transition dynamics. The HOHSMM extends the basic…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-14 Ying Liao , Yisha Xiang , Min Wang

This paper introduces the hhsmm R package, which involves functions for initializing, fitting, and predication of hidden hybrid Markov/semi-Markov models. These models are flexible models with both Markovian and semi-Markovian states, which…

Computation · Statistics 2022-05-31 Morteza Amini , Afarin Bayat , Reza Salehian
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