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People are living longer than ever before, and with this arises new complications and challenges for humanity. Among the most pressing of these challenges is of understanding the role of aging in the development of dementia. This paper is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-07 Jonathan P Williams , Curtis B Storlie , Terry M Therneau , Clifford R Jack , Jan Hannig

Obstructive sleep Apnea (OSA) is a form of sleep disordered breathing characterized by frequent episodes of upper airway collapse during sleep. Pediatric OSA occurs in 1-5% of children and can related to other serious health conditions such…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-20 Sarah Tymochko , Kritika Singhal , Giseon Heo

Objective: To develop multisensor-wearable-device sleep monitoring algorithms that are robust to health disruptions affecting sleep patterns. Methods: We develop an unsupervised transfer learning algorithm based on a multivariate hidden…

Electroencephalographic (EEG) monitoring of neural activity is widely used for sleep disorder diagnostics and research. The standard of care is to manually classify 30-second epochs of EEG time-domain traces into 5 discrete sleep stages.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-21 Leon Chlon , Andrew Song , Sandya Subramanian , Hugo Soulat , John Tauber , Demba Ba , Michael Prerau

The parameters of a discrete stationary Markov model are transition probabilities between states. Traditionally, data consist in sequences of observed states for a given number of individuals over the whole observation period. In such a…

Computation · Statistics 2012-04-30 Alberto Pasanisi , Shuai Fu , Nicolas Bousquet

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are probabilistic methods in which observations are seen as realizations of a latent Markov process with discrete states that switch over time. Moving beyond standard statistical tests, HMMs offer a statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 S. Mildiner Moraga , E. Aarts

A key question in brain sciences is how to identify time-evolving functional connectivity, such as that obtained from recordings of neuronal activity over time. We wish to explain the observed phenomena in terms of latent states which, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Yiwei Gong , Susanna B. Mierau , Sinead A. Williamson

We present a new method for inferring hidden Markov models from noisy time sequences without the necessity of assuming a model architecture, thus allowing for the detection of degenerate states. This is based on the statistical prediction…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-01-24 David Kelly , Mark Dillingham , Andrew Hudson , Karoline Wiesner

We propose a novel Coupled Hidden Markov Model to detect epileptic seizures in multichannel electroencephalography (EEG) data. Our model defines a network of seizure propagation paths to capture both the temporal and spatial evolution of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-08-13 Jeff Craley , Emily Johnson , Archana Venkataraman

In medical research, understanding changes in outcome measurements is crucial for inferring shifts in health conditions. However, traditional methods often struggle with large, irregularly longitudinal data and fail to account for the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-13 Yu Luo , Chris Sherlock

We define an evolving in-time Bayesian neural network called a Hidden Markov Neural Network, which addresses the crucial challenge in time-series forecasting and continual learning: striking a balance between adapting to new data and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-17 Lorenzo Rimella , Nick Whiteley

State space models have long played an important role in signal processing. The Gaussian case can be treated algorithmically using the famous Kalman filter. Similarly since the 1970s there has been extensive application of Hidden Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter Bickel , Yaacov Ritov , Tobias Rydén

Complex systems, such as pathophysiological processes, commonly exhibit chaotic, nonlinear, and intermittent phenomena. Koopman operator theory and Hankel alternative view of Koopman (HAVOK) model have been widely used to decompose the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-28 Phat K. Huynh , Arveity R. Setty , Trung Q. Le

When is keeping a memory of observations worthwhile? We use hidden Markov models to look at phase transitions that emerge when comparing state estimates in systems with discrete states and noisy observations. We infer the underlying state…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-05 Emma Lathouwers , John Bechhoefer

Data collected from wearable devices and smartphones can shed light on an individual's pattern of behavioral and circadian routine. Phone use can be modeled as alternating event process, between the state of active use and the state of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-13 Benny Ren , Ian Barnett

We analyze the quantum jumps of an atom interacting with a cavity field. The strong atom- field interaction makes the cavity transmission depend on the time dependent atomic state, and we present a Hidden Markov Model description of the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 S. Gammelmark , W. Alt , T. Kampschulte , D. Meschede , K. Molmer

Actigraphy is widely used in sleep studies but lacks a universal unsupervised algorithm for sleep/wake identification. In this study, we proposed a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) based unsupervised algorithm that can automatically and…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-10 Xinyue Li , Yunting Zhang , Fan Jiang , Hongyu Zhao

Over the last decade, hidden Markov models (HMMs) have become increasingly popular in statistical ecology, where they constitute natural tools for studying animal behavior based on complex sensor data. Corresponding analyses sometimes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-15 Jan-Ole Koslik , Carlina C. Feldmann , Sina Mews , Rouven Michels , Roland Langrock

Biomedical signals carry signature rhythms of complex physiological processes that control our daily bodily activity. The properties of these rhythms indicate the nature of interaction dynamics among physiological processes that maintain a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Yassin Khalifa , Danilo Mandic , Ervin Sejdić

We consider the problem of flexible modeling of higher order hidden Markov models when the number of latent states and the nature of the serial dependence, including the true order, are unknown. We propose Bayesian nonparametric methodology…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-06 Abhra Sarkar , David B. Dunson