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Inferring the ancestral state at the root of a phylogenetic tree from states observed at the leaves is a problem arising in evolutionary biology. The simplest technique -- majority rule -- estimates the root state by the most frequently…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-04-11 Elchanan Mossel , Mike Steel

In now classic work, David Kendall (1966) recognized that the Yule process and Poisson process could be related by a (random) time change. Furthermore, he showed that the Yule population size rescaled by its mean has an almost sure…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-08 Radu Dascaliuc , Nicholas Michalowski , Enrique Thomann , Edward C. Waymire

Continuous-time branching processes describe the evolution of a population whose individuals generate a random number of children according to a birth process. Such branching processes can be used to understand preferential attachment…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-10 Alessandro Garavaglia , Remco van der Hofstad , Gerhard Woeginger

We present a generalization of the Yule model for macroevolution in which, for the appearance of genera, we consider point processes with the order statistics property, while for the growth of species we use nonlinear time-fractional pure…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Federico Polito

The paper written in 1925 by G. Udny Yule that we celebrate in this special issue introduces several novelties and results that we recall in detail. First, we discuss Yule (1925)'s main legacies over the past century, focusing on empirical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-24 Amaury Lambert

We introduce two models for multi-type random trees motivated by studies of trait dependence in the evolution of species. Our discrete time model, the multi-type ERM tree, is a generalization of Markov propagation models on a random tree…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic , Mariolys Rivas

We study two models of an age-biased graph process: the $\delta$-version of the preferential attachment graph model (PAM) and the uniform attachment graph model (UAM), with $m$ attachments for each of incoming vertices. We show that almost…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-11-13 Huseyin Acan , Alan Frieze , Boris Pittel

We introduce a family of one-dimensional geometric growth models, constructed iteratively by locally optimizing the tradeoffs between two competing metrics, and show that this family is equivalent to a family of preferential attachment…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 N. Berger , C. Borgs , J. T. Chayes , R. M. D'Souza , R. D. Kleinberg

Function diversity, the range of tasks individuals perform, and specialization, the distribution of function abundances, are fundamental to complex adaptive systems. In the absence of overarching principles, these properties have appeared…

A Yule tree is the result of a branching process with constant birth and death rates. Such a process serves as an instructive null model of many empirical systems, for instance, the evolution of species leading to a phylogenetic tree.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-04-02 Michael Sheinman , Florian Massip , Peter F. Arndt

We consider a Yule process until the total population reaches size $n\gg 1$, and assume that neutral mutations occur with high probability $1-p$ (in the sense that each child is a new mutant with probability $1-p$, independently of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-22 Erich Baur , Jean Bertoin

Wright-Fisher diffusions and their dual ancestral graphs occupy a central role in the study of allele frequency change and genealogical structure, and they provide expressions, explicit in some special cases but generally implicit, for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Martina Favero , Paul A. Jenkins

A 6-parameter fat-tailed distribution is proposed that generalises the t-distribution and allows asymmetry of scale and also of tail power, whilst avoiding the discontinuity of the second derivative of the split-t (AST) distribution. With…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-17 Rose D. Baker

The directed preferential attachment model is revisited. A new exact characterization of the limiting in- and out-degree distribution is given by two \emph{independent} pure birth processes that are observed at a common exponentially…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-08 Tom Britton

In social tagging systems, the diversity of tag vocabulary and the popularity of such tags continue to increase as they are exposed to selection pressure derived from our cognitive nature and cultural preferences. This is analogous to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-09 Yasuhiro Hashimoto , Mizuki Oka , Takashi Ikegami

In [1] a detailed analysis was given of the large-time asymptotics of the total mass of the solution to the parabolic Anderson model on a supercritical Galton-Watson random tree with an i.i.d. random potential whose marginal distribution is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Frank den Hollander , Daoyi Wang

Stable distribution is one of the attractive models that well describes fat-tail behaviors and scaling phenomena in various scientific fields. The approach based upon the method of moments yields a simple procedure for estimating stable law…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-24 Shinji Kakinaka , Ken Umeno

With the aim of considering models with persistent memory we propose a fractional nonlinear modification of the classical Yule model often studied in the context of macrovolution. Here the model is analyzed and interpreted in the framework…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Petr Lansky , Federico Polito , Laura Sacerdote

When modeling a directed social network, one choice is to use the traditional preferential attachment model, which generates power-law tail distributions. In a traditional directed preferential attachment, every new edge is added…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-18 Tiandong Wang , Sidney I. Resnick

We study the large-time asymptotic of renewal-reward processes with a heavy-tailed waiting time distribution. It is known that the heavy tail of the distribution produces an extremely slow dynamics, resulting in a singular large deviation…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-01-05 Hiroshi Horii , Raphael Lefevere , Takahiro Nemoto