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Sequential Monte Carlo methods which involve sequential importance sampling and resampling are shown to provide a versatile approach to computing probabilities of rare events. By making use of martingale representations of the sequential…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-22 Hock Peng Chan , Tze Leung Lai

We study existence of probability measure valued jump-diffusions described by martingale problems. We develop a simple device that allows us to embed Wasserstein spaces and other similar spaces of probability measures into locally compact…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Martin Larsson , Sara Svaluto-Ferro

Opial's inequality and its ramifications play an important role in the theory of differential and difference equations. A sharp unifying generalization of Opial's inequality is presented that contains both its continuous and discrete…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2023-12-11 Chris A. J. Klaassen

We present a generalization of the maximal inequalities that upper bound the expectation of the maximum of $n$ jointly distributed random variables. We control the expectation of a randomly selected random variable from $n$ jointly…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-31 Jiantao Jiao , Yanjun Han , Tsachy Weissman

The emergent field of probabilistic numerics has thus far lacked clear statistical principals. This paper establishes Bayesian probabilistic numerical methods as those which can be cast as solutions to certain inverse problems within the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-15 Jon Cockayne , Chris Oates , Tim Sullivan , Mark Girolami

We extend Riemann's rearrangement theorem on conditionally convergent series of real numbers to multiple instead of simple sums.

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2011-11-08 Jurgen Grahl , Shahar Nevo

Three extensions and reinterpretations of nonclassical probabilities are reviewed. (i) We propose to generalize the probability axiom of quantum mechanics to self-adjoint positive operators of trace one. Furthermore, we discuss the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Karl Svozil

We study a class of martingale inequalities involving the running maximum process. They are derived from pathwise inequalities introduced by Henry_Labordere et al. (2013) and provide an upper bound on the expectation of a function of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-23 Jan Obloj , Peter Spoida , Nizar Touzi

We obtain a condition for the $L^q$-convergence of martingales generated by random multiplicative cascade measures for $q>1$ without any self-similarity requirements on the cascades.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-04 K. J. Falconer

Let $M$ be an $n \times m$ matrix of independent Rademacher ($\pm 1$) random variables. It is well known that if $n \leq m$, then $M$ is of full rank with high probability. We show that this property is resilient to adversarial changes to…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Asaf Ferber , Kyle Luh , Gweneth McKinley

This work is concerned with forest and cumulant type expansions of general random variables on a filtered probability spaces. We establish a "broken exponential martingale" expansion that generalizes and unifies the exponentiation result of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Peter K. Friz , Jim Gatheral , Radoš Radoičić

Discrete state spaces represent a major computational challenge to statistical inference, since the computation of normalisation constants requires summation over large or possibly infinite sets, which can be impractical. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-04 Takuo Matsubara , Jeremias Knoblauch , François-Xavier Briol , Chris. J. Oates

We improve and expand in two directions the theory of norms on complex matrices induced by random vectors. We first provide a simple proof of the classification of weakly unitarily invariant norms on the Hermitian matrices. We use this to…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-26 Ángel Chávez , Stephan Ramon Garcia , Jackson Hurley

We introduce a finite version of free probability for rectangular matrices that amounts to operations on singular values of polynomials. We show that we can replicate the transforms from free probability, and that asymptotically there is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-25 Aurelien Gribinski

Concentration inequalities, a major tool in probability theory, quantify how much a random variable deviates from a certain quantity. This paper proposes a systematic convex optimization approach to studying and generating concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-30 Celine Moucer , Adrien Taylor , Francis Bach

We describe a very general abstract form of sieve based on a large sieve inequality which generalizes both the classical sieve inequality of Montgomery (and its higher-dimensional variants), and our recent sieve for Frobenius over function…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Emmanuel Kowalski

In this paper, we give an elementary proof of the additivity of the functional inverses of the resolvents of large $N$ random matrices, using recently developed matrix model techniques. This proof also gives a very natural generalization of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 P. Zinn-Justin

The purpose of this article is to formulate a number of probabilistic hidden-variable theorems, to provide proofs in some cases, and counterexamples to some conjectured relationships. The first theorem is the fundamental one. It asserts the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2008-02-03 Patrick Suppes , J. Acacio de Barros , Gary Oas

Using techniques from Poisson approximation, we prove explicit error bounds on the number of permutations that avoid any pattern. Most generally, we bound the total variation distance between the joint distribution of pattern occurrences…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Harry Crane , Stephen DeSalvo

A multiplicative cascade can be thought of as a randomization of a measure on the boundary of a tree, constructed from an iid collection of random variables attached to the tree vertices. Given an initial measure with certain regularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Tom Alberts , Ben Rifkind