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Understanding how stochastic and non-linear deterministic processes interact is a major challenge in population dynamics theory. After a short review, we introduce a stochastic individual-centered particle model to describe the evolution in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-29 Regis Ferriere , Viet Chi Tran

We study a generalized discrete-time multi-type Wright-Fisher population process. The mean-field dynamics of the stochastic process is induced by a general replicator difference equation. We prove several results regarding the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-06 Alexander Roitershtein , Reza Rastegar , Robert S. Chapkin , Ivan Ivanov

We consider an individual-based spatially structured population for Darwinian evolution in an asexual population. The individuals move randomly on a bounded continuous space according to a reflected brownian motion. The dynamics involves…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Helene Leman

This article presents a comprehensive study of the continuous McKendrick model, which serves as a foundational framework in population dynamics and epidemiology. The model is formulated through partial differential equations that describe…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-23 Dragos-Patru Covei

We consider an exponentially growing population of cells undergoing mutations and ask about the effect of reproductive fluctuations (genetic drift) on its long-term evolution. We combine first step analysis with the stochastic dynamics of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-14 Arman Angaji , Christoph Velling , Johannes Berg

We study simple stochastic scenarios, based on birth-and-death Markovian processes, that describe populations with Allee effect, to account for the role of demographic stochasticity. In the mean-field deterministic limit we recover…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-02-06 Vicenç Méndez , Michael Assaf , Axel Masó-Puigdellosas , Daniel Campos , Werner Horsthemke

Understanding the conditions ensuring the persistence of a population is an issue of primary importance in population biology. The first theoretical approach to the problem dates back to the 50's with the KiSS (after Kierstead, Slobodkin…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-07 Stefano Berti , Massimo Cencini , Davide Vergni , Angelo Vulpiani

Population dynamics reflects an underlying birth-death process, where the rates associated with different events may depend on external environmental conditions and on the population density. A whole family of simple and popular…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-03 Yitzhak Yahalom , Bnaya Steinmetz , Nadav M. Shnerb

In this paper, we consider a stochastic ratio-dependent predator-prey model. We firstly prove the existence, uniqueness and positivity of the solutions. Then, the boundedness of moments of population are studied. Finally, we show the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-01 Nguyen Thi Hoai Linh , Ta Viet Ton

We analyze the long-term stability of a stochastic model designed to illustrate the adaptation of a population to variation in its environment. A piecewise-deterministic process modeling adaptation is coupled to a Feller logistic diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Aurélien Velleret

We consider extinction times for a class of birth-death processes commonly found in applications, where there is a control parameter which determines whether the population quickly becomes extinct, or rather persists for a long time. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Charles R. Doering , Khachik V. Sargsyan , Leonard M. Sander

A wide range of stochastic processes that model the growth and decline of populations exhibit a curious dichotomy: with certainty either the population goes extinct or its size tends to infinity. There is a elegant and classical theorem…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-17 Mike Steel

We present a generic epidemic model with stochastic parameters, in which the dynamics self-organize to a critical state with suppressed exponential growth. More precisely, the dynamics evolve into a quasi-steady-state, where the effective…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-06-16 Gil Ariel , Yoram Louzoun

Populations of competing biological species exhibit a fascinating interplay between the nonlinear dynamics of evolutionary selection forces and random fluctuations arising from the stochastic nature of the interactions. The processes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-05-08 A. Dobrinevski , E. Frey

We propose a stochastic model for evolution. Births and deaths of species occur with constant probabilities. Each new species is associated with a fitness sampled from the uniform distribution on [0,1]. Every time there is a death event…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-09 Herve Guiol , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

In this article, a stochastic individual-based model describing Darwinian evolution of asexual, phenotypic trait-structured population, is studied. We consider a large population with constant population size characterised by a resampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Nicolas Champagnat , Vincent Hass

Over the past century, nonlinear difference and differential equations have been used to understand conditions for species coexistence. However, these models fail to account for random fluctuations due to demographic and environmental…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-12 Sebastian J. Schreiber

We consider excursions for a class of stochastic processes describing a population of discrete individuals experiencing density-limited growth, such that the population has a finite carrying capacity and behaves qualitatively like the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-10 Todd L. Parsons

Models of population growth and extinction are an increasingly popular subject of study. However, consequences of stochasticity and noise in shaping distributions and outcomes are not sufficiently explored. Here we consider a distributed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-11 Bertrand Ottino-Löffler , Mehran Kardar

Understanding the dynamics of metapopulations close to extinction is of vital importance for management. Levins-like models, in which local patches are treated as either occupied or empty, have been used extensively for this purpose, but…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-26 F. Elias Wolff , A. Eriksson , A. Manica , B. Mehlig