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Related papers: Multivariate Temporal Point Process Regression

200 papers

Process monitoring and control requires detection of structural changes in a data stream in real time. This article introduces an efficient sequential Monte Carlo algorithm designed for learning unknown changepoints in continuous time. The…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-29 Melissa J. M. Turcotte , Nicholas A. Heard

Temporal point processes are the dominant paradigm for modeling sequences of events happening at irregular intervals. The standard way of learning in such models is by estimating the conditional intensity function. However, parameterizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-24 Oleksandr Shchur , Marin Biloš , Stephan Günnemann

In this paper, we study a distributed parameter estimation problem with an asynchronous communication protocol over multi-agent systems. Different from traditional time-driven communication schemes, in this work, data can be transmitted…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-04 Xingkang He , Qian Liu , Junfeng Wu , Karl Henrik Johansson

We study online change point detection for multivariate inhomogeneous Poisson point process time series. This setting arises commonly in applications such as earthquake seismology, climate monitoring, and epidemic surveillance, yet remains…

This paper studies the case of possibly high-dimensional covariates in the regression discontinuity design (RDD) analysis. In particular, we propose estimation and inference methods for the RDD models with covariate selection which perform…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Yoichi Arai , Taisuke Otsu , Myung Hwan Seo

In autoregressive modeling for tensor-valued time series, Tucker decomposition, when applied to the coefficient tensor, provides a clear interpretation of supervised factor modeling but loses its efficiency rapidly with increasing tensor…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Yuxi Cai , Lan Li , Yize Wang , Guodong Li

We introduce a tensor-based model of shared representation for meta-learning from a diverse set of tasks. Prior works on learning linear representations for meta-learning assume that there is a common shared representation across different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-20 Samuel Deng , Yilin Guo , Daniel Hsu , Debmalya Mandal

Modern recording techniques enable neuroscientists to simultaneously study neural activity across large populations of neurons, with capturing predictor-dependent correlations being a fundamental challenge in neuroscience. Moreover, the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-04 Ganchao Wei

Most existing temporal point process models are characterized by conditional intensity function. These models often require numerical approximation methods for likelihood evaluation, which potentially hurts their performance. By directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Bingqing Liu

We investigate the problem of statistical inference for logistic regression with high-dimensional covariates in settings where dependence among individuals is induced by an underlying Markov random field. Going beyond the pairwise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Josh Miles , Sohom Bhattacharya

Segmented regression models offer model flexibility and interpretability as compared to the global parametric and the nonparametric models, and yet are challenging in both estimation and inference. We consider a four-regime segmented model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Han Yan , Song Xi Chen

Transformers have achieved great success in effectively processing sequential data such as text. Their architecture consisting of several attention and feedforward blocks can model relations between elements of a sequence in parallel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Jaemu Heo , Eldor Fozilov , Hyunmin Song , Taehwan Kim

We consider the problem of locating a jump discontinuity (change-point) in a smooth parametric regression model with a bounded covariate. It is assumed that one can sample the covariate at different values and measure the corresponding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Yan Lan , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

Modeling the complex relationships between multiple categorical response variables as a function of predictors is a fundamental task in the analysis of categorical data. However, existing methods can be difficult to interpret and may lack…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Hongru Zhao , Aaron J. Molstad , Adam J. Rothman

In recent years, transfer learning has garnered significant attention. Its ability to leverage knowledge from related studies to improve generalization performance in a target study has made it highly appealing. This paper focuses on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-30 Chao Wang , Caixing Wang , Xin He , Xingdong Feng

This paper studies transfer learning for ridge-regularized robust linear regression in the moderate-dimensional regime, where the number of predictors is of the same order as the sample size and the regression coefficients are not assumed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Lingfeng Lyu , Xiao Guo , Zongqi Liu

We propose a transfer learning method that utilizes data representations in a semiparametric regression model. Our aim is to perform statistical inference on the parameter of primary interest in the target model while accounting for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Baihua He , Huihang Liu , Xinyu Zhang , Jian Huang

Multi-dimensional data frequently occur in many different fields, including risk management, insurance, biology, environmental sciences, and many more. In analyzing multivariate data, it is imperative that the underlying modelling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Orla A. Murphy , Juliana Schulz

Multivariate Hawkes Processes (MHPs) are an important class of temporal point processes that have enabled key advances in understanding and predicting social information systems. However, due to their complex modeling of temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-02 Maximilian Nickel , Matthew Le

This paper develops a novel Bayesian approach for nonlinear regression with symmetric matrix predictors, often used to encode connectivity of different nodes. Unlike methods that vectorize matrices as predictors that result in a large…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-22 Xiaomeng Ju , Hyung G. Park , Thaddeus Tarpey