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Related papers: Entropic Decision Making

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The quantification of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty in terms of conditional entropy and mutual information, respectively, has recently become quite common in machine learning. While the properties of these measures, which are rooted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Lisa Wimmer , Yusuf Sale , Paul Hofman , Bern Bischl , Eyke Hüllermeier

The principle that rational agents should maximize expected utility or choiceworthiness is intuitively plausible in many ordinary cases of decision-making under uncertainty. But it is less plausible in cases of extreme, low-probability risk…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-11 Christian Tarsney

Maximum entropy models are the least structured probability distributions that exactly reproduce a chosen set of statistics measured in an interacting network. Here we use this principle to construct probabilistic models which describe the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-28 Gašper Tkačik , Olivier Marre , Dario Amodei , Elad Schneidman , William Bialek , Michael J Berry

Explainable artificial intelligence has rapidly emerged since lawmakers have started requiring interpretable models for safety-critical domains. Concept-based neural networks have arisen as explainable-by-design methods as they leverage…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Pietro Barbiero , Gabriele Ciravegna , Francesco Giannini , Pietro Lió , Marco Gori , Stefano Melacci

We study the design of autonomous agents that are capable of deceiving outside observers about their intentions while carrying out tasks in stochastic, complex environments. By modeling the agent's behavior as a Markov decision process, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Yagiz Savas , Christos K. Verginis , Ufuk Topcu

In decision-dependent games, multiple players optimize their decisions under a data distribution that shifts with their joint actions, creating complex dynamics in applications like market pricing. A practical consequence of these dynamics…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Guangzheng Zhong , Yang Liu , Jiming Liu

Travel decisions tend to exhibit sensitivity to uncertainty and information processing constraints. These behavioural conditions can be characterized by a generative learning process. We propose a data-driven generative model version of…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-07-29 Melvin Wong , Bilal Farooq

We propose a method for transforming probability distributions so that parameters of interest are forced into a specified distribution. We prove that this approach is the maximum entropy choice, and provide a motivating example applicable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Will Handley , Marius Millea

We study the effect of competition between short-term synaptic depression and facilitation on the dynamical properties of attractor neural networks, using Monte Carlo simulation and a mean field analysis. Depending on the balance between…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 J. J. Torres , J. M. Cortes , J. Marro , H. J. Kappen

Maximum entropy methods provide a principled path connecting measurements of neural activity directly to statistical physics models, and this approach has been successful for populations of $N\sim 100$ neurons. As $N$ increases in new…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-10-18 Christopher W. Lynn , Qiwei Yu , Rich Pang , William Bialek , Stephanie E. Palmer

Distributed decision making in multi-agent networks has recently attracted significant research attention thanks to its wide applicability, e.g. in the management and optimization of computer networks, power systems, robotic teams, sensor…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Carlo Cenedese , Yu Kawano , Sergio Grammatico , Ming Cao

We take another look at the general problem of selecting a preferred probability measure among those that comply with some given constraints. The dominant role that entropy maximization has obtained in this context is questioned by arguing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Manfred Jaeger

Rewards typically express desirabilities or preferences over a set of alternatives. Here we propose that rewards can be defined for any probability distribution based on three desiderata, namely that rewards should be real-valued, additive…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-12-31 Pedro A. Ortega , Daniel A. Braun

One of the goals of probabilistic inference is to decide whether an empirically observed distribution is compatible with a candidate Bayesian network. However, Bayesian networks with hidden variables give rise to highly non-trivial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-14 R. Chaves , L. Luft , T. O. Maciel , D. Gross , D. Janzing , B. Schölkopf

We consider a model where an agent is must choose between alternatives that each provide only an imprecise description of the world (e.g. linguistic expressions). The set of alternatives is closed under logical conjunction and disjunction,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-09-11 Evan Piermont , Marcus Pivato

Existing training criteria in automatic speech recognition(ASR) permit the model to freely explore more than one time alignments between the feature and label sequences. In this paper, we use entropy to measure a model's uncertainty, i.e.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-12-26 Ehsan Variani , Ke Wu , David Rybach , Cyril Allauzen , Michael Riley

Researchers in explainable artificial intelligence have developed numerous methods for helping users understand the predictions of complex supervised learning models. By contrast, explaining the $\textit{uncertainty}$ of model outputs has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-01 David S. Watson , Joshua O'Hara , Niek Tax , Richard Mudd , Ido Guy

Revision of the paper previously entitled "Learning a Machine for the Decision in a Partially Observable Markov Universe" In this paper, we are interested in optimal decisions in a partially observable universe. Our approach is to directly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Frederic Dambreville

Representing token embeddings as probability distributions over learned manifolds allows for more flexible contextual inference, reducing representational rigidity while enhancing semantic granularity. Comparative evaluations demonstrate…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Christopher Nightingale , Dominic Lavington , Jonathan Thistlethwaite , Sebastian Penhaligon , Thomas Belinski , David Boldo

Simultaneously recorded neurons exhibit correlations whose underlying causes are not known. Here, we use a population of threshold neurons receiving correlated inputs to model neural population recordings. We show analytically that small…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2010-09-20 Jakob H Macke , Manfred Opper , Matthias Bethge