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The choice of approximate posterior distribution is one of the core problems in variational inference. Most applications of variational inference employ simple families of posterior approximations in order to allow for efficient inference,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-15 Danilo Jimenez Rezende , Shakir Mohamed

In Bayesian theory, calculating a posterior probability distribution is highly important but usually difficult. Therefore, some methods have been put forward to deal with such problem, among which, the most popular one is the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-20 Zai-Ying Zhou

We review approaches to statistical inference based on randomization. Permutation tests are treated as an important special case. Under a certain group invariance property, referred to as the ``randomization hypothesis,'' randomization…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-05 David M. Ritzwoller , Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh

This study has the purpose of addressing four questions that lie at the base of the probability theory and statistics, and includes two main steps. As first, we conduct the textual analysis of the most significant works written by eminent…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2019-01-15 Paolo Rocchi

In recent years, Bayesian inference in large-scale inverse problems found in science, engineering and machine learning has gained significant attention. This paper examines the robustness of the Bayesian approach by analyzing the stability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-06 Alfredo Garbuno-Inigo , Tapio Helin , Franca Hoffmann , Bamdad Hosseini

The paper investigates the approximation of the symmetric Total Variation functional on graphs. Such an approximation is given in terms of a discrete and symmetric finite difference model defined on point clouds obtained by randomly…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Stefano Almi , Anna Kubin , Emanuele Tasso

Using a probabilistic approach, we derive some interesting combinatorial identities involving gamma and beta functions. These results generalize certain well-known combinatorial identities involving binomial coefficients and special…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Palaniappan Vellaisamy , Puja Pandey

This paper deals with uncertain dynamical systems in which predictions about the future state of a system are assessed by so called pseudomeasures. Two special cases are stochastic dynamical systems, where the pseudomeasure is the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2016-08-31 Andreas Hamm

We employ optimal control theory to study the problem of estimating the probability density function from a data set originating from an unknown probability distribution. The original variational problem is reformulated as a multi-stage…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Markus Hegland , C. Yalçın Kaya

There are essentially three kinds of approaches to Uncertainty Quantification (UQ): (A) robust optimization, (B) Bayesian, (C) decision theory. Although (A) is robust, it is unfavorable with respect to accuracy and data assimilation. (B)…

Qualitative possibilistic networks, also known as min-based possibilistic networks, are important tools for handling uncertain information in the possibility theory frame- work. Despite their importance, only the junction tree adaptation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Raouia Ayachi , Nahla Ben Amor , Salem Benferhat , Rolf Haenni

Neutrosophic theory and applications have been expanding in all directions at an astonishing rate especially after the introduction the journal entitled Neutrosophic Sets and Systems. New theories, techniques, algorithms have been rapidly…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-28 Florentin Smarandache , Surapati Pramanik

We consider the problem of hypothesis testing for discrete distributions. In the standard model, where we have sample access to an underlying distribution $p$, extensive research has established optimal bounds for uniformity testing,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Piotr Indyk , Ronitt Rubinfeld , Sandeep Silwal

The concept of typicality refers to properties holding for the "overwhelming majority" of cases and is a fundamental idea of the qualitative approach to dynamical problems. We argue that measure-theoretical typicality would be the adequate…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Sergio B. Volchan

We show that G\"odel's negative results concerning arithmetic, which date back to the 1930s, and the ancient "sand pile" paradox (known also as "sorites paradox") pose the questions of the use of fuzzy sets and of the effect of a measuring…

General Physics · Physics 2015-06-04 V. P. Maslov

We revisit Zadeh's notion of "evidence of the second kind" and show that it provides the foundation for a general theory of epistemic random fuzzy sets, which generalizes both the Dempster-Shafer theory of belief functions and possibility…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Thierry Denoeux

This thesis develops a new divergence that generalizes relative entropy and can be used to compare probability measures without a requirement of absolute continuity. We establish properties of the divergence, and in particular derive and…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Yixiang Mao

Probabilistic classifiers output a probability distribution on target classes rather than just a class prediction. Besides providing a clear separation of prediction and decision making, the main advantage of probabilistic models is their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Juozas Vaicenavicius , David Widmann , Carl Andersson , Fredrik Lindsten , Jacob Roll , Thomas B. Schön

The problem of overdispersion in multivariate count data is a challenging issue. Nowadays, it covers a central role mainly due to the relevance of modern technologies data, such as Next Generation Sequencing and textual data from the web or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Noemi Corsini , Cinzia Viroli

The concepts of variability and uncertainty, both epistemic and alleatory, came from experience and coexist with different connotations. Therefore this article attempts to express their relation by analytic means firstly setting sights on…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2013-01-15 Kalman Ziha