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An artificial stock market is established with the modeling method and ideas of cellular automata. Cells are used to represent stockholders, who have the capability of self-teaching and are affected by the investing history of the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Tao Zhou , Pei-Ling Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang , Zi-Nan Tang , Jun Liu

A public decision-making problem consists of a set of issues, each with multiple possible alternatives, and a set of competing agents, each with a preferred alternative for each issue. We study adaptations of market economies to this…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Nikhil Garg , Ashish Goel , Benjamin Plaut

We give an algebraic definition of a Markowitz market and classify markets up to isomorphism. Given this classification, the theory of portfolio optimization in Markowitz markets without short selling constraints becomes trivial.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-11 John Armstrong

It has been assumed that arbitrage profits are not possible in efficient markets, because future prices are not predictable. Here we show that predictability alone is not a sufficient measure of market efficiency. We instead propose to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 R. Rothenstein , K. Pawelzik

Managing a book of options on several underlying involves controlling positions of several thousands of financial assets. It is one of the most challenging financial problems involving both pricing and microstructural modeling. An options…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-03 Bastien Baldacci , Joffrey Derchu , Iuliia Manziuk

With model uncertainty characterized by a convex, possibly non-dominated set of probability measures, the agent minimizes the cost of hedging a path dependent contingent claim with given expected success ratio, in a discrete-time,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-29 Erhan Bayraktar , Gu Wang

Decision markets are mechanisms for selecting one among a set of actions based on forecasts about their consequences. Decision markets that are based on scoring rules have been proven to offer incentive compatibility analogous to properly…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Wenlong Wang , Thomas Pfeiffer

From the stock markets of six countries with high GDP, we study the stock indices, S&P 500 (NYSE, USA), SSE Composite (SSE, China), Nikkei (TSE, Japan), DAX (FSE, Germany), FTSE 100 (LSE, Britain) and NIFTY (NSE, India). The daily mean…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-25 Abhin Kakkad , Harsh Vasoya , Arnab K. Ray

We characterize the collective phenomena of a liquid market. By interpreting the behavior of a no-arbitrage N asset market in terms of a particle system scenario, (thermo)dynamical-like properties can be extracted from the asset kinetics.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 G. Cuniberti , L. Matassini

Aiming to describe the wealth distribution evolution, several models consider an ensemble of interacting economic agents that exchange wealth in binary fashion. Intriguingly, models that consider an unbiased market, that gives to each agent…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-30 Ben-Hur Francisco Cardoso , Sebastián Gonçalves , José Roberto Iglesias

Just as war is sometimes fallaciously represented as a zero sum game -- when in fact war is a negative sum game - stock market trading, a positive sum game over time, is often erroneously represented as a zero sum game. This is called the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Eric Engle

This paper provides a general method to directly translate a classical economic framework with a large number of agents into a field-formalism model. This type of formalism allows the analytical treatment of economic models with an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-09 Pierre Gosselin , Aïleen Lotz , Marc Wambst

We utilize a chartist-fundamentalist model to examine the limits of informationally efficient stock markets. In our model, chartists are permanently active in the stock market, while fundamentalists trade only when their…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-10-29 Laura Gardini , Davide Radi , Noemi Schmitt , Iryna Sushko , Frank Westerhoff

The emph{securities market} is the fundamental theoretical framework in economics and finance for resource allocation under uncertainty. Securities serve both to reallocate risk and to disseminate probabilistic information. emph{Complete}…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-01-18 David M. Pennock , Michael P. Wellman

We exploit a continuous time random walk description of stock prices to obtain a fast and accurate evaluation of their volatility from intraday data. We show that financial markets are usefully described as open physical systems. Indeed we…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Rosario Bartiromo

A dynamical model of capital exchange is introduced in which a specified amount of capital is exchanged between two individuals when they meet. The resulting time dependent wealth distributions are determined for a variety of exchange…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 S. Ispolatov , P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner

The concept of Stock Options is used to address the scarcity of resources, not adequately addressed by the previous tools of our Prediction Mechanism. Using a Predictive Reservation Scheme, network and disk resources are being monitored…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Elias Vathias , Stathes Hadjiefthymiades

Although both data availability and the demand for accurate forecasts are increasing, collaboration between stakeholders is often constrained by data ownership and competitive interests. In contrast to recent proposals within cooperative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Michael Vitali , Pierre Pinson

A coordinated trading process is proposed as a design for an electricity market with significant uncertainty, perhaps from renewables. In this process, groups of agents propose to the system operator (SO) a contingent buy and sell trade…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-28 Junjie Qin , Ram Rajagopal , Pravin Varaiya

A statistical generalization is made of microeconomics in the spirit of going from classical to statistical mechanics. The price and quantity of every commodity1 traded in the market, at each instant of time, is considered to be an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-12-03 Belal E. Baaquie