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Optimization techniques play a crucial role in estimating parameters and state information for nonlinear systems. However, some critical aspects of these problems have received little attention in previous research. In this paper, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-02 Kaushal Kumar

We propose a dynamic factor model (DFM) where the latent factors are linked to observed variables with unknown and potentially nonlinear functions. The key novelty and source of flexibility of our approach is a nonparametric observation…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-08 Tony Chernis , Niko Hauzenberger , Haroon Mumtaz , Michael Pfarrhofer

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

We present a nonlinear dynamical approximation method for time-dependent Partial Differential Equations (PDEs). The approach makes use of parametrized decoder functions, and provides a general, and principled way of understanding and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Daan Bon , Benjamin Caris , Olga Mula

We propose an approach based on function evaluations and Bayesian inference to extract higher-order differential information of objective functions {from a given ensemble of particles}. Pointwise evaluation $\{V(x^i)\}_i$ of some potential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-02 Claudia Schillings , Claudia Totzeck , Philipp Wacker

This contribution deals with identification of fractional-order dynamical systems. System identification, which refers to estimation of process parameters, is a necessity in control theory. Real processes are usually of fractional order as…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Deepyaman Maiti , Mithun Chakraborty , Amit Konar

Identifying the governing equations of a nonlinear dynamical system is key to both understanding the physical features of the system and constructing an accurate model of the dynamics that generalizes well beyond the available data. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Peter Y. Lu , Joan Ariño , Marin Soljačić

We introduce and analyze a method of learning-informed parameter identification for partial differential equations (PDEs) in an all-at-once framework. The underlying PDE model is formulated in a rather general setting with three unknowns:…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-25 Christian Aarset , Martin Holler , Tram Thi Ngoc Nguyen

Inference for GP models with non-Gaussian noises is computationally expensive when dealing with large datasets. Many recent inference methods approximate the posterior distribution with a simpler distribution defined on a small number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Linfeng Liu , Liping Liu

Nonlinear dynamic models are widely used for characterizing functional forms of processes that govern complex biological pathway systems. Over the past decade, validation and further development of these models became possible due to data…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-13 Itai Dattner , Shota Gugushvili , Harold Ship , Eberhard O. Voit

A parameter estimation method is devised for a slow-fast stochastic dynamical system, where often only the slow component is observable. By using the observations only on the slow component, the system parameters are estimated by working on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Jian Ren , Jinqiao Duan

In conventional ODE modelling coefficients of an equation driving the system state forward in time are estimated. However, for many complex systems it is practically impossible to determine the equations or interactions governing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Markus Heinonen , Cagatay Yildiz , Henrik Mannerström , Jukka Intosalmi , Harri Lähdesmäki

Implicit sampling is a weighted sampling method that is used in data assimilation, where one sequentially updates estimates of the state of a stochastic model based on a stream of noisy or incomplete data. Here we describe how to use…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Jon Wilkening , Alexandre J. Chorin

We present a method to infer the arbitrary space-dependent drift and diffusion of a nonlinear stochastic model driven by multiplicative fractional Gaussian noise from a single trajectory. Our method, fractional Onsager-Machlup optimisation…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-11-07 Johannes A. Kassel , Benjamin Walter , Holger Kantz

System inference for nonlinear dynamic models, represented by ordinary differential equations (ODEs), remains a significant challenge in many fields, particularly when the data are noisy, sparse, or partially observable. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Hyunwoo Cho , Hyeontae Jo , Hyung Ju Hwang

We consider the problem of forecasting complex, nonlinear space-time processes when observations provide only partial information of on the system's state. We propose a natural data-driven framework, where the system's dynamics are modelled…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Ibrahim Ayed , Emmanuel de Bézenac , Arthur Pajot , Julien Brajard , Patrick Gallinari

This paper considers parameter estimation for nonlinear state-space models, which is an important but challenging problem. We address this challenge by employing a variational inference (VI) approach, which is a principled method that has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-15 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

Inverse problem for the identification of the parameters for large-scale systems of nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs) arising in systems biology is analyzed. In a recent paper in \textit{Mathematical Biosciences, 305(2018),…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-07 Ugur G. Abdulla , Roby Poteau

We present a stepwise approach to estimate high dimensional Gaussian graphical models. We exploit the relation between the partial correlation coefficients and the distribution of the prediction errors, and parametrize the model in terms of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-21 Ginette Lafit , Francisco J. Nogales , Marcelo Ruiz , Ruben H. Zamar

Modeling the temporal behavior of data is of primordial importance in many scientific and engineering fields. Baseline methods assume that both the dynamic and observation equations follow linear-Gaussian models. However, there are many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Xavier Alameda-Pineda , Vincent Drouard , Radu Horaud