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Autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are widely used for analyzing time series data. However, standard likelihood-based inference methodology for ARMA models has avoidable limitations. We show that currently accepted standards for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Jesse Wheeler , Edward L. Ionides

Many models of interest in the natural and social sciences have no closed-form likelihood function, which means that they cannot be treated using the usual techniques of statistical inference. In the case where such models can be…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-19 Simon Barthelmé , Nicolas Chopin

We consider maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian Mixture Models (Gmms). This task is almost invariably solved (in theory and practice) via the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm. EM owes its success to various factors, of which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-04 Reshad Hosseini , Suvrit Sra

Online (also called "recursive" or "adaptive") estimation of fixed model parameters in hidden Markov models is a topic of much interest in times series modelling. In this work, we propose an online parameter estimation algorithm that…

Computation · Statistics 2011-02-16 Olivier Cappé

The Maximum Entropy Method (MEM) is a popular data analysis technique based on Bayesian inference, which has found various applications in the research literature. While the MEM itself is well-grounded in statistics, I argue that its…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-11-03 Alexander Rothkopf

We study the estimation of a high dimensional approximate factor model in the presence of both cross sectional dependence and heteroskedasticity. The classical method of principal components analysis (PCA) does not efficiently estimate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-01 Jushan Bai , Yuan Liao

Heckman selection model is perhaps the most popular econometric model in the analysis of data with sample selection. The analyses of this model are based on the normality assumption for the error terms, however, in some applications, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Victor H. Lachos Davila , Marcos O. Prates , Dipak K. Dey

Expectation maximisation (EM) is usually thought of as an unsupervised learning method for estimating the parameters of a mixture distribution, however it can also be used for supervised learning when class labels are available. As such, EM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-01 Graham W. Pulford

Probit models are useful for modeling correlated discrete responses in many disciplines, including consumer choice data in economics and marketing. However, the Gaussian latent variable feature of probit models coupled with identification…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Patrick Ding , Guido Imbens , Zhaonan Qu , Yinyu Ye

Event-related potentials (ERPs) extracted from electroencephalography (EEG) data in response to stimuli are widely used in psychological and neuroscience experiments. A major goal is to link ERP characteristic components to subject-level…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-11 Cheng-Han Yu , Meng Li , Marina Vannucci

Stochastic Approximation (SA) is a classical algorithm that has had since the early days a huge impact on signal processing, and nowadays on machine learning, due to the necessity to deal with a large amount of data observed with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-18 Aymeric Dieuleveut , Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines , Hoi-To Wai

We propose an Anderson Acceleration (AA) scheme for the adaptive Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm for unsupervised learning a finite mixture model from multivariate data (Figueiredo and Jain 2002). The proposed algorithm is able to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Truong Nguyen , Guangye Chen , Luis Chacon

We study the Bayesian approach to variable selection in the context of linear regression. Motivated by a recent work by Rockova and George (2014), we propose an EM algorithm that returns the MAP estimate of the set of relevant variables.…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-15 Jin Wang , Feng Liang , Yuan Ji

Linear mixed effects models are widely used in statistical modelling. We consider a mixed effects model with Bayesian variable selection in the random effects using spike-and-slab priors and developed a variational Bayes inference scheme…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-15 M-Z. Spyropoulou , J. Hopker , J. E. Griffin

We propose convenient inferential methods for potentially nonstationary multivariate unobserved components models with fractional integration and cointegration. Based on finite-order ARMA approximations in the state space representation,…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-11-10 Tobias Hartl , Roland Weigand

This paper studies empirical risk minimization (ERM) problems for large-scale datasets and incorporates the idea of adaptive sample size methods to improve the guaranteed convergence bounds for first-order stochastic and deterministic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-05 Aryan Mokhtari , Alejandro Ribeiro

The problem of monotone missing data has been broadly studied during the last two decades and has many applications in different fields such as bioinformatics or statistics. Commonly used imputation techniques require multiple iterations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-25 Thu Nguyen , Duy H. M. Nguyen , Huy Nguyen , Binh T. Nguyen , Bruce A. Wade

Many data mining and statistical machine learning algorithms have been developed to select a subset of covariates to associate with a response variable. Spurious discoveries can easily arise in high-dimensional data analysis due to enormous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-25 Jianqing Fan , Wen-Xin Zhou

Evidential-EM (E2M) algorithm is an effective approach for computing maximum likelihood estimations under finite mixture models, especially when there is uncertain information about data. In this paper we present an extension of the E2M…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-01-08 Kuang Zhou , Arnaud Martin , Quan Pan

We consider the problem of inference in a linear regression model in which the relative ordering of the input features and output labels is not known. Such datasets naturally arise from experiments in which the samples are shuffled or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-04 Abubakar Abid , James Zou
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