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Related papers: The Arctic surface climate in CMIP6: status and de…

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The Mars Atmosphere-Ice Coupler MAIC-2 is a simple, latitudinal model, which consists of a set of parameterisations for the surface temperature, the atmospheric water transport and the surface mass balance (condensation minus evaporation)…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-04-28 Ralf Greve , Bjoern Grieger , Oliver J. Stenzel

Climate change has become a significant global concern due to its capacity to cause substantial disruption to daily life by increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. Given the rising trend of human interventions in…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ritik Roshan Giri , Arnab Hazra

Both global, intermediate and local scales of Climate Change have been studied extensively, but a unified diagnostic framework for examining all spatial scales concurrently has remained elusive. Here we present a new tool-set using…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-05-19 Albert Sneppen

Two future scenarios that are not explicitly in the range of scenarios (the Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios) utilised by the IPCC. These two scenarios are the emissions trend under peak fossil fuel (for example, Mohr et al.,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-15 L. Mark W. Leggett , David. A. Ball

Improved knowledge of glacial-to-interglacial global temperature change implies that fast-feedback equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) is 1.2 +/- 0.3{\deg}C (2$\sigma$) per W/m$^2$. Consistent analysis of temperature over the full…

Non-stationary time series modelling is applied to long tidal records from Esbjerg, Denmark, and coupled to climate change projections for sea-level and storminess, to produce projections of likely future sea-level maxima. The model has…

Global responses of the hydrological cycle to climate change have been widely studied but uncertainties of temperature responses to lower-tropospheric water vapor still remain. Here, we investigate the trends in global total precipitable…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-21 Nenghan Wan , Xiaomao Lin , Roger A. Pielke , Xubin Zeng , Amanda M. Nelson

A number of crystal structures of water have been `superheated' in Monte Carlo simulations. Two well known models for water were considered; namely the TIP4P model and the SPC/E model. By comparing the fluid-solid coexistence temperature to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-02-24 Carl McBride , Carlos Vega , Eduardo Sanz , Luis G. MacDowell , Jose L. F. Abascal

In this manuscript, we consider a common modeling framework for Arctic landfast ice based on the work of Lemieux et al. [27], which is designed for use in large-scale climate models. This approach extends the classical viscous-plastic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Felix Brandt , Carolin Mehlmann

We introduce FloeNet, a machine-learning emulator trained on the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory global sea ice model, SIS2. FloeNet is a mass-conserving model, emulating 6-hour mass and area budget tendencies related to sea ice and…

Accurate regional climate forecast calls for high-resolution downscaling of Global Climate Models (GCMs). This work presents a deep-learning-based multi-model evaluation and downscaling framework ranking 32 Coupled Model Intercomparison…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Parthiban Loganathan , Elias Zea , Ricardo Vinuesa , Evelyn Otero

Climate change alters ocean conditions, notably temperature and sea level. In the Bay of Bengal, these changes influence monsoon precipitation and marine productivity, critical to the Indian economy. In Phase 6 of the Coupled Model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-30 Abhishek Pasula , Deepak N. Subramani

Understanding regional hydroclimatic variability and its drivers is essential for anticipating the impacts of climate change on water resources and sustainability. Yet, considerable uncertainty remains in the simulation of the coupled land…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-05 J. L. Roque , F. Da Silva Lopes , J. A. Giles , B. D. Gutknecht , B. Schalge , Y. Zhang , M. Ferro , P. Friederichs , K. Goergen , S. Poll , A. Valmassoi

Several Earth system components are at a high risk of undergoing rapid and irreversible qualitative changes or `tipping', due to increasing climate warming. Potential tipping elements include Arctic sea-ice, Atlantic meridional overturning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-25 Parvathi Kooloth , Jian Lu , Craig Bakker , Derek DeSantis , Adam Rupe

Using data from the Longyearbyen weather station, quantile gradient boosting ("small AI") is applied to forecast daily temperatures in Svalbard, Norway. Temperatures above 0 degrees Celsius are of special interest because of their impact on…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-28 Richard Berk

We study the seasonal changes in the thickness distribution of Arctic sea ice, $g(h)$, under climate forcing. Our analytical and numerical approach is based on a Fokker-Planck equation for $g(h)$ (Toppaladoddi \& Wettlaufer \emph{Phys. Rev.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-12-26 Srikanth Toppaladoddi , John S. Wettlaufer

Four sets of global average temperature anomalies, altered so that they refer to pre-industrial temperature levels (baseline), as recommended by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, are analysed in this study. Expectation values…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-25 Evangelos Matsinos

We characterise the thermal state of the intergalactic medium (IGM) in ten redshift bins in the redshift range $2 \leq z \leq 4$ with a sample of 103 high resolution, high S/N Ly$\alpha$ forest spectra using four different flux distribution…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-07-20 Prakash Gaikwad , Raghunathan Srianand , Martin G. Haehnelt , Tirthankar Roy Choudhury

Many papers and monographs were written about the modeling the Earth climate and its variability. However there is still an obvious need for a module that presents the fundamentals of climate modeling to students at the undergraduate level.…

Popular Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Mayer Humi

Accurate assessment of anthropogenic climate change relies on historical instrumental data, yet observations from the early 20th century are sparse, fragmented, and uncertain. Conventional reconstructions rely on disparate statistical…

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