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We consider a statistical test whose p-value can only be approximated using Monte Carlo simulations. We are interested in deciding whether the p-value for an observed data set lies above or below a given threshold such as 5%. We want to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-10 Dong Ding , Axel Gandy , Georg Hahn

We propose a method to efficiently integrate truncated probability densities. The method uses Markov chain Monte Carlo method to sample from a probability density matching the function being integrated. The required normalisation or…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-10 A. John Arul , Kannan Iyer

Sparse Bayesian learning is a state-of-the-art supervised learning algorithm that can choose a subset of relevant samples from the input data and make reliable probabilistic predictions. However, in the presence of high-dimensional data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-10 Bingbing Jiang , Chang Li , Maarten de Rijke , Xin Yao , Huanhuan Chen

The paper provides a simpler method for proving a delicate inequality that was used by Achlioptis and Naor to establish asymptotic concentration for chromatic numbers of Erdos-Renyi random graphs. The simplifications come from two new…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2011-07-20 John Hartigan , David Pollard , Sekhar Tatikonda

We discuss uniform sampling algorithms that are based on stochastic growth methods, using sampling of extreme configurations of polymers in simple lattice models as a motivation. We shall show how a series of clever enhancements to a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 T. Prellberg

We present an exact sampling algorithm for Pfaffian point processes based on a skew-symmetric analogue of the Cholesky factorization. This algorithm enables efficient sampling of a wide range of statistics arising in random matrix theory…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Alan Edelman , Sungwoo Jeong , Simeon Schaub

Nonparametric mixture models based on the Pitman-Yor process represent a flexible tool for density estimation and clustering. Natural generalization of the popular class of Dirichlet process mixture models, they allow for more robust…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-26 Antonio Canale , Riccardo Corradin , Bernardo Nipoti

Markov chain sampling methods that automatically adapt to characteristics of the distribution being sampled can be constructed by exploiting the principle that one can sample from a distribution by sampling uniformly from the region under…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Radford M. Neal

We present a new and easy-to-implement sequential sampling method for CGMY processes with either finite or infinite variation, exploiting the time change representation of the CGMY model and a decomposition of its time change. We find that…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-23 Chengwei Zhang , Zhiyuan Zhang

In this paper, the statistical properties of Newton s method algorithm output in a specific case have been studied. The relative frequency density of this sample converges to a well-defined function, prompting us to explore its…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-07-16 Taki Kirouani

Sampling is a fundamental problem in computer science and statistics. However, for a given task and stream, it is often not possible to choose good sampling probabilities in advance. We derive a general framework for adaptively changing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-16 Daniel Ting

Eliciting preferences from human judgements is inherently imprecise, yet most decision analysis methods force a single priority vector from pairwise comparisons, discarding the information embedded in inconsistencies. We instead leverage…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-27 Salvatore Greco , Sajid Siraj , Michele Lundy

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

In a cluster-randomized experiment, treatment is assigned to clusters of individual units of interest--households, classrooms, villages, etc.--instead of the units themselves. The number of clusters sampled and the number of units sampled…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-20 Yeng Xiong , Michael J. Higgins

Slice sampling is an efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from an unnormalized density with acceptance ratio always $1$. However, when the variable to sample is unbounded, its "stepping-out" heuristic works only locally,…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-06 Daichi Mochihashi

Originally introduced in cooperative game theory, Shapley values have become a very popular tool to explain machine learning predictions. Based on Shapley's fairness axioms, every input (feature component) gets a credit how it contributes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-19 Michael Mayer , Mario V. Wüthrich

We consider the problem of sequential anomaly identification over multiple independent data streams, under the presence of a sampling constraint. The goal is to quickly identify those that exhibit anomalous statistical behavior, when it is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Aristomenis Tsopelakos , Georgios Fellouris

Curve samplers are sampling algorithms that proceed by viewing the domain as a vector space over a finite field, and randomly picking a low-degree curve in it as the sample. Curve samplers exhibit a nice property besides the sampling…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2013-09-05 Zeyu Guo

Inferring parameter distributions of complex industrial systems from noisy time series data requires methods to deal with the uncertainty of the underlying data and the used simulation model. Bayesian inference is well suited for these…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-18 David N. John , Livia Stohrer , Claudia Schillings , Michael Schick , Vincent Heuveline

In this paper we combine the Alias method with the concept of systematic sampling, a method commonly used in particle filters for efficient low-variance resampling. The proposed method allows very fast sampling from a discrete distribution:…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Ilari Vallivaara , Katja Poikselkä , Pauli Rikula , Juha Röning