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Consider a supercritical Crump--Mode--Jagers process $(\mathcal Z_t^{\varphi})_{t \geq 0}$ counted with a random characteristic $\varphi$. Nerman's celebrated law of large numbers [Z. Wahrsch. Verw. Gebiete 57, 365--395, 1981] states that,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Alexander Iksanov , Konrad Kolesko , Matthias Meiners

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of a semi-linear slow-fast stochastic partial differential equation with singular coefficients. Using the Poisson equation in Hilbert space, we first establish the strong convergence in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Michael Röckner , Longjie Xie , Li Yang

We determine the large size limit of a network of interacting Hawkes Processes on an adaptive network. The flipping of the node variables is taken to have an intensity given by the mean-field of the afferent edges and nodes. The flipping of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-15 James MacLaurin

We consider the limiting behavior of fluctuations of small noise diffusions with multiple scales around their homogenized deterministic limit. We allow full dependence of the coefficients on the slow and fast motion. These processes arise…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Hawkes process provides an effective statistical framework for analyzing the time-dependent interaction of neuronal spiking activities. Although utilized in many real applications, the classic Hawkes process is incapable of modelling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-23 Feng Zhou , Yixuan Zhang , Jun Zhu

We prove a central limit type theorem for critical marked Hawkes processes. We study the case where the marks are i.i.d. with nonnegative values and their common distribution is either heavy tailed or has finite variance. The kernel…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Anna Talarczyk

We generalize multivariate Hawkes processes mainly by including a dependence with respect to the age of the process, i.e. the delay since the last point. Within this class, we investigate the limit behaviour, when n goes to infinity, of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-16 Julien Chevallier

We study the asymptotic properties of the solutions of a nonlinear renewal equation. The main contribution of the present article is to provide stability and convergence results around equilibrium solutions, under some local subcritical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Céline Duval , Eric Luçon

We prove that the long-run behavior of Hawkes processes is fully determined by the average number and the dispersion of child events. For subcritical processes we provide FLLNs and FCLTs under minimal conditions on the kernel of the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Ulrich Horst , Wei Xu

We propose a mean-field model of interacting point processes where each process has a memory of the time elapsed since its last event (age) and its recent past (leaky memory), generalizing Age-dependent Hawkes processes. The model is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Valentin Schmutz

We prove a law of large numbers and a functional central limit theorem for multivariate Hawkes processes observed over a time interval $[0,T]$ in the limit $T \rightarrow \infty$. We further exhibit the asymptotic behaviour of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-07 Emmanuel Bacry , Sylvain Delattre , Marc Hoffmann , Jean François Muzy

A univariate Hawkes process is a simple point process that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process is given by the sum of a baseline intensity and another term that depends on the entire past history…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-04 Xuefeng Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

The aim of this paper is to study the fluctuations of a general class of supercritical branching Markov processes with non-local branching mechanisms. We show the existence of three regimes according to the size of the spectral gap…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Christopher B. C. Dean , Emma Horton

We study fluctuations of linear statistics corresponding to smooth functions for certain biorthogonal ensembles. We study those biorthogonal ensembles for which the underlying biorthogonal family satisfies a finite term recurrence and…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-10-09 Jonathan Breuer , Maurice Duits

We consider a system of $N$ Hawkes processes and observe the actions of a subpopulation of size $K \le N$ up to time $t$, where $K$ is large. The influence relationships between each pair of individuals are modeled by i.i.d.Bernoulli($p$)…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Chenguang Liu , Liping Xu , An Zhang

This paper concerns the asymptotic behaviour of solutions of a linear convolution Volterra summation equation with an unbounded forcing term. In particular, we suppose the kernel is summable and ascribe growth bounds to the exogenous…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-08-07 John A. D. Appleby , Denis D. Patterson

We introduce a Hawkes-like process and study its scaling limit as the system becomes increasingly endogenous. We derive functional limit theorems for intensity and fluctuations. Then, we introduce a high-frequency model for a price of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-12 Łukasz Treszczotko

Even when driven by the same stimulus, neuronal responses are well-known to exhibit a striking level of spiking variability. In-vivo electrophysiological recordings also reveal a surprisingly large degree of variability at the subthreshold…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-19 Logan A. Becker , Francois Baccelli , Thibaud Taillefumier

We consider a population of $N$ individuals, of which we observe the number of actions as time evolves. For each couple of individuals $(i,j)$, $j$ may or not influence $i$, which we model by i.i.d. Bernoulli$(p)$-random variables, for some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-28 Sylvain Delattre , Nicolas Fournier

In this article, the joint fluctuations of the extreme eigenvalues and eigenvectors of a large dimensional sample covariance matrix are analyzed when the associated population covariance matrix is a finite-rank perturbation of the identity…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-06-20 Romain Couillet , Walid Hachem