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We propose a new approach for trading VIX futures. We assume that the term structure of VIX futures follows a Markov model. Our trading strategy selects a position in VIX futures by maximizing the expected utility for a day-ahead horizon…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-24 M. Avellaneda , T. N. Li , A. Papanicolaou , G. Wang

Maximizing revenue for grid-scale battery energy storage systems in continuous intraday electricity markets requires strategies that are able to seize trading opportunities as soon as new information arrives. This paper introduces and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-27 David Schaurecker , David Wozabal , Nils Löhndorf , Thorsten Staake

Volatility for financial assets returns can be used to gauge the risk for financial market. We propose a deep stochastic volatility model (DSVM) based on the framework of deep latent variable models. It uses flexible deep learning models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Xiuqin Xu , Ying Chen

This paper introduces one new multivariate volatility model that can accommodate an appropriately defined network structure based on low-frequency and high-frequency data. The model reduces the number of unknown parameters and the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-28 Huiling Yuan , Guodong Li , Junhui Wang

We introduce Deep Inception Networks (DINs), a family of Deep Learning models that provide a general framework for end-to-end systematic trading strategies. DINs extract time series (TS) and cross sectional (CS) features directly from daily…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-13 Tom Liu , Stephen Roberts , Stefan Zohren

Training a practical and effective model for stock selection has been a greatly concerned problem in the field of artificial intelligence. Even though some of the models from previous works have achieved good performance in the U.S. market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-07 Junming Yang , Yaoqi Li , Xuanyu Chen , Jiahang Cao , Kangkang Jiang

In finance, the weak form of the Efficient Market Hypothesis asserts that historic stock price and volume data cannot inform predictions of future prices. In this paper we show that, to the contrary, future intra-day stock prices could be…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-23 David Byrd , Tucker Hybinette Balch

We study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks by a model of returns using a semi-Markov approach. More precisely we assume that the intraday returns are described by a discrete time homogeneous semi-Markov which depends also…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni

Learning-based methods are promising to plan robot motion without performing extensive search, which is needed by many non-learning approaches. Recently, Value Iteration Networks (VINs) received much interest since---in contrast to standard…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Daniel Schleich , Tobias Klamt , Sven Behnke

This paper presents a method for forecasting limit order book durations using a self-exciting flexible residual point process. High-frequency events in modern exchanges exhibit heavy-tailed interarrival times, posing a significant challenge…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-02 Kyungsub Lee

This paper introduces a novel approach to solve inverse problems by leveraging deep learning techniques. The objective is to infer unknown parameters that govern a physical system based on observed data. We focus on scenarios where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Sidney Besnard , Frédéric Jurie , Jalal M. Fadili

We introduce the first end-to-end Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) based framework for active high frequency trading in the stock market. We train DRL agents to trade one unit of Intel Corporation stock by employing the Proximal Policy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Antonio Briola , Jeremy Turiel , Riccardo Marcaccioli , Alvaro Cauderan , Tomaso Aste

Given a set of observations generated by an optimization process, the goal of inverse optimization is to determine likely parameters of that process. We cast inverse optimization as a form of deep learning. Our method, called deep inverse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Yingcong Tan , Andrew Delong , Daria Terekhov

Long-context LLM serving is bottlenecked by the cost of attending over ever-growing KV caches. Dynamic sparse attention promises relief by accessing only a small, query-dependent subset of the KV state per decoding step and extending the KV…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Zihan Zhao , Baotong Lu , Shengjie Lin , Yizou Chen , Jing Liu , Yanqi Zhang , Ziming Miao , Ming-Chang Yang , Haiying Shen , Qi Chen , Fan Yang

We introduce a mapping framework for deep learning inference that takes advantage of predictable neural network behavior to plan both computation and communication ahead of time. The framework generates a unified stream of instructions and…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2025-09-05 Md Rownak Hossain Chowdhury , Mostafizur Rahman

We study the dynamic portfolio selection of an investor who uses deep learning methods to forecast stock market excess returns. In a two-asset allocation problem, deep neural networks -- both feedforward and long short-term memory (LSTM)…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-16 Mykola Babiak , Jozef Barunik

The fundamental theorem behind financial markets is that stock prices are intrinsically complex and stochastic. One of the complexities is the volatility associated with stock prices. Volatility is a tendency for prices to change…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Leonard Mushunje , Maxwell Mashasha , Edina Chandiwana

We introduce a model for limit order book of a certain security with two main features: First, both the limit orders and market orders for the given asset are allowed to appear and interact with each other. Second, the high frequency…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-24 Yun Chen-Shue , Yukun Li , Jiongmin Yong

We formulate a discrete-time Bayesian stochastic volatility model for high-frequency stock-market data that directly accounts for microstructure noise, and outline a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for parameter estimation. The methods…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-02 Georgi Dinolov , Abel Rodriguez , Hongyun Wang

This paper introduced key aspects of applying Machine Learning (ML) models, improved trading strategies, and the Quasi-Reversibility Method (QRM) to optimize stock option forecasting and trading results. It presented the findings of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-30 Zheng Cao , Raymond Guo , Wenyu Du , Jiayi Gao , Kirill V. Golubnichiy