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While uncertainty estimation for graphs recently gained traction, most methods rely on homophily and deteriorate in heterophilic settings. We address this by analyzing message passing neural networks from an information-theoretic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Dominik Fuchsgruber , Tom Wollschläger , Johannes Bordne , Stephan Günnemann

Recently, deep learning models have achieved great success in computer vision applications, relying on large-scale class-balanced datasets. However, imbalanced class distributions still limit the wide applicability of these models due to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Yechan Kim , Younkwan Lee , Moongu Jeon

In prediction problems, it is common to model the data-generating process and then use a model-based procedure, such as a Bayesian predictive distribution, to quantify uncertainty about the next observation. However, if the posited model is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-06 Pei-Shien Wu , Ryan Martin

Statistical decision algorithms are increasingly deployed in domains where ground-truth labels are hard to obtain, such as hiring, university admissions, and content moderation. In these settings, models are typically trained on historical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Calvin Isley , Johann D. Gaebler , Sharad Goel

Hyperbolic rotation is commonly used to effectively model knowledge graphs and their inherent hierarchies. However, existing hyperbolic rotation models rely on logarithmic and exponential mappings for feature transformation. These models…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Qiuyu Liang , Weihua Wang , Feilong Bao , Guanglai Gao

Handling uncertainty is critical for ensuring reliable decision-making in intelligent systems. Modern neural networks are known to be poorly calibrated, resulting in predicted confidence scores that are difficult to use. This article…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Gabriele Sanguin , Arjun Pakrashi , Marco Viola , Francesco Rinaldi

Drug repurposing is more relevant than ever due to drug development's rising costs and the need to respond to emerging diseases quickly. Knowledge graph embedding enables drug repurposing using heterogeneous data sources combined with…

Distance based knowledge graph embedding methods show promising results on link prediction task, on which two topics have been widely studied: one is the ability to handle complex relations, such as N-to-1, 1-to-N and N-to-N, the other is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-05-19 Linlin Chao , Jianshan He , Taifeng Wang , Wei Chu

The majority of knowledge graph embedding techniques treat entities and predicates as separate embedding matrices, using aggregation functions to build a representation of the input triple. However, these aggregations are lossy, i.e. they…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Alexander Kalinowski , Yuan An

Uncertainty quantification is essential for scientific analysis, as it allows for the evaluation and interpretation of variability and reliability in complex systems and datasets. In their original form, multivariate statistical regression…

Nowadays Knowledge Graphs constitute a mainstream approach for the representation of relational information on big heterogeneous data, however, they may contain a big amount of imputed noise when constructed automatically. To address this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-15 K. Bougiatiotis , R. Fasoulis , F. Aisopos , A. Nentidis , G. Paliouras

It is often observed that the probabilistic predictions given by a machine learning model can disagree with averaged actual outcomes on specific subsets of data, which is also known as the issue of miscalibration. It is responsible for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Feiyang Pan , Xiang Ao , Pingzhong Tang , Min Lu , Dapeng Liu , Lei Xiao , Qing He

Knowledge graph completion (a.k.a.~link prediction), i.e.,~the task of inferring missing information from knowledge graphs, is a widely used task in many applications, such as product recommendation and question answering. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Zoi Kaoudi , Abelardo Carlos Martinez Lorenzo , Volker Markl

The recent proliferation of knowledge graphs (KGs) coupled with incomplete or partial information, in the form of missing relations (links) between entities, has fueled a lot of research on knowledge base completion (also known as relation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-05 Deepak Nathani , Jatin Chauhan , Charu Sharma , Manohar Kaul

We present a family of novel methods for embedding knowledge graphs into real-valued tensors. These tensor-based embeddings capture the ordered relations that are typical in the knowledge graphs represented by semantic web languages like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Ankur Padia , Kostantinos Kalpakis , Francis Ferraro , Tim Finin

A reliable deep learning system should be able to accurately express its confidence with respect to its predictions, a quality known as calibration. One of the most effective ways to produce reliable confidence estimates with a pre-trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Thomas P. Zollo , Zhun Deng , Jake C. Snell , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

Calibration strengthens the trustworthiness of black-box models by producing better accurate confidence estimates on given examples. However, little is known about if model explanations can help confidence calibration. Intuitively, humans…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Dongfang Li , Baotian Hu , Qingcai Chen

Despite Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have achieved remarkable accuracy, whether the results are trustworthy is still unexplored. Previous studies suggest that many modern neural networks are over-confident on the predictions, however,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-05 Xiao Wang , Hongrui Liu , Chuan Shi , Cheng Yang

Reliable uncertainty estimation is crucial for perception systems in safe autonomous driving. Recently, many methods have been proposed to model uncertainties in deep learning based object detectors. However, the estimated probabilities are…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-09-30 Di Feng , Lars Rosenbaum , Claudius Glaeser , Fabian Timm , Klaus Dietmayer

The role of uncertainty quantification (UQ) in deep learning has become crucial with growing use of predictive models in high-risk applications. Though a large class of methods exists for measuring deep uncertainties, in practice, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-01 Bindya Venkatesh , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan