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Related papers: Probability Calibration for Knowledge Graph Embedd…

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Obtaining accurate and well calibrated probability estimates from classifiers is useful in many applications, for example, when minimising the expected cost of classifications. Existing methods of calibrating probability estimates are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-17 Tim Leathart , Eibe Frank , Geoffrey Holmes , Bernhard Pfahringer

Knowledge graphs represent information as structured triples and serve as the backbone for a wide range of applications, including question answering, link prediction, and recommendation systems. A prominent line of research for exploring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Rita T. Sousa , Heiko Paulheim

Little is known about the trustworthiness of predictions made by knowledge graph embedding (KGE) models. In this paper we take initial steps toward this direction by investigating the calibration of KGE models, or the extent to which they…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-07 Tara Safavi , Danai Koutra , Edgar Meij

Analyzing classification model performance is a crucial task for machine learning practitioners. While practitioners often use count-based metrics derived from confusion matrices, like accuracy, many applications, such as weather…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-07-29 Peter Xenopoulos , Joao Rulff , Luis Gustavo Nonato , Brian Barr , Claudio Silva

Knowledge graphs are used to represent relational information in terms of triples. To enable learning about domains, embedding models, such as tensor factorization models, can be used to make predictions of new triples. Often there is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-11 Bahare Fatemi , Siamak Ravanbakhsh , David Poole

Knowledge graph embeddings rank among the most successful methods for link prediction in knowledge graphs, i.e., the task of completing an incomplete collection of relational facts. A downside of these models is their strong sensitivity to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-03 Robert Bamler , Farnood Salehi , Stephan Mandt

Graphs can model real-world, complex systems by representing entities and their interactions in terms of nodes and edges. To better exploit the graph structure, graph neural networks have been developed, which learn entity and edge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-06 Tong Liu , Yushan Liu , Marcel Hildebrandt , Mitchell Joblin , Hang Li , Volker Tresp

Knowledge bases often consist of facts which are harvested from a variety of sources, many of which are noisy and some of which conflict, resulting in a level of uncertainty for each triple. Knowledge bases are also often incomplete,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Xuelu Chen , Michael Boratko , Muhao Chen , Shib Sankar Dasgupta , Xiang Lorraine Li , Andrew McCallum

Accurate and reliable probability predictions are essential for multi-class supervised learning tasks, where well-calibrated models enable rational decision-making. While isotonic regression has proven effective for binary calibration, its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Alon Arad , Saharon Rosset

Knowledge graphs (KGs) are typically incomplete and we often wish to infer new facts given the existing ones. This can be thought of as a binary classification problem; we aim to predict if new facts are true or false. Unfortunately, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Ainaz Hajimoradlou , Mehran Kazemi

Confidence calibration -- the problem of predicting probability estimates representative of the true correctness likelihood -- is important for classification models in many applications. We discover that modern neural networks, unlike…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-04 Chuan Guo , Geoff Pleiss , Yu Sun , Kilian Q. Weinberger

Boosted decision trees typically yield good accuracy, precision, and ROC area. However, because the outputs from boosting are not well calibrated posterior probabilities, boosting yields poor squared error and cross-entropy. We empirically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Alexandru Niculescu-Mizil , Richard A. Caruana

The problem of knowledge graph (KG) reasoning has been widely explored by traditional rule-based systems and more recently by knowledge graph embedding methods. While logical rules can capture deterministic behavior in a KG they are brittle…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-24 Susheel Suresh , Jennifer Neville

Post-hoc calibration methods are widely used to improve the reliability of probabilistic predictions from machine learning models. Despite their prevalence, a comprehensive theoretical understanding of these methods remains elusive,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Kristina P. Sinaga , Arjun S. Nair

Predicting missing links between entities in a knowledge graph is a fundamental task to deal with the incompleteness of data on the Web. Knowledge graph embeddings map nodes into a vector space to predict new links, scoring them according…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Cosimo Gregucci , Mojtaba Nayyeri , Daniel Hernández , Steffen Staab

In recent years, we have witnessed the proliferation of knowledge graphs (KG) in various domains, aiming to support applications like question answering, recommendations, etc. A frequent task when integrating knowledge from different KGs is…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Nikolaos Fanourakis , Vasilis Efthymiou , Dimitris Kotzinos , Vassilis Christophides

Knowledge graph embedding aims at offering a numerical knowledge representation paradigm by transforming the entities and relations into continuous vector space. However, existing methods could not characterize the knowledge graph in a fine…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-06-20 Han Xiao , Minlie Huang , Xiaoyan Zhu

Previous literature has proved that Pretrained Language Models (PLMs) can store factual knowledge. However, we find that facts stored in the PLMs are not always correct. It motivates us to explore a fundamental question: How do we calibrate…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Qingxiu Dong , Damai Dai , Yifan Song , Jingjing Xu , Zhifang Sui , Lei Li

In the active research area of employing embedding models for knowledge graph completion, particularly for the task of link prediction, most prior studies used two benchmark datasets FB15k and WN18 in evaluating such models. Most triples in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-03-19 Farahnaz Akrami , Mohammed Samiul Saeef , Qingheng Zhang , Wei Hu , Chengkai Li

Embedding methods which enforce a partial order or lattice structure over the concept space, such as Order Embeddings (OE) (Vendrov et al., 2016), are a natural way to model transitive relational data (e.g. entailment graphs). However, OE…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-18 Luke Vilnis , Xiang Li , Shikhar Murty , Andrew McCallum
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