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We propose a method of detecting a phase transition in a generalized P\'olya urn in an information cascade experiment. The method is based on the asymptotic behavior of the correlation $C(t)$ between the first subject's choice and the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-02-15 Masafumi Hino , Yosuke Irie , Masato Hisakado , Taiki Takahashi , Shintaro Mori

We study an urn model introduced in the paper of Chen and Wei, where at each discrete time step $m$ balls are drawn at random from the urn containing colors white and black. Balls are added to the urn according to the inspected colors,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-23 May-Ru Chen , Markus Kuba

In this paper, we prove convergence and fluctuation results for measure-valued P\'olya processes (MVPPs, also known as P\'olya urns with infinitely-many colours). Our convergence results hold almost surely and in $L^2$, under assumptions…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Svante Janson , Cécile Mailler , Denis Villemonais

We study an urn process containing red and blue balls and two different strategies to reinforce the urn. Namely, a generalized P\'olya-type strategy versus an i.i.d. one. At each step, one of the two reinforcement strategies is chosen by…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Manuel González-Navarrete , Rodrigo Lambert

We obtain an optimal bound for a Gaussian approximation of a large class of vector-valued random processes. Our results provide a substantial generalization of earlier results that assume independence and/or stationarity. Based on the decay…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu

The generalized P\`olya urn (GPU) models and their variants have been investigated in several disciplines. However, typical assumptions made with respect to the GPU do not include urn models with diagonal replacement matrix, which arise in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-24 Andrea Ghiglietti , Anand N. Vidyashankar , William F. Rosenberger

We propose an elementary but effective approach to studying a general class of Poissonized tenable and balanced urns on two colors. We characterize the asymptotic behavior of the process via a partial differential equation that governs the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Chen Chen , Panpan Zhang

This study analyzes pass networks in football (soccer) using a stochastic model known as the P\'olya urn. By focusing on preferential selection, it theoretically demonstrates that the time evolution of networks can be characterized by a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-19 Ken Yamamoto

P{\'o}lya urns are urns where at each unit of time a ball is drawn and is replaced with some other balls according to its colour. We introduce a more general model: The replacement rule depends on the colour of the drawn ball and the value…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2018-06-22 Cyril Banderier , Philippe Marchal , Michael Wallner

We propose an approach to analyze the asymptotic behavior of P\'olya urns based on the contraction method. For this, a new combinatorial discrete time embedding of the evolution of the urn into random rooted trees is developed. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Margarete Knape , Ralph Neininger

Consider a P\'olya urn with balls of several colours, where balls are drawn sequentially and each drawn ball immediately is replaced together with a fixed number of balls of the same colour. It is well-known that the proportions of balls of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Svante Janson

For the most general Polya urn schemes, we establish the almost sure convergence of its composition. The only requirement is that there are always enough balls of both colors, so that the extractions can be indefinitely pursued according to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Ricardo Vélez

We study point processes that consist of certain centers of point tuples of an underlying Poisson process. Such processes arise in stochastic geometry in the study of exceedances of various functionals describing geometric properties of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-26 Moritz Otto

An urn containing specified numbers of balls of distinct ordered colors is considered. A multiple q-Polya urn model is introduced by assuming that the probability of q-drawing a ball of a specific color from the urn varies geometrically,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Charalambos A. Charalambides

This paper develops a new technique for the path approximation of one-dimensional stochastic processes, more precisely the Brownian motion and families of stochastic differential equations sharply linked to the Brownian motion (usually…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Madalina Deaconu , Samuel Herrmann

In this paper, we consider a multi-drawing urn model with random addition. At each discrete time step, we draw a sample of m balls. According to the composition of the drawn colors, we return the balls together with a random number of balls…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Rafik Aguech , Nabil Lasmar , Olfa Selmi

We study the number of white balls in a classical P\'olya urn model with the additional feature that, at random times, a black ball is added to the urn. The number of draws between these random times are i.i.d. and, under certain moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Erol Peköz , Adrian Röllin , Nathan Ross

The well-known Koml\'os-Major-Tusn\'ady inequalities [Z. Wahrsch. Verw. Gebiete 32 (1975) 111-131; Z. Wahrsch. Verw. Gebiete 34 (1976) 33-58] provide sharp inequalities to partial sums of iid standard exponential random variables by a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 Abdelhakim Necir

We consider a special case of the generalized P\'{o}lya's urn model introduced by Benaim et al (2013). Given a finite connected graph $G$, place a bin at each vertex. Two bins are called a pair if they share an edge of $G$. At discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-06 Jun Chen , Cyrille Lucas

In this work we generalize Polya urn schemes with possibly infinitely many colors and extend the earlier models described in [4, 5, 7]. We provide a novel and unique approach of representing the observed sequence of colors in terms a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-17 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Debleena Thacker