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In this article we focus on dynamic network data which describe interactions among a fixed population through time. We model this data using the latent space framework, in which the probability of a connection forming is expressed as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-21 Kathryn Turnbull , Christopher Nemeth , Matthew Nunes , Tyler McCormick

This paper proposes a linear categorical random coefficient model, in which the random coefficients follow parametric categorical distributions. The distributional parameters are identified based on a linear recurrence structure of moments…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-01 Zhan Gao , M. Hashem Pesaran

In this article we consider the nonparametric robust estimation problem for regression models in continuous time with semi-Markov noises observed in discrete time moments. An adaptive model selection procedure is proposed. A sharp…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Vlad Stefan Barbu , Slim Beltaief , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

We present a deep transformation model for probabilistic regression. Deep learning is known for outstandingly accurate predictions on complex data but in regression tasks, it is predominantly used to just predict a single number. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-02 Beate Sick , Torsten Hothorn , Oliver Dürr

Learning vector autoregressive models from multivariate time series is conventionally approached through least squares or maximum likelihood estimation. These methods typically assume a fully connected model which provides no direct insight…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-24 Kimmo Suotsalo , Yingying Xu , Jukka Corander , Johan Pensar

In this paper, we investigate diagonal estimation for large or implicit matrices, aiming to develop a novel and efficient stochastic algorithm that incorporates adaptive parameter selection. We explore the influence of different eigenvalue…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-16 Zongyuan Han , Wenhao Li , Shengxin Zhu

Machine teaching is an algorithmic framework for teaching a target hypothesis via a sequence of examples or demonstrations. We investigate machine teaching for temporal logic formulas -- a novel and expressive hypothesis class amenable to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Zhe Xu , Yuxin Chen , Ufuk Topcu

This work focuses on the dynamic hedging of financial derivatives, where a reinforcement learning algorithm is designed to minimize the variance of the delta hedging process. In contrast to previous research in this area, we apply…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Cong Zheng , Jiafa He , Can Yang

We present a probabilistic model with discrete latent variables that control the computation time in deep learning models such as ResNets and LSTMs. A prior on the latent variables expresses the preference for faster computation. The amount…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-04 Michael Figurnov , Artem Sobolev , Dmitry Vetrov

We introduce a novel generative formulation of deep probabilistic models implementing "soft" constraints on their function dynamics. In particular, we develop a flexible methodological framework where the modeled functions and derivatives…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-19 Marco Lorenzi , Maurizio Filippone

Complex systems are characterized by a huge number of degrees of freedom often interacting in a non-linear manner. In many cases macroscopic states, however, can be characterized by a small number of order parameters that obey stochastic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-02-20 David Kleinhans

We present an integrated approach for structure and parameter estimation in latent tree graphical models. Our overall approach follows a "divide-and-conquer" strategy that learns models over small groups of variables and iteratively merges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-19 Furong Huang , Niranjan U. N. , Ioakeim Perros , Robert Chen , Jimeng Sun , Anima Anandkumar

We consider nonlinear mixed effects models including high-dimensional covariates to model individual parameters variability. The objective is to identify relevant covariates among a large set under sparsity assumption and to estimate model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Antoine Caillebotte , Estelle Kuhn , Sarah Lemler

An estimation method is proposed for a wide variety of discrete time stochastic processes that have an intractable likelihood function but are otherwise conveniently specified by an integral transform such as the characteristic function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 T. Merkouris

We study approximation of non-autonomous linear differential equations with variable delay over infinite intervals. We use piecewise constant argument to obtain a corresponding discrete difference equation. The study of numerical…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Daniel Sepúlveda

We introduce sparse random projection, an important dimension-reduction tool from machine learning, for the estimation of discrete-choice models with high-dimensional choice sets. Initially, high-dimensional data are compressed into a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-21 Khai X. Chiong , Matthew Shum

This paper investigates how the discount factor and payoff functions can be identified in stationary infinite-horizon dynamic discrete choice models. In single-agent models, we show that common nonparametric assumptions on per-period…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-29 Yu Hao , Hiroyuki Kasahara , Katsumi Shimotsu

Deep learning has achieved impressive performance on many tasks in recent years. However, it has been found that it is still not enough for deep neural networks to provide only point estimates. For high-risk tasks, we need to assess the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-28 Yuandu Lai , Yucheng Shi , Yahong Han , Yunfeng Shao , Meiyu Qi , Bingshuai Li

We consider chance-constrained problems with discrete random distribution. We aim for problems with a large number of scenarios. We propose a novel method based on the stochastic gradient descent method which performs updates of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Lukáš Adam , Martin Branda

Semiparametric regression offers a flexible framework for modeling non-linear relationships between a response and covariates. A prime example are generalized additive models where splines (say) are used to approximate non-linear functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-05 Francis K. C. Hui , Chong You , Han Lin Shang , Samuel Müller