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Accurate precipitation forecasts are crucial for applications such as flood management, agricultural planning, water resource allocation, and weather warnings. Despite advances in numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, they still…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-02 Simone Monaco , Luca Monaco , Daniele Apiletti

Accurate precipitation forecasting is a vital challenge of societal importance. Though data-driven approaches have emerged as a widely used solution, solely relying on data-driven approaches has limitations in modeling the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Yujin Tang , Jiaming Zhou , Xiang Pan , Zeying Gong , Junwei Liang

Accurate quantitative precipitation forecasting (QPF) remains one of the main challenges in numerical weather prediction (NWP), primarily due to the difficulty of representing the full complexity of atmospheric microphysics through…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-05 ChangJae Lee , Heecheol Yang , Byeonggwon Kim

Precipitation forecasting is an important scientific challenge that has wide-reaching impacts on society. Historically, this challenge has been tackled using numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, grounded on physics-based simulations.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Taehyeon Kim , Namgyu Ho , Donggyu Kim , Se-Young Yun

Accurate weather forecasts are essential for supporting a wide range of activities and decision-making processes, as well as mitigating the impacts of adverse weather events. While traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) remains the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Daniele Zambon , Michele Cattaneo , Ivan Marisca , Jonas Bhend , Daniele Nerini , Cesare Alippi

Deep learning has been utilized for the statistical downscaling of climate data. Specifically, a two-dimensional (2D) convolutional neural network (CNN) has been successfully applied to precipitation estimation. This study implements a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Takeyoshi Nagasato , Kei Ishida , Ali Ercan , Tongbi Tu , Masato Kiyama , Motoki Amagasaki , Kazuki Yokoo

Accurate precipitation estimation is critical for flood forecasting, water resource management, and disaster preparedness. Satellite products provide global hourly coverage but contain systematic biases; ground-based gauges are accurate at…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Shunya Nagashima , Takumi Bannai , Shuitsu Koyama , Tomoya Mitsui , Shuntaro Suzuki

While numerical weather prediction (NWP) models are essential for forecasting thunderstorms hours in advance, NWP uncertainty, which increases with lead time, limits the predictability of thunderstorm occurrence. This study investigates how…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-02-20 Kianusch Vahid Yousefnia , Tobias Bölle , Christoph Metzl

The formation of precipitation in state-of-the-art weather and climate models is an important process. The understanding of its relationship with other variables can lead to endless benefits, particularly for the world's monsoon regions…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-08-25 Manmeet Singh , Bipin Kumar , Suryachandra Rao , Sukhpal Singh Gill , Rajib Chattopadhyay , Ravi S Nanjundiah , Dev Niyogi

Forecasting rainfall in tropical areas is challenging due to complex atmospheric behaviour, elevated humidity levels, and the common presence of convective rain events. In the Indian context, the difficulty is further exacerbated because of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Ajay Devda , Akshay Sunil , Murthy R , B Deepthi

Photovoltaic (PV) power generation has emerged as one of the lead renewable energy sources. Yet, its production is characterized by high uncertainty, being dependent on weather conditions like solar irradiance and temperature. Predicting PV…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Johan Mathe , Nina Miolane , Nicolas Sebastien , Jeremie Lequeux

Complex numerical weather prediction models incorporate a variety of physical processes, each described by multiple alternative physical schemes with specific parameters. The selection of the physical schemes and the choice of the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-02-23 Azam Moosavi , Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu

Correctly forecasting the timing and location of changes in winter precipitation type could help decision makers mitigate the worst impacts of winter storms. Multiple precipitation type algorithms have been developed from both physical and…

With the intensification of global climate change, accurate prediction of weather indicators is of great significance in disaster prevention and mitigation, agricultural production, and transportation. Precipitation, as one of the key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Yuchen Wang , Pengfei Jia , Zhitao Shu , Keyan Liu , Abdul Rashid Mohamed Shariff

Climate change has led to an increase in frequency of extreme weather events. Early warning systems can prevent disasters and loss of life. Managing such events remain a challenge for both public and private institutions. Precipitation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-13 Ajitabh Kumar

As the peak of the solar cycle approaches in 2025 and the ability of a single geomagnetic storm to significantly alter the orbit of Resident Space Objects (RSOs), techniques for atmospheric density forecasting are vital for space…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-27 Julia Briden , Peng Mun Siew , Victor Rodriguez-Fernandez , Richard Linares

While widely recognized as one of the most substantial weather forecasting methodologies, Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) usually suffers from relatively coarse resolution and inevitable bias due to tempo-spatial discretization, physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-21 Pengwei Liu , Wenwei Wang , Bingqing Peng , Binqing Wu , Liang Sun

Meteorological agencies around the world rely on real-time flood guidance to issue life-saving advisories and warnings. For decades traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models have been state-of-the-art for precipitation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Levi Harris , Tianlong Chen

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) and machine learning (ML) methods are popular for solar forecasting. However, NWP models have multiple possible physical parameterizations, which requires site-specific NWP optimization. This is further…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Nigel Yuan Yun Ng , Harish Gopalan , Venugopalan S. G. Raghavan , Chin Chun Ooi

Physics parameterizations are often needed for numerical weather prediction (NWP) of precipitation forecast. This is mainly because the resolutions of most computational atmospheric models are not fine enough to explicitly resolve sub-grid…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-19 Khanh Hung Mai , Duc Le , Kazuo Saito , Tomizawa Futo , Yohei Sawada