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As the statistical power of imaging surveys grows, it is crucial to account for all systematic uncertainties. This is normally done by constructing a model of these uncertainties and then marginalizing over the additional model parameters.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-03 Jaime Ruiz-Zapatero , Boryana Hadzhiyska , David Alonso , Pedro G. Ferreira , Carlos García-García , Arrykrishna Mootoovaloo

Conventional algorithms for galaxy power spectrum estimation measure the true spectrum convolved with a survey window function, which, for parameter inference, must be compared with a similarly convolved theory model. In this work, we…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-05-12 Oliver H. E. Philcox

In the following article we provide an exposition of exact computational methods to perform parameter inference from partially observed network models. In particular, we consider the duplication attachment (DA) model which has a likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-20 Junshan Wang , Ajay Jasra , Maria De Iorio

Modelling of the weak lensing of the CMB will be crucial to obtain correct cosmological parameter constraints from forthcoming precision CMB anisotropy observations. The lensing affects the power spectrum as well as inducing…

Astrophysics · Physics 2010-11-17 Antony Lewis

Focusing on the well motivated aperture mass statistics $\Map$, we study the possibility of constraining cosmological parameters using future space based SNAP class weak lensing missions. Using completely analytical results we construct the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dipak Munshi , Patrick Valageas

We apply two Bayesian hierarchical inference schemes to infer shear power spectra, shear maps and cosmological parameters from the CFHTLenS weak lensing survey - the first application of this method to data. In the first approach, we sample…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-05-10 Justin Alsing , Alan F. Heavens , Andrew H. Jaffe

Particle MCMC is a class of algorithms that can be used to analyse state-space models. They use MCMC moves to update the parameters of the models, and particle filters to propose values for the path of the state-space model. Currently the…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-25 Chris Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead

We study the correlations of the shear signal between triplets of sources in the Canada-France-Hawaii Lensing Survey (CFHTLenS) to probe cosmological parameters via the matter bispectrum. In contrast to previous studies, we adopted a…

We forecast the benefits induced by adding the bispectrum anisotropic signal to the standard, two- and three-point, clustering statistics analysis. In particular, we forecast cosmological parameter constraints including the bispectrum…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-22 Davide Gualdi , Licia Verde

We present a multi-fidelity method for uncertainty quantification of parameter estimates in complex systems, leveraging generative models trained to sample the target conditional distribution. In the Bayesian inference setting, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Caroline Tatsuoka , Minglei Yang , Dongbin Xiu , Guannan Zhang

Ground and space-based sky surveys enable powerful cosmological probes based on measurements of galaxy properties and the distribution of galaxies in the Universe. These probes include weak lensing, baryon acoustic oscillations, abundance…

Likelihood-free Bayesian inference algorithms are popular methods for calibrating the parameters of complex, stochastic models, required when the likelihood of the observed data is intractable. These algorithms characteristically rely…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , David J Warne , Ruth E Baker

Simulation models of critical systems often have parameters that need to be calibrated using observed data. For expensive simulation models, calibration is done using an emulator of the simulation model built on simulation output at…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-24 Özge Sürer , Matthew Plumlee , Stefan M. Wild

To accurately reproduce measurements from the real world, simulators need to have an adequate model of the physical system and require the parameters of the model be identified. We address the latter problem of estimating parameters through…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Eric Heiden , Christopher E. Denniston , David Millard , Fabio Ramos , Gaurav S. Sukhatme

In this study, we introduce a novel analytical Gaussian Process (GP) cosmography methodology, leveraging the differentiable properties of GPs to derive key cosmological quantities analytically. Our approach combines cosmic chronometer (CC)…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-19 Bikash R. Dinda

Covariance matrices are essential cosmological probes of fundamental physics, providing information on numerous fundamental physical parameters and varying with any change in the underlying cosmology. However, this cosmology dependence,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-21 Theodore Steele , Robert Smith , Roisin O'Connor

This paper presents a detailed theoretical analysis of the three stochastic approximation proximal gradient algorithms proposed in our companion paper [49] to set regularization parameters by marginal maximum likelihood estimation. We prove…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-14 Valentin De Bortoli , Alain Durmus , Ana F. Vidal , Marcelo Pereyra

Models of stochastic processes are widely used in almost all fields of science. Theory validation, parameter estimation, and prediction all require model calibration and statistical inference using data. However, data are almost always…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-07 David J. Warne , Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

Cosmological simulations play a crucial role in elucidating the effect of physical parameters on the statistics of fields and on constraining parameters given information on density fields. We leverage diffusion generative models to address…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-13 Nayantara Mudur , Carolina Cuesta-Lazaro , Douglas P. Finkbeiner

In this paper, we present a novel approach to accelerate the Bayesian inference process, focusing specifically on the nested sampling algorithms. Bayesian inference plays a crucial role in cosmological parameter estimation, providing a…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-17 Isidro Gómez-Vargas , J. Alberto Vázquez