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We deal with a generalization of the classical risk model when an insurance company gets additional funds whenever a claim arrives and consider some practical approaches to the estimation of the ruin probability. In particular, we get an…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yuliya Mishura , Olena Ragulina , Oleksandr Stroyev

We study a stochastic matrix model to understand the mechanics of risk-spreading (or bet-hedging) by dispersion. Such model has been mostly dealt numerically except for well-mixed case, so far. Here, we present an analytical result, which…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-11-12 Satoru Morita , Jin Yoshimura

We investigate the optimal investment-reinsurance problem for insurance company with partial information on the market price of the risk. Through the use of filtering techniques we convert the original optimization problem involving…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-15 Claudia Ceci , Katia Colaneri

We investigate a dividend maximization problem under stochastic interest rates with Ornstein-Uhlenbeck dynamics. This setup also takes negative rates into account. First a deterministic time is considered, where an explicit separating curve…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Julia Eisenberg , Stefan Kremsner , Alexander Steinicke

We propose a stochastic model allowing property and casualty insurers with multiple business lines to measure their liabilities for incurred claims risk and calculate associated capital requirements. Our model includes many desirable…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-07 Carlos Andrés Araiza Iturria , Frédéric Godin , Mélina Mailhot

This article studies a portfolio optimization problem, where the market consisting of several stocks is modeled by a multi-dimensional jump-diffusion process with age-dependent semi-Markov modulated coefficients. We study risk sensitive…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-21 Milan Kumar Das , Anindya Goswami , Nimit Rana

This paper investigates a dividend optimization problem with a positive creeping-associated terminal value at ruin for spectrally negative Levy processes. We consider an insurance company whose surplus process evolves according to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Chongrui Zhu

We study the dual model with capital injection under the additional condition that the dividend strategy is absolutely continuous. We consider a refraction-reflection strategy that pays dividends at the maximal rate whenever the surplus is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-24 José-Luis Pérez , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We disucss a statistical estimation problem of an optimal dividend barrier when the surplus process follows a L\'{e}vy insurance risk process. The optimal dividend barrier is defined as the level of the barrier that maximizes the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-14 Yasutaka Shimizu , Hiroshi Shiraishi

We propose a mathematical model of momentum risk-taking, which is essentially real-time risk management focused on short-term volatility of stock markets. Its implementation, our fully automated momentum equity trading system presented…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-18 Ivan Cherednik

We propose a distributionally robust return-risk model for Markov decision processes (MDPs) under risk and reward ambiguity. The proposed model optimizes the weighted average of mean and percentile performances, and it covers the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-05 Haolin Ruan , Zhi Chen , Chin Pang Ho

In this paper we solve the dividend optimization problem for a corporation or a financial institution when the managers of the corporation are facing (regulatory) implementation delays. We consider several cash reservoir models for the firm…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-01-21 Erhan Bayraktar , Masahiko Egami

In order to properly manage risk, practitioners must understand the aggregate risks they are exposed to. Additionally, to properly price policies and calculate bonuses the relative riskiness of individual business units must be well…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-22 Andrew Fleck , Edward Furman , Yang Shen

This paper focuses on linearisation techniques for a class of mixed singular/continuous control problems and ensuing algorithms. The motivation comes from (re)insurance problems with reserve-dependent premiums with Cram{\'e}r-Lundberg…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Dan Goreac , Juan Li , Boxiang Xu

The frequent occurrence of natural disasters has posed significant challenges to society, necessitating the urgent development of effective risk management strategies. From the early informal community-based risk sharing mechanisms to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-06 Lichen Wang , Shijia Hua , Yuyuan Liu , Zhengyuan Lu , Liang Zhang , Linjie Liu , Attila Szolnoki

This paper studies the bail-out optimal dividend problem with regime switching under the constraint that the cumulative dividend strategy is absolutely continuous. We confirm the optimality of the regime-modulated refraction-reflection…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-10 Kei Noba , José-Luis Pérez , Xiang Yu

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution of $n$ independent random variables. Our approach is based on a family of candidate probabilities that we shall call a model and which is chosen to either contain the true…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Yannick Baraud

Probabilistic model checking can provide formal guarantees on the behavior of stochastic models relating to a wide range of quantitative properties, such as runtime, energy consumption or cost. But decision making is typically with respect…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Ingy Elsayed-Aly , David Parker , Lu Feng

We introduce an equilibrium asset pricing model, which we build on the relationship between a novel risk measure, the Expected Downside Risk (EDR) and the expected return. On the one hand, our proposed risk measure uses a nonparametric…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-08 Mihaly Ormos , Dusan Timotity

The proposed model modifies option pricing formulas for the basic case of log-normal probability distribution providing correspondence to formulated criteria of efficiency and completeness. The model is self-calibrating by historic…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Pavel Levin