Related papers: Exit times for some nonlinear autoregressive proce…

Using martingale theory, we compute, in very few lines, exact analytical expressions for various first-exit-time statistics associated with one-dimensional biased diffusion. Examples include the distribution for the first-exit time from an…

This paper studies the residual empirical process of long- and short-memory time series regression models and establishes its uniform expansion under a general framework. The results are applied to the stochastic regression models and…

The exit problem for small perturbations of a dynamical system in a domain is considered. It is assumed that the unperturbed dynamical system and the domain satisfy the Levinson conditions. We assume that the random perturbation affects the…

First passage phenomena arise across physics, biology, and finance when stochastic processes first reach a threshold, triggering downstream events. Examples include the irreversible exit from a domain, a biochemical reaction, a financial…

We study the large deviation function for the empirical measure of diffusing particles at one fixed position. We find that the large deviation function exhibits anomalous system size dependence in systems that satisfy the following…

Stochastic processes with random reinforced relocations have been introduced in the physics literature to model animal foraging behaviour. Such a process evolves as a Markov process, except at random relocation times, when it chooses a time…

Linear fractional Galton-Watson branching processes in i.i.d.~random environment are, on the quenched level, intimately connected to random difference equations by the evolution of the random parameters of their linear fractional marginals.…

For one-dimensional Jump-Drift and Jump-Diffusion processes converging towards some steady state, the large deviations of a long dynamical trajectory are described from two perspectives. Firstly, the joint probability of the empirical…

In this paper we study the joint distributions of the telegraph process and its maximum conditioned on the number of changes of direction and the initial velocity. We prove that in the case of positive starting velocity, a form of the…

We study the long-time behavior of the probability density Q_t of the first exit time from a bounded interval [-L,L] for a stochastic non-Markovian process h(t) describing fluctuations at a given point of a two-dimensional, infinite in both…

The main result in this paper is a variational formula for the exit rate from a bounded domain for a diffusion process in terms of the stationary law of the diffusion constrained to remain in this domain forever. Related results on the…

We prove existence of the large deviation principle, with a proper convex rate function, for the distribution of the renormalized distance from the origin of a random walk on a free product of finitely generated groups. As a consequence, we…

We obtain large deviation results for a two time-scale model of jump-diffusion processes. The processes on the two time scales are fully inter-dependent, the slow process has small perturbative noise and the fast process is ergodic. Our…

Stochastic systems characterised by a random driving in a form of the general stable noise are considered. The particle experiences long rests due to the traps the density of which is position-dependent and obeys a power-law form attributed…

We study large deviations of a ratio observable in discrete-time reset processes. The ratio takes the form of a current divided by the number of reset steps and as such it is not extensive in time. A large deviation rate function can be…

This paper is devoted to establish an invariance principle where the limit process is a multifractional Gaussian process with a multifractional function which takes its values in $(1/2,1)$. Some properties, such as regularity and local…

Time delay estimation plays a critical role in control, stabilization and state estimation of many practical system with time delay. In this paper, we propose a method to estimate delay for discrete time linear multiple-input…

A fast convergence in a fixed-time of solutions of nonlinear dynamical systems, for which special requirements are satisfied on the derivative of a quadratic function calculated along the solutions of the system, is proposed. The conditions…

We consider an additive functional driven by a time-inhomogeneous Markov chain with a finite state space. Our study focuses on the joint distribution of the two-sided exit time and the state of the driving Markov chain at the time of exit,…

Functional time series whose sample elements are recorded sequentially over time are frequently encountered with increasing technology. Recent studies have shown that analyzing and forecasting of functional time series can be performed…