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This paper presents a deep learning framework based on Long Short-term Memory Network(LSTM) that predicts price movement of cryptocurrencies from trade-by-trade data. The main focus of this study is on predicting short-term price changes in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-16 Qi Zhao

Being able to predict stock prices might be the unspoken wish of stock investors. Although stock prices are complicated to predict, there are many theories about what affects their movements, including interest rates, news and social media.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-05 Roderick Karlemstrand , Ebba Leckström

Many studies have been undertaken by using machine learning techniques, including neural networks, to predict stock returns. Recently, a method known as deep learning, which achieves high performance mainly in image recognition and speech…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-14 Masaya Abe , Hideki Nakayama

Predicting financial markets and stock price movements requires analyzing a company's performance, historic price movements, industry-specific events alongside the influence of human factors such as social media and press coverage. We…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Ali Elahi , Fatemeh Taghvaei

Predicting stock price movements during Earnings Announcements (EAs) is a significant challenge due to market noise and high-impact price discontinuities. In this study, we evaluate whether pre-announcement news sentiment, firm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Manuel Noseda , Nathan Soldati , Marco Paina

One of the pillars to build a country's economy is the stock market. Over the years, people are investing in stock markets to earn as much profit as possible from the amount of money that they possess. Hence, it is vital to have a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-17 Ishu Gupta , Tarun Kumar Madan , Sukhman Singh , Ashutosh Kumar Singh

The primary objective of this work is to develop a Neural Network based on LSTM to predict stock market movements using tweets. Word embeddings, used in the LSTM network, are initialised using Stanford's GloVe embeddings, pretrained…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-01-25 Kavyashree Ranawat , Stefano Giani

Sentiment-based stock prediction systems aim to explore sentiment or event signals from online corpora and attempt to relate the signals to stock price variations. Both the feature-based and neural-networks-based approaches have delivered…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Yue Zhou , Kerstin Voigt

The prediction of a stock price has always been a challenging issue, as its volatility can be affected by many factors such as national policies, company financial reports, industry performance, and investor sentiment etc.. In this paper,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-08 Qiao Zhou , Ningning Liu

For the development of successful share trading strategies, forecasting the course of action of the stock market index is important. Effective prediction of closing stock prices could guarantee investors attractive benefits. Machine…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-16 Nazish Ashfaq , Zubair Nawaz , Muhammad Ilyas

Financial news contains useful information on public companies and the market. In this paper we apply the popular word embedding methods and deep neural networks to leverage financial news to predict stock price movements in the market.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-06-25 Yangtuo Peng , Hui Jiang

A comparative analysis of deep learning models and traditional statistical methods for stock price prediction uses data from the Nigerian stock exchange. Historical data, including daily prices and trading volumes, are employed to implement…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-11 Opeyemi Sheu Alamu , Md Kamrul Siam

Stock market prediction is still a challenging problem because there are many factors effect to the stock market price such as company news and performance, industry performance, investor sentiment, social media sentiment and economic…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-01 Rosdyana Mangir Irawan Kusuma , Trang-Thi Ho , Wei-Chun Kao , Yu-Yen Ou , Kai-Lung Hua

We propose three different data-driven approaches for pricing European-style call options using supervised machine-learning algorithms. These approaches yield models that give a range of fair prices instead of a single price point. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-08 Anindya Goswami , Sharan Rajani , Atharva Tanksale

We have applied a Long Short-Term Memory neural network to model S&P 500 volatility, incorporating Google domestic trends as indicators of the public mood and macroeconomic factors. In a held-out test set, our Long Short-Term Memory model…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-17 Ruoxuan Xiong , Eric P. Nichols , Yuan Shen

The application of deep learning techniques for predicting stock market prices is a prominent and widely researched topic in the field of data science. To effectively predict market trends, it is essential to utilize a diversified dataset.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-18 Yuhui Jin

There has been much interest in accurate cryptocurrency price forecast models by investors and researchers. Deep Learning models are prominent machine learning techniques that have transformed various fields and have shown potential for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Jingyang Wu , Xinyi Zhang , Fangyixuan Huang , Haochen Zhou , Rohtiash Chandra

In finance, the weak form of the Efficient Market Hypothesis asserts that historic stock price and volume data cannot inform predictions of future prices. In this paper we show that, to the contrary, future intra-day stock prices could be…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-23 David Byrd , Tucker Hybinette Balch

Predictive model design for accurately predicting future stock prices has always been considered an interesting and challenging research problem. The task becomes complex due to the volatile and stochastic nature of the stock prices in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Jaydip Sen , Saikat Mondal , Sidra Mehtab

The evaluation of the financial markets to predict their behaviour have been attempted using a number of approaches, to make smart and profitable investment decisions. Owing to the highly non-linear trends and inter-dependencies, it is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-02 Shaswat Mohanty , Anirudh Vijay , Nandagopan Gopakumar