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We propose a novel framework for fitting additive quantile regression models, which provides well calibrated inference about the conditional quantiles and fast automatic estimation of the smoothing parameters, for model structures as…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-13 M. Fasiolo , S. N. Wood , M. Zaffran , R. Nedellec , Y. Goude

As data volume grows extensively, data profiling helps to extract metadata of large-scale data. However, one kind of metadata, order statistics, is difficult to be computed because they are not mergeable or incremental. Thus, the limitation…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-06-29 Zhiwei Chen , Aoqian Zhang

Due to accessible big data collections from consumers, products, and stores, advanced sales forecasting capabilities have drawn great attention from many companies especially in the retail business because of its importance in decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-09 Xuan Bi , Gediminas Adomavicius , William Li , Annie Qu

We propose a novel machine learning approach for forecasting the distribution of stock returns using a rich set of firm-level and market predictors. Our method combines a two-stage quantile neural network with spline interpolation to…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-05 Jozef Barunik , Martin Hronec , Ondrej Tobek

This study considers a continuous-review inventory model for a single item with two replenishment modes. Replenishments may occur continuously at any time with a higher unit cost, or at discrete times governed by Poisson arrivals with a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-31 José Luis Pérez , Kazutoshi Yamazaki , Qingyuan Zhang

Robotized warehouses are deployed to automatically distribute millions of items brought by the massive logistic orders from e-commerce. A key to automated item distribution is to plan paths for robots, also known as task planning, where…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-10 Dingyuan Shi , Yongxin Tong , Zimu Zhou , Ke Xu , Wenzhe Tan , Hongbo Li

Shared mobility services require accurate demand models for effective service planning. On the one hand, modeling the full probability distribution of demand is advantageous because the entire uncertainty structure preserves valuable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Frederik Boe Hüttel , Inon Peled , Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco C. Pereira

Probabilistic forecasting, i.e. estimating the probability distribution of a time series' future given its past, is a key enabler for optimizing business processes. In retail businesses, for example, forecasting demand is crucial for having…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-25 David Salinas , Valentin Flunkert , Jan Gasthaus

For online resource allocation problems, we propose a new demand arrival model where the sequence of arrivals contains both an adversarial component and a stochastic one. Our model requires no demand forecasting; however, due to the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-10-02 Dawsen Hwang , Patrick Jaillet , Vahideh Manshadi

This paper contributes to the literature on parametric demand estimation by using deep learning to model consumer preferences. Traditional econometric methods often struggle with limited within-product price variation, a challenge addressed…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-16 Kirill Safonov

In this paper, we focus on distributed estimation and support recovery for high-dimensional linear quantile regression. Quantile regression is a popular alternative tool to the least squares regression for robustness against outliers and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Caixing Wang , Ziliang Shen

Industrial Vending Machines (IVMs) automate the dispensing of a variety of supplies like safety equipment and tools at customer sites, providing 24/7 access while tracking inventory in real-time. Industrial distribution companies typically…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Karina M. Sindermann , Esma S. Gel , Nesim K. Erkip

This paper develops a practical framework for using observational data to audit the consumer surplus effects of AI-driven decisions, specifically in targeted pricing and algorithmic lending. Traditional approaches first estimate demand…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Zeyu Bian , Max Biggs , Ruijiang Gao , Zhengling Qi

Supply and demand are two fundamental concepts of sellers and customers. Predicting demand accurately is critical for organizations in order to be able to make plans. In this paper, we propose a new approach for demand prediction on an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Resul Tugay , Sule Gunduz Oguducu

Forecasting product demand in retail supply chains presents a complex challenge due to noisy, heterogeneous features and rapidly shifting consumer behavior. While traditional gradient boosting decision trees (GBDT) offer strong predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Yadi Liu , Xiaoli Ma , Muxin Ge , Zeyu Han , Jingxi Qiu , Ye Aung Moe , Yilan Shen , Wenbin Wei , Cheng Huang

One of the important factors of profitability is the volume of transactions. An accurate prediction of the future transaction volume becomes a pivotal factor in shaping corporate operations and decision-making processes. E-commerce has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Meng Wang , Yuchen Liu , Gangmin Li , Terry R. Payne , Yong Yue , Ka Lok Man

We investigate the use of Reinforcement Learning for the optimal execution of meta-orders, where the objective is to execute incrementally large orders while minimizing implementation shortfall and market impact over an extended period of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-20 Tomas Espana , Yadh Hafsi , Fabrizio Lillo , Edoardo Vittori

We propose a novel multi-task method for quantile forecasting with shared Linear layers. Our method is based on the Implicit quantile learning approach, where samples from the Uniform distribution $\mathcal{U}(0, 1)$ are reparameterized to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Shayan Jawed , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

We propose a simulated annealing algorithm specifically tailored to optimise total retrieval times in a multi-level warehouse under complex pre-batched picking constraints. Experiments on real data from a picker-to-parts order picking…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-04-05 Alexander Eckrot , Carina Geldhauser , Jan Jurczyk

This article focuses on the study of lactating sows, where the main interest is the influence of temperature, measured throughout the day, on the lower quantiles of the daily feed intake. We outline a model framework and estimation…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-03 Maria Laura Battagliola , Helle Sørensen , Anders Tolver , Ana-Maria Staicu