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Related papers: A Chaotic Approach on Solar Irradiance Forecasting

200 papers

We present a method to incorporate global orientation information from the sun into a visual odometry pipeline using only the existing image stream, where the sun is typically not visible. We leverage recent advances in Bayesian…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-08-20 Valentin Peretroukhin , Lee Clement , Jonathan Kelly

We present a comparison of two methods of fitting solar-like variability to increase the efficiency of detection of Earth-like planetary transits across the disk of a Sun-like star. One of them is the harmonic fitting method that coupled…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. S. Bonomo , A. F. Lanza

Mid-infrared astronomy (operating at wavelengths ranging from 2 to 25 $\mu$m) has progressed significantly in the last decades, thanks to the improvement of detector techniques and the growing diameter of telescopes. Space observatories…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2011-06-16 O. Berne , A. G. G. M. Tielens , P. Pilleri , C. Joblin

Optical chaos is a topic of current research characterized by high-dimensional nonlinearity which is attributed to the delay-induced dynamics, high bandwidth and easy modular implementation of optical feedback. In light of these facts,…

Optics · Physics 2011-03-01 S. Banerjee , L. Rondoni , S. Mukhopadhyay , A. P. Misra

We report a new solution to explain the observed deficit of the solar neutrino flux by Homestake, Kamiokande II and III, GALLEX and SAGE experiments. We use the matter mixing and the helicity oscillation in the twisting magnetic fields in…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-02-01 K. Ohta , E. Takasugi

We perform a quantitative analysis of the solar composition problem by using a statistical approach that allows us to combine the information provided by helioseimic and solar neutrino data in an effective way. We include in our analysis…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-18 F. L. Villante , A. M. Serenelli , F. Delahaye , M. H. Pinsonneault

With the expected rise in behind-the-meter solar penetration within the distribution networks, there is a need to develop time-series forecasting methods that can reliably predict the net-load, accurately quantifying its uncertainty and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-10 Deepthi Sen , Indrasis Chakraborty , Soumya Kundu , Andrew P. Reiman , Ian Beil , Andy Eiden

Solar irradiance variations across various timescales, from minutes to centuries, represents a potential natural driver of past regional and global climate cold phases. To accurately assess the Sun's effect on climate, particularly during…

The need to forecast solar irradiation at a specific location over short-time horizons has acquired immense importance. In this paper, we report on analyses results involving statistical and machine learning techniques to predict hourly…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-29 Alireza Inanlougani , T. Agami Reddy , Srinivas Katiamula

Aims. We present further development of the rolling root mean square (rRMS) algorithm. These improvements consist of an increase in computational speed and an estimation of the uncertainty on the recovered diagnostics. This improvement is…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-13 Aaron W. Peat , Nicolas Labrosse , Krzysztof Barczynski , Brigitte Schmieder

This paper provides a benchmark to evaluate operational day-ahead solar irradiance forecasts of Global Forecast System (GFS) for solar energy applications in China. First, GFS day-ahead solar irradiance forecasts are validated…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-07-06 Yue Zhang , Yanbo Shen , Xiangao Xia , Guangyu Shi

Solar irradiance measurements are limited to the last few decades, requiring reconstructions to assess solar variability on longer timescales and its impact on Earth's climate. We present the first physics-based reconstruction of total…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-22 D. Temaj , N. A. Krivova , S. K. Solanki , I. G. Usoskin , T. Chatzistergos

The rapid growth of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems necessitates advanced methods for performance monitoring and anomaly detection to ensure optimal operation. In this study, we propose a novel approach leveraging Temporal Graph Neural…

Solar irradiance is fundamental data crucial for analyses related to weather and climate. High-precision estimation models are necessary to create areal data for solar irradiance. In this study, we developed a novel estimation model by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-08 Jun Sasaki , Maki Okada , Kenji Utsunomiya , Koji Yamaguchi

The Sun is the main energy source to Earth, and understanding its variability is of direct relevance to climate studies. Measurements of total solar irradiance exist since 1978, but this is too short compared to climate-relevant time…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-17 Theodosios Chatzistergos , Natalie A. Krivova , Kok Leng Yeo

When inverting solar spectra, image degradation effects that are present in the data are usually approximated or not considered. We develop a data reduction method that takes these issues into account and minimizes the resulting errors. By…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 M. van Noort

The linear response of synchronized time-delayed chaotic systems to small external perturbations, i.e., the phenomenon of chaos pass filter, is investigated for iterated maps. The distribution of distances, i.e., the deviations between two…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-12 Steffen Zeeb , Johannes Kestler , Ido Kanter , Wolfgang Kinzel

Solar flares are among the most powerful and dynamic events in the solar system, resulting from the sudden release of magnetic energy stored in the Sun's atmosphere. These energetic bursts of electromagnetic radiation can release up to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-05-07 Julia Bringewald

The determination of horizontal velocity fields at the solar surface is crucial to understanding the dynamics and magnetism of the convection zone of the sun. These measurements can be done by tracking granules. Tracking granules from…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 R. Tkaczuk , M. Rieutord , N. Meunier , T. Roudier

We present a new solar radio imaging system implemented through the upgrade of the large single-dish telescopes of the Italian National Institute for Astrophysics (INAF), not originally conceived for solar observations. During the…