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The goal of this research is to derive an approach to assess uncertainty in an arbitrary volume conditioned by sampling data, without using geostatistical simulation. We have accomplished this goal by deriving an numerical tool suitable for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-22 Alvaro I. Riquelme , Julian M. Ortiz

Forecasting techniques for assessing the power of future experiments to discriminate between theories or discover new laws of nature are of great interest in many areas of science. In this paper, we introduce a Bayesian forecasting method…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-09-24 Mohammad Hossein Namjoo

Several proofs of the monotonicity of the non-Gaussianness (divergence with respect to a Gaussian random variable with identical second order statistics) of the sum of n independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables were…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Jacob Binia

The Gaussian mechanism is an essential building block used in multitude of differentially private data analysis algorithms. In this paper we revisit the Gaussian mechanism and show that the original analysis has several important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-08 Borja Balle , Yu-Xiang Wang

Variational Bayesian Inference is a popular methodology for approximating posterior distributions over Bayesian neural network weights. Recent work developing this class of methods has explored ever richer parameterizations of the…

Prediction is a central task of statistics and machine learning, yet many inferential settings provide only partial information, typically in the form of moment constraints or estimating equations. We develop a finite, fully Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Nicholas G. Polson , Daniel Zantedeschi

The explicit solution of the discrete time filtering problems with exponential criteria for a general Gaussian signal is obtained through an approach based on a conditional Cameron-Martin type formula. This key formula is derived for…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-14 M. L. Kleptsyna , A. Le Breton , M. Viot

Causal discovery aims to recover causal structures or models underlying the observed data. Despite its success in certain domains, most existing methods focus on causal relations between observed variables, while in many scenarios the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-19 Feng Xie , Ruichu Cai , Biwei Huang , Clark Glymour , Zhifeng Hao , Kun Zhang

Testing hypothesis of independence between two random elements on a joint alphabet is a fundamental exercise in statistics. Pearson's chi-squared test is an effective test for such a situation when the contingency table is relatively small.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Jialin Zhang , Zhiyi Zhang

Variational methods play an important role in the study of quantum many-body problems, both in the flavor of classical variational principles based on tensor networks as well as of quantum variational principles in near-term quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-02-18 J. Eisert

One of the goals of probabilistic inference is to decide whether an empirically observed distribution is compatible with a candidate Bayesian network. However, Bayesian networks with hidden variables give rise to highly non-trivial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-14 R. Chaves , L. Luft , T. O. Maciel , D. Gross , D. Janzing , B. Schölkopf

We introduce new methods and tools to study and characterise classical and quantum correlations emerging from prepare-and-measure experiments with informationally restricted communication. We consider the most general kind of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-01-12 Armin Tavakoli , Emmanuel Zambrini Cruzeiro , Erik Woodhead , Stefano Pironio

We study the evolution of conditional mutual information in generic open quantum systems, focusing on one-dimensional random circuits with interspersed local noise. Unlike in noiseless circuits, where conditional mutual information spreads…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-11-18 Su-un Lee , Changhun Oh , Yat Wong , Senrui Chen , Liang Jiang

In physics we often use very simple models to describe systems with many degrees of freedom, but it is not clear why or how this success can be transferred to the more complex biological context. We consider models for the joint…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-06 Luisa Ramirez , William Bialek , Stephanie E. Palmer , David J. Schwab

Learning high-dimensional distributions is a significant challenge in machine learning and statistics. Classical research has mostly concentrated on asymptotic analysis of such data under suitable assumptions. While existing works…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Sutanu Gayen , Sanket Kale , Sayantan Sen

In Bayesian theory, the role of information is central. The influence exerted by prior information on posterior outcomes often jeopardizes Bayesian studies, due to the potentially subjective nature of the prior choice. In modeling where a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-26 Antoine Van Biesbroeck

Bayesian optimization is a methodology for global optimization of unknown and expensive objectives. It combines a surrogate Bayesian regression model with an acquisition function to decide where to evaluate the objective. Typical regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Afonso Eduardo , Michael U. Gutmann

We provide an information-theoretic framework for studying the generalization properties of machine learning algorithms. Our framework ties together existing approaches, including uniform convergence bounds and recent methods for adaptive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-22 Thomas Steinke , Lydia Zakynthinou

Recently, several studies proposed non-linear transformations, such as a logarithmic or Gaussianization transformation, as efficient tools to recapture information about the (Gaussian) initial conditions. During non-linear evolution, part…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-16 Julien Carron , Istvan Szapudi

Data-driven control of nonlinear systems with rigorous guarantees is a challenging problem as it usually calls for nonconvex optimization and requires often knowledge of the true basis functions of the system dynamics. To tackle these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-27 Tim Martin , Thomas B. Schön , Frank Allgöwer
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