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Science and Engineering applications are typically associated with expensive optimization problems to identify optimal design solutions and states of the system of interest. Bayesian optimization and active learning compute surrogate models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Francesco Di Fiore , Michela Nardelli , Laura Mainini

This study presents a Bayesian learning perspective towards model predictive control algorithms. High-level frameworks have been developed separately in the earlier studies on Bayesian learning and sampling-based model predictive control.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-14 Namhoon Cho , Seokwon Lee , Hyo-Sang Shin , Antonios Tsourdos

Tuning control policies manually to meet high-level objectives is often time-consuming. Bayesian optimization provides a data-efficient framework for automating this process using numerical evaluations of an objective function. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Lukas Theiner , Maik Pfefferkorn , Yongpeng Zhao , Sebastian Hirt , Rolf Findeisen

State-space models have been successfully used for more than fifty years in different areas of science and engineering. We present a procedure for efficient variational Bayesian learning of nonlinear state-space models based on sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-04 Roger Frigola , Yutian Chen , Carl E. Rasmussen

Real-world robotic applications, from autonomous exploration to assistive technologies, require adaptive, interpretable, and data-efficient learning paradigms. While deep learning architectures and foundation models have driven significant…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Octavio Arriaga , Rebecca Adam , Melvin Laux , Lisa Gutzeit , Marco Ragni , Jan Peters , Frank Kirchner

In the field of machine learning (ML) for materials optimization, active learning algorithms, such as Bayesian Optimization (BO), have been leveraged for guiding autonomous and high-throughput experimentation systems. However, very few…

In robotics, simulation has the potential to reduce design time and costs, and lead to a more robust engineered solution and a safer development process. However, the use of simulators is predicated on the availability of good models. This…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-05-12 Huzaifa Mustafa Unjhawala , Ruochun Zhang , Wei Hu , Jinlong Wu , Radu Serban , Dan Negrut

Despite the dominant role of deep models in machine learning, limitations persist, including overconfident predictions, susceptibility to adversarial attacks, and underestimation of variability in predictions. The Bayesian paradigm provides…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-18 Alisa Sheinkman , Sara Wade

We introduce a new Bayesian multi-class support vector machine by formulating a pseudo-likelihood for a multi-class hinge loss in the form of a location-scale mixture of Gaussians. We derive a variational-inference-based training objective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-08 Martin Wistuba , Ambrish Rawat

Learning accurate dynamics models is necessary for optimal, compliant control of robotic systems. Current approaches to white-box modeling using analytic parameterizations, or black-box modeling using neural networks, can suffer from high…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Jayesh K. Gupta , Kunal Menda , Zachary Manchester , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

This study explores how different types of supervised models perform in the task of predicting and selecting relevant variables in high-dimensional contexts, especially when the data is very noisy. We analyzed three approaches: regularized…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-09-03 Luciano Ribeiro Galvão , Rafael de Andrade Mora

A key drawback of the current generation of artificial decision-makers is that they do not adapt well to changes in unexpected situations. This paper addresses the situation in which an AI for aerial dog fighting, with tunable parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-14 Brett Israelsen , Nisar Ahmed

We introduce a gradient-based approach for the problem of Bayesian optimal experimental design to learn causal models in a batch setting -- a critical component for causal discovery from finite data where interventions can be costly or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Yashas Annadani , Panagiotis Tigas , Desi R. Ivanova , Andrew Jesson , Yarin Gal , Adam Foster , Stefan Bauer

Bayesian Optimization is methodology used in statistical modelling that utilizes a Gaussian process prior distribution to iteratively update a posterior distribution towards the true distribution of the data. Finding unbiased informative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Ruduan Plug

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a powerful method for optimizing black-box functions by combining prior knowledge with ongoing function evaluations. BO constructs a probabilistic surrogate model of the objective function given the covariates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Roi Naveiro , Becky Tang

We consider Bayesian optimization of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box objective function, where we also have access to cheaper approximations of the objective. In general, such approximations arise in applications such as reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-16 Matthias Poloczek , Jialei Wang , Peter I. Frazier

We present a framework for the efficient computation of optimal Bayesian decisions under intractable likelihoods, by learning a surrogate model for the expected utility (or its distribution) as a function of the action and data spaces. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-13 Justin Alsing , Thomas D. P. Edwards , Benjamin Wandelt

Classifier combination methods need to make best use of the outputs of multiple, imperfect classifiers to enable higher accuracy classifications. In many situations, such as when human decisions need to be combined, the base decisions can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-11 Edwin Simpson , Stephen Roberts , Ioannis Psorakis , Arfon Smith

Many control problems require repeated tuning and adaptation of controllers across distinct closed-loop tasks, where data efficiency and adaptability are critical. We propose a hierarchical Bayesian optimization (BO) framework that is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-27 Sebastian Hirt , Lukas Theiner , Maik Pfefferkorn , Rolf Findeisen

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a widely-used sequential method for zeroth-order optimization of complex and expensive-to-compute black-box functions. The existing BO methods assume that the function evaluation (feedback) is available to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Arun Verma , Zhongxiang Dai , Bryan Kian Hsiang Low