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We consider the inverse Ising problem, i.e. the inference of network couplings from observed spin trajectories for a model with continuous time Glauber dynamics. By introducing two sets of auxiliary latent random variables we render the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-22 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

We study random points on the real line generated by the eigenvalues in unitary invariant random matrix ensembles or by more general repulsive particle systems. As the number of points tends to infinity, we prove convergence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-11 Kristina Schubert , Martin Venker

Experimental designs are tools which can drastically reduce the number of simulations required by time-consuming computer codes. One strategy for selecting the values of the inputs, whose response is to be observed, is to choose these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-17 Astrid Jourdan , Jessica Franco

We provide optimal lower and upper bounds for the augmented Kullback-Leibler divergence in terms of the augmented total variation distance between two probability measures defined on two Euclidean spaces having different dimensions. We call…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-03 Michele Caprio

The problem of predicting independent Poisson random variables is commonly encountered in real-life practice. Simultaneous predictive distributions for independent Poisson observables are investigated, and the performance of predictive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Xiao Li , Fumiyasu Komaki

Learning Gibbs distributions using only sufficient statistics has long been recognized as a computationally hard problem. On the other hand, computationally efficient algorithms for learning Gibbs distributions rely on access to full sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Abhijith Jayakumar , Shreya Shukla , Marc Vuffray , Andrey Y. Lokhov , Sidhant Misra

Recent work has attempted to directly approximate the `function-space' or predictive posterior distribution of Bayesian models, without approximating the posterior distribution over the parameters. This is appealing in e.g. Bayesian neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-19 David R. Burt , Sebastian W. Ober , Adrià Garriga-Alonso , Mark van der Wilk

The Bayesian predictive density has complex representation and does not belong to any finite-dimensional statistical model except for in limited situations. In this paper, we introduce its simple approximate representation employing its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-30 Michiko Okudo , Fumiyasu Komaki

Comparing probability distributions is an indispensable and ubiquitous task in machine learning and statistics. The most common way to compare a pair of Borel probability measures is to compute a metric between them, and by far the most…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Yuhang Cai , Lek-Heng Lim

Classic Bayesian methods with complex models are frequently infeasible due to an intractable likelihood. Simulation-based inference methods, such as Approximate Bayesian Computing (ABC), calculate posteriors without accessing a likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-09 Elliot Maceda , Emily C. Hector , Amanda Lenzi , Brian J. Reich

The aim of this paper is to introduce new statistical criterions for estimation, suitable for inference in models with common continuous support. This proposal is in the direct line of a renewed interest for divergence based inference tools…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Michel Broniatowski , Aida Toma , Igor Vajda

In this paper we formulate in general terms an approach to prove strong consistency of the Empirical Risk Minimisation inductive principle applied to the prototype or distance based clustering. This approach was motivated by the Divisive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-04-20 Vladimir Nikulin , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

A Hilbert space embedding for probability measures has recently been proposed, with applications including dimensionality reduction, homogeneity testing, and independence testing. This embedding represents any probability measure as a mean…

Minkowski's First Theorem and Dirichlet's Approximation Theorem provide upper bounds on certain minima taken over lattice points contained in domains of Euclidean spaces. We study the distribution of such minima and show, under some…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-14 Michael Björklund , Alexander Gorodnik

Expectation maximization (EM) is the default algorithm for fitting probabilistic models with missing or latent variables, yet we lack a full understanding of its non-asymptotic convergence properties. Previous works show results along the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Frederik Kunstner , Raunak Kumar , Mark Schmidt

Information Geometry generalizes to infinite dimension by modeling the tangent space of the relevant manifold of probability densities with exponential Orlicz spaces. We review here several properties of the exponential manifold on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Bertrand Lods , Giovanni Pistone

We conduct numerical experiments to investigate the spatial clustering of particles and bubbles in simulations of homogeneous and isotropic turbulence. Varying the Stokes parameter and the densities, striking differences in the clustering…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-13 Enrico Calzavarini , Martin Kerscher , Detlef Lohse , Federico Toschi

Collections of probability distributions arise in a variety of applications ranging from user activity pattern analysis to brain connectomics. In practice these distributions can be defined over diverse domain types including finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-16 Raif Rustamov , Subhabrata Majumdar

A simple visual representation of Minkowski spacetime appropriate for a student with a background in geometry and algebra is presented. Minkowski spacetime can be modeled with a Euclidean 4-space to yield accurate visualizations as…

Physics Education · Physics 2015-06-03 Don V. Black , M. Gopi , F. Wessel , R. Pajarola , F. Kuester

In this paper we study supervised learning tasks on the space of probability measures. We approach this problem by embedding the space of probability measures into $L^2$ spaces using the optimal transport framework. In the embedding spaces,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-27 Varun Khurana , Harish Kannan , Alexander Cloninger , Caroline Moosmüller
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