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The outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020 has led to a surge in interest in the mathematical modeling of infectious diseases. Such models are usually defined as compartmental models, in which the population under study is divided into compartments…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-16 Malú Grave , Alex Viguerie , Gabriel F. Barros , Alessandro Reali , Alvaro L. G. A. Coutinho

COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) pandemic caused by SARS-CoV-2 has led to a treacherous and devastating catastrophe for humanity. At the time of writing, no specific antivirus drugs or vaccines are recommended to control infection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Ankit Pal , Malaikannan Sankarasubbu

The ongoing Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a major crisis that has significantly affected the healthcare sector and global economies, which made it the main subject of various fields in scientific and technical research. To properly…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Driss Kiouach , Salim El Azami El-idrissi , Yassine Sabbar

As the interactions between people increases, the impending menace of COVID-19 outbreaks materialize, and there is an inclination to apply lockdowns. In this context, it is essential to have easy-to-use indicators for people to use as a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-26 Joaquín Salas

The COVID-19 pandemic is one of the most challenging healthcare crises during the 21st century. As the virus continues to spread on a global scale, the majority of efforts have been on the development of vaccines and the mass immunization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Meysam Effati , Yu-Chen Sun , Hani E. Naguib , Goldie Nejat

The primary goal of this research is to investigate the impact of delay on the dynamics of the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered-Death and Susceptible (SEIRDS) model, to which we add a stochastic term to account for uncertainty in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-17 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Walid Ben Aribi , Slimane Ben Miled

Mutating variants of COVID-19 have been reported across many US states since 2021. In the fight against COVID-19, it has become imperative to study the heterogeneity in the time-varying transmission rates for each variant in the presence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-17 K. D. Olumoyin , A. Q. M. Khaliq , K. M. Furati

The outbreak of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic of the new COVID-19 disease (COVID-19 for short) demands empowering existing medical, economic, and social emergency backend systems with data analytics capabilities. An impediment in taking…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-10-14 Aakash Ahmad , Madhushi Bandara , Mahdi Fahmideh , Henderik A. Proper , Giancarlo Guizzardi , Jeffrey Soar

Since the beginning of the epidemic, daily reports of CoViD-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths from around the world have been publicly available. This paper describes methods to characterize broad features of the spread of the disease,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-15 Dean Karlen

Short-term forecasts of infectious disease spread are a critical component in risk evaluation and public health decision making. While different models for short-term forecasting have been developed, open questions about their relative…

Recent outbreak of the novel coronavirus COVID-19 has affected all of our lives in one way or the other. While medical researchers are working hard to find a cure and doctors/nurses to attend the affected individuals, measures such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-23 Arkaprava Roy , Sayar Karmakar

Due to its impact, COVID-19 has been stressing the academy to search for curing, mitigating, or controlling it. However, when it comes to controlling, there are still few studies focused on under-reporting estimates. It is believed that…

The paper presents classification and analysis of the mathematical models of COVID-19 spread in different groups of populations such as the family, school, office (3-100 people), neighborhood (100-5000 people), city, region (0.5-15 million…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-01 O. I. Krivorotko , S. I. Kabanikhin

In this review, we successively present the methods for phenomenological modeling of the evolution of reported and unreported cases of COVID-19, both in the exponential phase of growth and then in a complete epidemic wave. After the case of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-10-02 J. Demongeot , P. Magal

As COVID-19 is rapidly spreading across the globe, short-term modeling forecasts provide time-critical information for decisions on containment and mitigation strategies. A main challenge for short-term forecasts is the assessment of key…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-17 Jonas Dehning , Johannes Zierenberg , F. Paul Spitzner , Michael Wibral , Joao Pinheiro Neto , Michael Wilczek , Viola Priesemann

Forecasting the short-term spread of an ongoing disease outbreak is a formidable challenge due to the complexity of contributing factors, some of which can be characterized through interlinked, multi-modality variables such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-11 Hongru Du , Jianan Zhao , Yang Zhao , Shaochong Xu , Xihong Lin , Yiran Chen , Lauren M. Gardner , Hao Frank Yang

When pandemics like COVID-19 spread around the world, the rapidly evolving situation compels officials and executives to take prompt decisions and adapt policies depending on the current state of the disease. In this context, it is crucial…

The outburst of COVID-19 in late 2019 was the start of a health crisis that shook the world and took millions of lives in the ensuing years. Many governments and health officials failed to arrest the rapid circulation of infection in their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Mehrdad Fazli , Heman Shakeri

The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated that fast and accurate analysis of continually collected infectious disease surveillance data is crucial for situational awareness and policy making. Coalescent-based phylodynamic analysis can use genetic…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-29 Catalina M. Medina , Julia A. Palacios , Volodymyr M. Minin

The abrupt outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic was the most significant event in 2020, which had profound and lasting impacts across the world. Studies on energy markets observed a decline in energy demand and changes in energy consumption…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-04 Ziyun Wang , Hao Wang
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