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We study the problem of monitoring machine learning models under gradual distribution shifts, where circumstances change slowly over time, often leading to unnoticed yet significant declines in accuracy. To address this, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Alexander Koebler , Thomas Decker , Ingo Thon , Volker Tresp , Florian Buettner

Probe-level models have led to improved performance in microarray studies but the various sources of probe-level contamination are still poorly understood. Data-driven analysis of probe performance can be used to quantify the uncertainty in…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2013-04-09 Leo Lahti , Laura L. Elo , Tero Aittokallio , Samuel Kaski

A biological pathway represents a set of genes that serves a particular cellular or a physiological function. The genes within the same pathway are expected to function together and hence may interact with each other. It is also known that…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-14 Zaili Fang , Inyoung Kim , Jeesun Jung

Dynamical modelling lies at the heart of our understanding of physical systems. Its role in science is deeper than mere operational forecasting, in that it allows us to evaluate the adequacy of the mathematical structure of our models.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-05 Hailiang Du , Leonard A. Smith

This paper presents mathematical results in support of the methodology of the probabilistic learning on manifolds (PLoM) recently introduced by the authors, which has been used with success for analyzing complex engineering systems. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-02 Christian Soize , Roger Ghanem

The path probability of a particle undergoing stochastic motion is studied by the use of functional technique, and the general formula is derived for the path probability distribution functional. The probability of finding paths inside a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-02-16 Masayuki Hattori , Sumiyoshi Abe

Protein function prediction is a pivotal task in drug discovery, significantly impacting the development of effective and safe therapeutics. Traditional machine learning models often struggle with the complexity and variability inherent in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Bohao Xu , Yingzhou Lu , Yoshitaka Inoue , Namkyeong Lee , Tianfan Fu , Jintai Chen

The paper concerns the probabilistic evaluation of plans in the presence of unmeasured variables, each plan consisting of several concurrent or sequential actions. We establish a graphical criterion for recognizing when the effects of a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Judea Pearl , James M. Robins

It is of scientific interest to identify essential biomarkers in biological processes underlying diseases to facilitate precision medicine. Factor analysis (FA) has long been used to address this goal: by assuming latent biological pathways…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Jiachen Cai , Robert J. B. Goudie , Brian D. M. Tom

Real-world multimodal machine learning often faces missing, costly-to-acquire modalities, raising the problem of which samples to prioritize for additional acquisition under a budget. Prior work mainly studies per-sample or training-time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Tillmann Rheude , Roland Eils , Benjamin Wild

Accurate prediction of cancer progression remains a challenge due to the high heterogeneity of molecular omics data across patients. While biologically informed models have improved the interpretability of these predictions, a persistent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Koushik Howlader , Md Tauhidul Islam , Wei Le

Throughout the life sciences we routinely seek to interpret measurements and observations using parameterised mechanistic mathematical models. A fundamental and often overlooked choice in this approach involves relating the solution of a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-10 Ryan J. Murphy , Oliver J. Maclaren , Matthew J. Simpson

Pharmacodynamic (PD) models are mathematical models of cellular reaction networks that include drug mechanisms of action. These models are useful for studying predictive therapeutic outcomes of novel drug therapies in silico. However, PD…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-27 Natalie M. Isenberg , Susan D. Mertins , Byung-Jun Yoon , Kristofer Reyes , Nathan M. Urban

Metabolic pathways are fundamental maps in biochemistry that detail how molecules are transformed through various reactions. The complexity of metabolic network, where a single compound can play a part in multiple pathways, poses a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-18 Li Tuobang

Metabolic fluxes are the rates of life-sustaining chemical reactions within a cell and metabolites are the components. Determining the changes in these fluxes is crucial to understanding diseases with metabolic causes and consequences.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-07-15 Breanna Guppy , Colleen Mitchell , Eric Taylor

High throughput metabolomics data are fraught with both non-ignorable missing observations and unobserved factors that influence a metabolite's measured concentration, and it is well known that ignoring either of these complications can…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-09 Chris McKennan , Carole Ober , Dan Nicolae

Probabilistic software analysis aims at quantifying the probability of a target event occurring during the execution of a program processing uncertain incoming data or written itself using probabilistic programming constructs. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Yicheng Luo , Antonio Filieri , Yuan Zhou

In this paper, we delve into the pedestrian behavior understanding problem from the perspective of three different tasks: intention estimation, action prediction, and event risk assessment. We first define the tasks and discuss how these…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Amir Rasouli , Iuliia Kotseruba

Cells regulate themselves via dizzyingly complex biochemical processes called signaling pathways. These are usually depicted as a network, where nodes represent proteins and edges indicate their influence on each other. In order to…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-13 David Merrell , Anthony Gitter

We frame the issue of pedestrian dynamics modeling in terms of path-integrals, a formalism originally introduced in quantum mechanics to account for the behavior of quantum particles, later extended to quantum field theories and to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-04 Alessandro Corbetta , Federico Toschi