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This paper revisits the fractional cointegrating relationship between ex-ante implied volatility and ex-post realized volatility. We argue that the concept of corridor implied volatility (CIV) should be used instead of the popular…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-15 Jozef Barunik , Michaela Barunikova

The present paper proposes a new framework for describing the stock price dynamics. In the traditional geometric Brownian motion model and its variants, volatility plays a vital role. The modern studies of asset pricing expand around…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-12 Ben Duan , Yutian Li , Dawei Lu , Yang Lu , Ran Zhang

We consider change point detection for the volatility in second order linear parabolic stochastic partial differential equations based on high frequency spatio-temporal data. We give a test statistic to detect changes in the volatility…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Yozo Tonaki , Yusuke Kaino , Masayuki Uchida

We use Malliavin operators in order to prove quantitative stable limit theorems on the Wiener space, where the target distribution is given by a possibly multidimensional mixture of Gaussian distributions. Our findings refine and generalize…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Ivan Nourdin , David Nualart , Giovanni Peccati

In this work, we study the problem of learning the volatility under market microstructure noise. Specifically, we consider noisy discrete time observations from a stochastic differential equation and develop a novel computational method to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-19 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

This paper proposes a semiparametric stochastic volatility (SV) model that relaxes the restrictive Gaussian assumption in both the return and volatility error terms, allowing them to follow flexible, nonparametric distributions with…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-03 Yudong Feng , Ashis Gangopadhyay

We introduce the Volterra Stein-Stein model with stochastic interest rates, where both volatility and interest rates are driven by correlated Gaussian Volterra processes. This framework unifies various well-known Markovian and non-Markovian…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-17 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Donatien Hainaut , Edouard Motte

The SABR model is shortly presented and the volatility swap explained. The fair value for a volatility swap is then computed using the usual theory in financial mathematics. An analytical solution using confluent hypergeometric functions is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-26 Simon Bossoney

We analyze the relative price change of assets starting from basic supply/demand considerations subject to arbitrary motivations. The resulting stochastic differential equation has coefficients that are functions of supply and demand. We…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-26 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp

The stochastic volatility model is one of volatility models which infer latent volatility of asset returns. The Bayesian inference of the stochastic volatility (SV) model is performed by the hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm which is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-06 Tetsuya Takaishi

Quanto options allow the buyer to exchange the foreign currency payoff into the domestic currency at a fixed exchange rate. We investigate quanto options with multiple underlying assets valued in different foreign currencies each with a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-26 Boris Ter-Avanesov , Gunter A. Meissner

It was demonstrated previously that the stochastic volatility emerges as the gauge field necessary for restoring the local symmetry under changes of the prices of the stocks inside the Black-Scholes (BS) equation. When this occurs, then a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-04 Ivan Arraut

We investigate in this work the effects of interaction on the fluctuation of empirical measures. The systems with positive definite interaction potentials tend to exhibit smaller fluctuation compared to the fluctuation in standard Monte…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-19 Lei Li , Jiaheng Chen

Realised pay-offs for discretisation-invariant swaps are those which satisfy a restricted `aggregation property' of Neuberger [2012] for twice continuously differentiable deterministic functions of a multivariate martingale. They are…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-13 Carol Alexander , Johannes Rauch

We introduce a Multifractal Random Walk (MRW) defined as a stochastic integral of an infinitely divisible noise with respect to a dependent fractional Brownian motion. Using the techniques of the Malliavin calculus, we study the existence…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-24 Alexis Fauth , Ciprian Tudor

We invert the Black-Scholes formula. We consider the cases low strike, large strike, short maturity and large maturity. We give explicitly the first 5 terms of the expansions. A method to compute all the terms by induction is also given. At…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-25 Cyril Grunspan

We consider the randomness of market trade as the origin of price and return stochasticity. We look at time series of trade values and volumes as random variables during the averaging interval {\Delta} and describe the dependences of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-18 Victor Olkhov

In a New Keynesian model where the trade-off between stabilising the aggregate inflation rate and the output gap arises from sectoral asymmetries, the gains from commitment are either zero or negligible. Thus, to the extent that economic…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-08-28 Juan Paez-Farrell

This paper derives explicit formulas for both the small and large time limits of the implied volatility in the minimal market model. It is shown that interest rates do impact on the implied volatility in the long run even though they are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-12 Zhi Guo , Eckhard Platen

We present a simpler proof of the existence of equilibria for a class of mean field games with common noise, where players interact through the conditional law given the current value of the common noise rather than its entire path. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Ludovic Tangpi , Shichun Wang