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Traditional NBA player evaluation metrics are based on scoring differential or some pace-adjusted linear combination of box score statistics like points, rebounds, assists, etc. These measures treat performances with the outcome of the game…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-21 Sameer K. Deshpande , Shane T. Jensen

In this paper, we propose two novel basketball metrics: ``expected points'' for team-based comparisons and ``expected points above average (EPAA)'' as a player-evaluation tool. Established within the Bayesian hierarchical model framework,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-08-05 Benjamin Williams , Erin M. Schliep , Bailey Fosdick , Ryan Elmore

Even though it might have taken some time, the three-point line ultimately changed the way the game is played as evidenced by the increase in the three-point shot attempts over the years. However, during the last few years we have…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-13 Konstantinos Pelechrinis

We study the problem of achieving decentralized coordination by a group of strategic decision makers choosing to engage or not in a task in a stochastic setting. First, we define a class of symmetric utility games that encompass a broad…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-05 Marcos M. Vasconcelos , Behrouz Touri

Box score statistics in the National Basketball Association are used to measure and evaluate player performance. Some of these statistics are subjective in nature and since box score statistics are recorded by scorekeepers hired by the home…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-10 Matthew van Bommel , Luke Bornn

Global Positioning Systems (GPS) are nowadays intensively used in Sport Science as they permit to capture the space-time trajectories of players, with the aim to infer useful information to coaches in addition to traditional statistics. In…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-05 Rodolfo Metulini , Marica Manisera , Paola Zuccolotto

It is customary for researchers and practitioners to fit linear models in order to predict NBA player's salary based on the players' performance on court. On the contrary, we focus on the players salary share (with regards to the team…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-07 Ioanna Papadaki , Michail Tsagris

In this paper, we present a new model for ranking sports teams. Our model uses all scoring data from all games to produce a functional rating by the method of least squares. The functional rating can be interpreted as a teams average point…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-05 Bradley Lowery , Abigail Slater , Kaison Thies

In the sports of soccer, hockey and basketball the most commonly used statistics for player performance assessment are divided into two categories: offensive statistics and defensive statistics. However, qualitative assessments of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-04 Shael Brown

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric matrix clustering approach to analyze the latent heterogeneity structure in the shot selection data collected from professional basketball players in the National Basketball Association (NBA). The…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-19 Fan Yin , Guanyu Hu , Weining Shen

In many competitive settings, from education to politics, rules do not reward effort evenly, and thresholds (e.g., grade cutoffs or electoral majorities) make some moments disproportionately important. Success thus depends on efficiently…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Masatsugu Yoshizawa , Yuta Kawamoto , Daisuke Takeshita

In this paper, we develop a logistic regression model to estimate the probability that a particular shot in an NHL game will result in a goal, and use the results to evaluate the performance of NHL skaters, goalies, and teams. We weight…

Applications · Statistics 2012-05-09 Brian Macdonald , Craig Lennon , Rodney Sturdivant

Pace of play is an important characteristic in hockey as well as other team sports. We provide the first comprehensive study of pace within the sport of hockey, focusing on how teams and players impact pace in different regions of the ice,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-07 David Yu , Christopher Boucher , Luke Bornn , Mehrsan Javan

With the NBA's adoption of in-game limb tracking in 2023, Sony's Hawk-Eye system now captures high-resolution, 3D poses of players and the ball 60 times per second. Linking these data to key events opens a new era in NBA analytics. Here, we…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-30 Jake McGrath , Amanda Glazer , Vanna Bushong , Michelle Nguyen , Kirk Goldsberry

In this paper, we describe an approach to rank sport players based on their efficiency. Although is extremely useful to analyze the performance of team games there is no unanimity on the use of a single index to perform such a ranking. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-21 Víctor Blanco , Román Salmerón , Samuel Gómez-Haro

This paper develops metrics from a social network perspective that are directly translatable to the outcome of a basketball game. We extend a state-of-the-art multi-resolution stochastic process approach to modeling basketball by modeling…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-01 Fan Bu , Sonia Xu , Katherine Heller , Alexander Volfovsky

When agents interact with people as part of a team, fairness becomes an important factor. Prior work has proposed fairness metrics based on teammates' capabilities for task allocation within human-agent teams. However, most metrics only…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Mai Lee Chang , Kim Baraka , Greg Trafton , Zach Lalu Vazhekatt , Andrea Lockerd Thomaz

Fighting Fantasy is a popular recreational fantasy gaming system worldwide. Combat in this system progresses through a stochastic game involving a series of rounds, each of which may be won or lost. Each round, a limited resource (`luck')…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-02-25 Iain G. Johnston

Throughout the analytical revolution that has occurred in the NBA, the development of specific metrics and formulas has given teams, coaches, and players a new way to see the game. However - the question arises - how can we verify any…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-14 Eamon Mukhopadhyay

This study employs Bayesian methodologies to explore the influence of player or positional factors in predicting the probability of a shot resulting in a goal, measured by the expected goals (xG) metric. Utilising publicly available data…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-14 Alexander Scholtes , Oktay Karakuş