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Related papers: Large deviations built on max-stability

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Let $A_N$ be distributed according to the Haar probability measure on the orthogonal group $\mathscr{O}(N)$ for each $N\in\mathbb{N}$. It is well-known that the upper left $m_N\times k_N$ block of $\sqrt{N}A_N$ with $m_Nk_N = o(N)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Philipp Tuchel

This paper deals with rare events in a general {interacting gas} at high temperature, by means of Large Deviations Principles. The main result is an LDP for the tagged empirical field, which features the competition of an energy term and an…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-17 David Padilla-Garza

The aggregation of individual risks in large credit and insurance portfolios is guided by diversification and the law of large numbers, which formalizes the convergence of sample averages to their means. At the same time, regulatory capital…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Max Nendel

We consider minimizing the probability of falling below a target growth rate of the wealth process up to a time horizon $T$ in an incomplete market model, and then study the asymptotic behavior of minimizing probability as $T\to\infty$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-04 Hideo Nagai

For sequences of non-lattice weakly dependent random variables, we obtain asymptotic expansions for Large Deviation Principles. These expansions, commonly referred to as strong large deviation results, are in the spirit of Edgeworth…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Kasun Fernando , Pratima Hebbar

It is known that simulation of the mean position of a Reflected Random Walk (RRW) $\{W_n\}$ exhibits non-standard behavior, even for light-tailed increment distributions with negative drift. The Large Deviation Principle (LDP) holds for…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-01 Ken R. Duffy , Sean P. Meyn

Using the hyper-exponential recurrence criterion, a large deviation principle for the occupation measure is derived for a class of non-linear monotone stochastic partial differential equations. The main results are applied to many concrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Ran Wang , Jie Xiong , Lihu Xu

We prove the the large deviation principle(LDP) for the law of the one-dimensional semilinear stochastic partial differential equations driven by nonlinear multiplicative noise. Firstly, combining the energy estimate and approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-09 Qiyong Cao , Hongjun Gao

Building on the free-probability stochastic control framework introduced in arXiv:2502.17329, we connect optimal control problems for $n \times n$ random matrix ensembles with their infinite-dimensional, free-probability analogues. Under…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Wilfrid Gangbo , David Jekel , Kyeongsik Nam , Aaron Z. Palmer

Traditional reinforcement learning (RL) aims to maximize the expected total reward, while the risk of uncertain outcomes needs to be controlled to ensure reliable performance in a risk-averse setting. In this paper, we consider the problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Xian Yu , Siqian Shen

In this paper we establish the large deviation principle for the stochastic quasi-geostrophic equation in the subcritical case with small multiplicative noise. The proof is mainly based on the stochastic control and weak convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-22 Wei Liu , Michael Röckner , Xiangchan Zhu

We analyze stability properties of monotone nonlinear systems via max-separable Lyapunov functions, motivated by the following observations: first, recent results have shown that asymptotic stability of a monotone nonlinear system implies…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-07-28 Hamid Reza Feyzmahdavian , Bart Besselink , Mikael Johansson

In this paper, we provide a criterion on uniform large deviation principles (ULDP) for stochastic differential equations under locally weak monotone conditions and Lyapunov conditions, which can be applied to stochastic systems with…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Jian Wang , Hao Yang

Optimal values and solutions of empirical approximations of stochastic optimization problems can be viewed as statistical estimators of their true values. From this perspective, it is important to understand the asymptotic behavior of these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Johannes Milz , Thomas M. Surowiec

We derive an annealed large deviation principle for the normalised local times of a continuous-time random walk among random conductances in a finite domain in $\Z^d$ in the spirit of Donsker-Varadhan \cite{DV75}. We work in the interesting…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-11 Wolfgang König , Michele Salvi , Tilman Wolff

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is well understood in the deterministic setting, yet rigorous stability and performance guarantees for stochastic MPC remain limited to the consideration of terminal constraints and penalties. In contrast,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Jonas Schießl , Hannah Selder , Ruchuan Ou , Michael Heinrich Baumann , Timm Faulwasser , Lars Grüne

We prove a maximal-type large deviation principle for dynamical systems with arbitrarily slow polynomial mixing rates. Also several applications, particularly to billiard systems, are presented.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-09 Leonid A. Bunimovich , Yaofeng Su

Estimating risk measures such as large loss probabilities and Value-at-Risk is fundamental in financial risk management and often relies on computationally intensive nested Monte Carlo methods. While Multi-Level Monte Carlo (MLMC)…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-23 Alexandre Boumezoued , Adel Cherchali , Vincent Lemaire , Gilles Pagès , Mathieu Truc

For $0\le \alpha <1$ and $\beta>2$, we consider a linear mod 1 transformation on a unit interval; $x\mapsto\beta x+\alpha$ (${\rm mod}\ 1$), and prove that it satisfies the level-2 large deviation principle with the unique measure of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Yong Moo Chung ad Kenichiro Yamamoto

Let $\boldsymbol W=\{\boldsymbol W_n:n\in\mathbb N\}$ be a sequence of random vectors in $\mathbb R^d$, $d\ge 1$. This paper considers the logarithmic asymptotics of the extremes of $\boldsymbol W$, that is, for any vector $\boldsymbol…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Kamil Marcin Kosinski , Michel Mandjes