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This paper addresses a detection problem where several spatially distributed sensors independently observe a time-inhomogeneous stochastic process. The task is to decide between two hypotheses regarding the statistics of the observed…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-05 Chetan D. Pahlajani , Ioannis Poulakakis , Herbert G. Tanner

A novel approach is suggested for improving the accuracy of fault detection in distribution networks. This technique combines adaptive probability learning and waveform decomposition to optimize the similarity of features. Its objective is…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-03 Xinliang Ma , Weihua Liu , Bingying Jin

At online retail platforms, it is crucial to actively detect the risks of transactions to improve customer experience and minimize financial loss. In this work, we propose xFraud, an explainable fraud transaction prediction framework which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Susie Xi Rao , Shuai Zhang , Zhichao Han , Zitao Zhang , Wei Min , Zhiyao Chen , Yinan Shan , Yang Zhao , Ce Zhang

Multi-fidelity methods are prominently used when cheaply-obtained, but possibly biased and noisy, observations must be effectively combined with limited or expensive true data in order to construct reliable models. This arises in both…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-19 Kurt Cutajar , Mark Pullin , Andreas Damianou , Neil Lawrence , Javier González

The Power Law Process, also known as Non-Homogeneous Poisson Process, has been used in various aspects, one of which is the software reliability assessment. Specifically, by using its intensity function to compute the rate of change of a…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-06 Freeh Alenezi , Chris. Tsokos

A major concern when dealing with financial time series involving a wide variety ofmarket risk factors is the presence of anomalies. These induce a miscalibration of the models used toquantify and manage risk, resulting in potential…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-26 Stéphane Crépey , Lehdili Noureddine , Nisrine Madhar , Maud Thomas

We propose an unsupervised anomaly detection approach based on a physics-informed diffusion model for multivariate time series data. Over the past years, diffusion model has demonstrated its effectiveness in forecasting, imputation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Juhi Soni , Markus Lange-Hegermann , Stefan Windmann

The paper considers a Cox process where the stochastic intensity function for the Poisson data model is itself a non-homogeneous Poisson process. We show that it is possible to obtain the marginal data process, namely a non-homogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-17 Shuying Wang , Stephen G. Walker

Data imbalance is common in production data, where controlled production settings require data to fall within a narrow range of variation and data are collected with quality assessment in mind, rather than data analytic insights. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-17 Rune D. Kjærsgaard , Manja G. Grønberg , Line K. H. Clemmensen

Machine learning models have widely been used in fraud detection systems. Most of the research and development efforts have been concentrated on improving the performance of the fraud scoring models. Yet, the downstream fraud alert systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Hongda Shen , Eren Kurshan

We present a new, analytic, Poisson likelihood derived, technique to account for the statistical uncertainties inherent in simulation samples of limited size. This method has better coverage properties than other techniques, is valid for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-07-26 Carlos A. Argüelles , Austin Schneider , Tianlu Yuan

Current approaches for collision avoidance and space traffic management face many challenges, mainly due to the continuous increase in the number of objects in orbit and the lack of scalable and automated solutions. To avoid catastrophic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-17 Marta Guimarães , Cláudia Soares , Chiara Manfletti

Value Added Tax (VAT) fraud erodes public revenue and puts legitimate businesses at a disadvantaged position thereby impacting inequality. Identifying and combating VAT fraud before it occurs is therefore important for welfare. This paper…

Data that is gathered adaptively --- via bandit algorithms, for example --- exhibits bias. This is true both when gathering simple numeric valued data --- the empirical means kept track of by stochastic bandit algorithms are biased…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-07 Seth Neel , Aaron Roth

Credit card fraud detection is a critical challenge in the financial sector, demanding sophisticated approaches to accurately identify fraudulent transactions. This research proposes an innovative methodology combining Neural Networks (NN)…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-05-02 Mengran Zhu , Ye Zhang , Yulu Gong , Changxin Xu , Yafei Xiang

Global financial crime activity is driving demand for machine learning solutions in fraud prevention. However, prevention systems are commonly serviced to financial institutions in isolation, and few provisions exist for data sharing due to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-01-08 Iker Perez , Jason Wong , Piotr Skalski , Stuart Burrell , Richard Mortier , Derek McAuley , David Sutton

eCommerce transaction frauds keep changing rapidly. This is the major issue that prevents eCommerce merchants having a robust machine learning model for fraudulent transactions detection. The root cause of this problem is that rapid…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-11 Huiying Mao , Yung-wen Liu , Yuting Jia , Jay Nanduri

Uncertain data streams have been widely generated in many Web applications. The uncertainty in data streams makes anomaly detection from sensor data streams far more challenging. In this paper, we present a novel framework that supports…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-07-21 Jiangang Ma , Le Sun , Hua Wang , Yanchun Zhang , Uwe Aickelin

In this article, we propose a factor-adjusted multiple testing (FAT) procedure based on factor-adjusted p-values in a linear factor model involving some observable and unobservable factors, for the purpose of selecting skilled funds in…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-04 Wei Lan , Lilun Du

With online payment platforms being ubiquitous and important, fraud transaction detection has become the key for such platforms, to ensure user account safety and platform security. In this work, we present a novel method for detecting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-30 Longfei Li , Ziqi Liu , Chaochao Chen , Ya-Lin Zhang , Jun Zhou , Xiaolong Li