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Combining the merits of both denoising diffusion probabilistic models and gradient boosting, the diffusion boosting paradigm is introduced for tackling supervised learning problems. We develop Diffusion Boosted Trees (DBT), which can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Xizewen Han , Mingyuan Zhou

In this paper, we introduce a new machine learning (ML) model for nonlinear regression called the Boosted Smooth Transition Regression Trees (BooST), which is a combination of boosting algorithms with smooth transition regression trees. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-08 Yuri Fonseca , Marcelo Medeiros , Gabriel Vasconcelos , Alvaro Veiga

Tree-based ensemble methods, as Random Forests and Gradient Boosted Trees, have been successfully used for regression in many applications and research studies. Furthermore, these methods have been extended in order to deal with uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Myriam Tami , Marianne Clausel , Emilie Devijver , Adrien Dulac , Eric Gaussier , Stefan Janaqi , Meriam Chebre

Tree boosting is a highly effective and widely used machine learning method. In this paper, we describe a scalable end-to-end tree boosting system called XGBoost, which is used widely by data scientists to achieve state-of-the-art results…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-14 Tianqi Chen , Carlos Guestrin

Gradient boosting is a state-of-the-art prediction technique that sequentially produces a model in the form of linear combinations of simple predictors---typically decision trees---by solving an infinite-dimensional convex optimization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-18 Gérard Biau , Benoît Cadre

In this article we propose a boosting algorithm for regression with functional explanatory variables and scalar responses. The algorithm uses decision trees constructed with multiple projections as the "base-learners", which we call…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-07 Xiaomeng Ju , Matías Salibián-Barrera

Predictions using a combination of decision trees are known to be effective in machine learning. Typical ideas for constructing a combination of decision trees for prediction are bagging and boosting. Bagging independently constructs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Keito Tajima , Naoki Ichijo , Yuta Nakahara , Toshiyasu Matsushima

Understanding how "black-box" models arrive at their predictions has sparked significant interest from both within and outside the AI community. Our work focuses on doing this by generating local explanations about individual predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-08 Ana Lucic , Hinda Haned , Maarten de Rijke

Gradient boosted decision trees are a popular machine learning technique, in part because of their ability to give good accuracy with small models. We describe two extensions to the standard tree boosting algorithm designed to increase this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-01 Natalia Ponomareva , Thomas Colthurst , Gilbert Hendry , Salem Haykal , Soroush Radpour

Gradient boosted decision trees are some of the most popular algorithms in applied machine learning. They are a flexible and powerful tool that can robustly fit to any tabular dataset in a scalable and computationally efficient way. One of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-26 Daniel de Marchi , Matthew Welch , Michael Kosorok

This paper presents a computationally efficient variant of gradient boosting for multi-class classification and multi-output regression tasks. Standard gradient boosting uses a 1-vs-all strategy for classifications tasks with more than two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Seyedsaman Emami , Gonzalo Martínez-Muñoz

In machine learning ensemble methods have demonstrated high accuracy for the variety of problems in different areas. Two notable ensemble methods widely used in practice are gradient boosting and random forests. In this paper we present…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-24 Alex Rogozhnikov , Tatiana Likhomanenko

The best-performing models in ML are not interpretable. If we can explain why they outperform, we may be able to replicate these mechanisms and obtain both interpretability and performance. One example are decision trees and their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-09 Hugh Panton , Gavin Leech , Laurence Aitchison

We present a new approach for distilling boosted trees into decision trees, in the objective of generating an ML model offering an acceptable compromise in terms of predictive performance and interpretability. We explain how the correction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Gilles Audemard , Sylvie Coste-Marquis , Pierre Marquis , Mehdi Sabiri , Nicolas Szczepanski

Boosted decision trees typically yield good accuracy, precision, and ROC area. However, because the outputs from boosting are not well calibrated posterior probabilities, boosting yields poor squared error and cross-entropy. We empirically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Alexandru Niculescu-Mizil , Richard A. Caruana

The problem of adversarial robustness has been studied extensively for neural networks. However, for boosted decision trees and decision stumps there are almost no results, even though they are widely used in practice (e.g. XGBoost) due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-01 Maksym Andriushchenko , Matthias Hein

Decision trees built with data remain in widespread use for nonparametric prediction. Predicting probability distributions is preferred over point predictions when uncertainty plays a prominent role in analysis and decision-making. We study…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Sara Shashaani , Ozge Surer , Matthew Plumlee , Seth Guikema

Technology and collaboration enable dramatic increases in the size of psychological and psychiatric data collections, but finding structure in these large data sets with many collected variables is challenging. Decision tree ensembles like…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-15 Patrick J. Miller , Gitta H. Lubke , Daniel B. McArtor , C. S. Bergeman

We consider the problem of learning classification trees that are robust to distribution shifts between training and testing/deployment data. This problem arises frequently in high stakes settings such as public health and social work where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Nathan Justin , Sina Aghaei , Andrés Gómez , Phebe Vayanos

The induction of additional randomness in parallel and sequential ensemble methods has proven to be worthwhile in many aspects. In this manuscript, we propose and examine a novel random tree depth injection approach suitable for sequential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-15 Tobias Markus Krabel , Thi Ngoc Tien Tran , Andreas Groll , Daniel Horn , Carsten Jentsch