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A well-performing prediction model is vital for a recommendation system suggesting actions for energy-efficient consumer behavior. However, reliable and accurate predictions depend on informative features and a suitable model design to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Alona Zharova , Antonia Scherz

We propose and investigate new complementary methodologies for estimating predictive variance networks in regression neural networks. We derive a locally aware mini-batching scheme that result in sparse robust gradients, and show how to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-05 Nicki S. Detlefsen , Martin Jørgensen , Søren Hauberg

This paper presents a meta-learning based, automatic distribution system load forecasting model selection framework. The framework includes the following processes: feature extraction, candidate model labeling, offline training, and online…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-19 Yiyan Li , Si Zhang , Rongxing Hu , Ning Lu

Power systems face increasing challenges in maintaining resource adequacy due to lower operating margins, rising renewable energy uncertainty, and demand variability. Forecasting the probability distribution of peak demand on shorter…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-28 Buyi Yu , Wenyuan Tang

Federated Learning (FL) is a distributed learning scheme that enables deep learning to be applied to sensitive data streams and applications in a privacy-preserving manner. This paper focuses on the use of FL for analyzing smart energy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Abhishek Duttagupta , Jin Zhao , Shanker Shreejith

In the smart grid, huge amounts of consumption data are used to train deep learning models for applications such as load monitoring and demand response. However, these applications raise concerns regarding security and have high accuracy…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-01-28 Afaf Taik , Soumaya Cherkaoui

Many multi-agent systems evolve by repeatedly updating each state to a weighted average of its neighbors, a process known as averaging dynamics, whose behavior becomes difficult to analyze when the interaction network varies over time. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Bernard Chazelle , Kritkorn Karntikoon

For short-term solar irradiance forecasting, the traditional point forecasting methods are rendered less useful due to the non-stationary characteristic of solar power. The amount of operating reserves required to maintain reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Sakshi Mishra , Praveen Palanisamy

Renewable energy forecasting is the workhorse for efficient energy dispatch. However, forecasts with small mean squared errors (MSE) may not necessarily lead to low operation costs. Here, we propose a forecasting approach specifically…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-03 Yufan Zhang , Honglin Wen , Yuexin Bian , Yuanyuan Shi

In this paper we formulate an optimization approach to schedule electrical loads given a short term prediction of time-varying power production and the ability to store only a limited amount of electrical energy. The proposed approach is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Raymond A. de Callafon , Abdulelah H. Habib , Jan Kleissl

In this paper, we propose novel approaches using state-of-the-art machine learning techniques, aiming at predicting energy demand for electric vehicle (EV) networks. These methods can learn and find the correlation of complex hidden…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-04 Yuris Mulya Saputra , Dinh Thai Hoang , Diep N. Nguyen , Eryk Dutkiewicz , Markus Dominik Mueck , Srikathyayani Srikanteswara

With the employment of smart meters, massive data on consumer behaviour can be collected by retailers. From the collected data, the retailers may obtain the household profile information and implement demand response. While retailers prefer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Yi Dong , Yang Chen , Xingyu Zhao , Xiaowei Huang

Bolted joints are critical in engineering for maintaining structural integrity and reliability. Accurate prediction of parameters influencing their function and behavior is essential for optimal performance. Traditional methods often fail…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Ines Boujnah , Nehal Afifi , Andreas Wettstein , Sven Matthiesen

Deep Learning is a consolidated, state-of-the-art Machine Learning tool to fit a function when provided with large data sets of examples. However, in regression tasks, the straightforward application of Deep Learning models provides a point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-25 Axel Brando , Jose A. Rodríguez-Serrano , Mauricio Ciprian , Roberto Maestre , Jordi Vitrià

Accurate forecasting is critical for reliable power grid operations, particularly as the share of renewable generation, such as wind and solar, continues to grow. Given the inherent uncertainty and variability in renewable generation,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-20 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

This paper proposes a linear approximation of the alternating current optimal power flow problem for multiphase distribution networks with voltage-dependent loads connected in both wye and delta configurations. We establish a set of linear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Geunyeong Byeon , Minseok Ryu , Kibaek Kim

An accurate load forecast is always important for the power industry and energy players as it enables stakeholders to make critical decisions. In addition, its importance is further increased with growing uncertainties in the generation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-11-26 Muhammad Qamar Raza , N. Mithulananthan , Jiaming Li , Kwang Y. Lee

Demand forecasting in power sector has become an important part of modern demand management and response systems with the rise of smart metering enabled grids. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) shows promising results in predicting time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-30 Koushik Roy , Abtahi Ishmam , Kazi Abu Taher

Power is becoming an increasingly important concern for large supercomputing centers. Due to cost concerns, data centers are becoming increasingly limited in their ability to enhance their power infrastructure to support increased compute…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-13 Curtis Storlie , Joe Sexton , Scott Pakin , Michael Lang , Brian Reich , William Rust

This paper addresses the mid-term electricity load forecasting problem. Solving this problem is necessary for power system operation and planning as well as for negotiating forward contracts in deregulated energy markets. We show that our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Boris N. Oreshkin , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka , Ekaterina Turkina