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According to a conservative estimate, a 1% reduction in forecast error for a 10 GW energy utility can save up to $ 1.6 million annually. In our context, achieving precise forecasts of future power consumption is crucial for operating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-12 Lukas Moosbrugger , Valentin Seiler , Gerhard Huber , Peter Kepplinger

Ensuring sustainability demands more efficient energy management with minimized energy wastage. Therefore, the power grid of the future should provide an unprecedented level of flexibility in energy management. To that end, intelligent…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Daniel L. Marino , Kasun Amarasinghe , Milos Manic

Electricity load forecasting is a necessary capability for power system operators and electricity market participants. The proliferation of local generation, demand response, and electrification of heat and transport are changing the…

Short-term load forecasting is one of the crucial sections in smart grid. Precise forecasting enables system operators to make reliable unit commitment and power dispatching decisions. With the advent of big data, a number of artificial…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-09-27 Tiantian Li , Bo Wang , Min Zhou , Junzo Watada

Load forecasting is one of the most important and studied topics in modern power systems. Most of the existing researches on day-ahead load forecasting try to build a good model to improve the forecasting accuracy. The forecasted load is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-18 Jiayu Han , Lei Yan , Zuyi Li

Most electricity systems worldwide are deploying advanced metering infrastructures to collect relevant operational data. In particular, smart meters allow tracking electricity load consumption at a very disaggregated level and at high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-09 Andrés M. Alonso , F. Javier Nogales , Carlos Ruiz

Middle-term horizon (months to a year) power consumption prediction is a main challenge in the energy sector, in particular when probabilistic forecasting is considered. We propose a new modelling approach that incorporates trend,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-04 Michele Azzone , Roberto Baviera

Short term load forecasting has an essential medium for the reliable, economical and efficient operation of the power system. Most of the existing forecasting approaches utilize fixed statistical models with large historical data for…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-21 Irfan Ahmad Khan , Adnan Akber , Yinliang Xu

Short-term load forecasting is of paramount importance in the efficient operation and planning of power systems, given its inherent non-linear and dynamic nature. Recent strides in deep learning have shown promise in addressing this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Paapa Kwesi Quansah , Edwin Kwesi Ansah Tenkorang

The key component in forecasting demand and consumption of resources in a supply network is an accurate prediction of real-valued time series. Indeed, both service interruptions and resource waste can be reduced with the implementation of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-07-24 Filippo Maria Bianchi , Enrico Maiorino , Michael C. Kampffmeyer , Antonello Rizzi , Robert Jenssen

Time series forecasting remains a central challenge problem in almost all scientific disciplines. We introduce a novel load forecasting method in which observed dynamics are modeled as a forced linear system using Dynamic Mode Decomposition…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-13 Daniel Dylewsky , David Barajas-Solano , Tong Ma , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky , J. Nathan Kutz

Recently there has been significant research on power generation, distribution and transmission efficiency especially in the case of renewable resources. The main objective is reduction of energy losses and this requires improvements on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-17 Stefan Hosein , Patrick Hosein

The smart metering infrastructure has changed how electricity is measured in both residential and industrial application. The large amount of data collected by smart meter per day provides a huge potential for analytics to support the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Nameer Al Khafaf , Mahdi Jalili , Peter Sokolowski

Accurate electrical load forecasting is of great importance for the efficient operation and control of modern power systems. In this work, a hybrid long short-term memory (LSTM)-based model with online correction is developed for day-ahead…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-07 Nan Lu , Quan Ouyang , Yang Li , Changfu Zou

This paper presents issues regarding short term electric load forecasting using feedforward and Elman recurrent neural networks. The study cases were developed using measured data representing electrical energy consume from Banat area.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-04-19 Cristian Vasar , Iosif Szeidert , Ioan Filip , Gabriela Prostean

The transition to a fully renewable energy grid requires better forecasting of demand at the low-voltage level to increase efficiency and ensure reliable control. However, high fluctuations and increasing electrification cause huge forecast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Marcel Arpogaus , Marcus Voss , Beate Sick , Mark Nigge-Uricher , Oliver Dürr

Accurate load forecasting is critical for electricity market operations and other real-time decision-making tasks in power systems. This paper considers the short-term load forecasting (STLF) problem for residential customers within a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Yuqi Zhou , Arun Sukumaran Nair , David Ganger , Abhinandan Tripathi , Chaitanya Baone , Hao Zhu

Sparsity, defined as the presence of missing or zero values in a dataset, often poses a major challenge while operating on real-life datasets. Sparsity in features or target data of the training dataset can be handled using various…

Dense networks with weighted connections often exhibit a community like structure, where although most nodes are connected to each other, different patterns of edge weights may emerge depending on each node's community membership. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-27 Benjamin Leinwand , Vladas Pipiras

Short term load forecasts will play a key role in the implementation of smart electricity grids. They are required to optimise a wide range of potential network solutions on the low voltage (LV) grid, including integrating low carbon…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-17 Stephen Haben , Georgios Giasemidis , Florian Ziel , Siddharth Arora