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This paper develops a novel nonparametric significance test based on a tailored nonparametric-type projected weighting function that exhibits appealing theoretical and numerical properties. We derive the asymptotic properties of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-18 Xiaojun Song , Jichao Yuan

Externally controlled trials (ECTs) are increasingly used when randomized controls are infeasible, unethical, or insufficient, including applications in rare diseases, oncology, pediatrics, and post-approval effectiveness research. Although…

We consider the problem of bounding large deviations for non-i.i.d. random variables that are allowed to have arbitrary dependencies. Previous works typically assumed a specific dependence structure, namely the existence of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-06 Christoph H. Lampert , Liva Ralaivola , Alexander Zimin

We introduce a new test for conditional independence which is based on what we call the weighted generalised covariance measure (WGCM). It is an extension of the recently introduced generalised covariance measure (GCM). To test the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-17 Cyrill Scheidegger , Julia Hörrmann , Peter Bühlmann

Randomization tests and flexible treatment-effect models offer complementary strengths for analyzing data from randomized panel experiments: the former provide valid inference under the known assignment mechanism, while the latter can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Fangnan Zheng , Yao Zhang

Conditional randomization tests (CRTs) assess whether a variable $x$ is predictive of another variable $y$, having observed covariates $z$. CRTs require fitting a large number of predictive models, which is often computationally…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-12 Mukund Sudarshan , Aahlad Manas Puli , Wesley Tansey , Rajesh Ranganath

This paper proposes a new statistic to test independence between two high dimensional random vectors ${\mathbf{X}}:p_1\times1$ and ${\mathbf{Y}}:p_2\times1$. The proposed statistic is based on the sum of regularized sample canonical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yanrong Yang , Guangming Pan

We investigate the optimization of two probabilistic generative models with binary latent variables using a novel variational EM approach. The approach distinguishes itself from previous variational approaches by using latent states as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-26 Jörg Lücke , Zhenwen Dai , Georgios Exarchakis

This paper studies the high-dimensional mixed linear regression (MLR) where the output variable comes from one of the two linear regression models with an unknown mixing proportion and an unknown covariance structure of the random…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Linjun Zhang , Rong Ma , T. Tony Cai , Hongzhe Li

In unsupervised ensemble learning, one obtains predictions from multiple sources or classifiers, yet without knowing the reliability and expertise of each source, and with no labeled data to assess it. The task is to combine these possibly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-02-24 Ariel Jaffe , Ethan Fetaya , Boaz Nadler , Tingting Jiang , Yuval Kluger

Ensemble Adversarial Training (EAT) attempts to enhance the robustness of models against adversarial attacks by leveraging multiple models. However, current EAT strategies tend to train the sub-models independently, ignoring the cooperative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Li Dengjin , Guo Yanming , Xie Yuxiang , Li Zheng , Chen Jiangming , Li Xiaolong , Lao Mingrui

This paper proposes a new mutual independence test for a large number of high dimensional random vectors. The test statistic is based on the characteristic function of the empirical spectral distribution of the sample covariance matrix. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-31 G. M. Pan , J. Gao , Y. Yang , M. Guo

Machine learning-based Deepfake detection models have achieved impressive results on benchmark datasets, yet their performance often deteriorates significantly when evaluated on out-of-distribution data. In this work, we investigate an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Haroon Wahab , Hassan Ugail , Lujain Jaleel

We introduce nonparametric tests of independence for bivariate circular data based on trigonometric moments. Our contributions lie in (i) proposing nonparametric tests that are locally and asymptotically optimal against bivariate cosine von…

Clustered effects are often encountered in multiple hypothesis testing of spatial signals. In this paper, we propose a new method, termed \textit{two-dimensional spatial multiple testing} (2d-SMT) procedure, to control the false discovery…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-13 Linsui Deng , Kejun He , Xianyang Zhang

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) is a flexible prediction model/machine learning approach that has gained widespread popularity in recent years. As BART becomes more mainstream, there is an increased need for a paper that walks…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-18 Yaoyuan Vincent Tan , Jason Roy

We introduce probability estimation, a broadly applicable framework to certify randomness in a finite sequence of measurement results without assuming that these results are independent and identically distributed. Probability estimation…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-11-30 Yanbao Zhang , Emanuel Knill , Peter Bierhorst

We introduce a new approach for comparing the predictive accuracy of two nested models that bypasses the difficulties caused by the degeneracy of the asymptotic variance of forecast error loss differentials used in the construction of…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-17 Jean-Yves Pitarakis

We propose a novel method for testing serial independence of object-valued time series in metric spaces, which is more general than Euclidean or Hilbert spaces. The proposed method is fully nonparametric, free of tuning parameters, and can…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-31 Feiyu Jiang , Hanjia Gao , Xiaofeng Shao

We present a general framework for hypothesis testing on distributions of sets of individual examples. Sets may represent many common data sources such as groups of observations in time series, collections of words in text or a batch of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-03 Alexis Bellot , Mihaela van der Schaar
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