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Related papers: Synthetic Controls with Staggered Adoption

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Synthetic augmentation is increasingly used to mitigate data scarcity in financial machine learning, yet its statistical role remains poorly understood. We formalize synthetic augmentation as a modification of the effective training…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Mel Sohm , Charles Dezons , Sami Sellami , Oscar Ninou , Axel Pincon

Compensation for parameter dispersion is a significant challenge for control of inhomogeneous quantum ensembles. In this paper, we present a systematic methodology of sampling-based learning control (SLC) for simultaneously steering the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-04-15 Chunlin Chen , Daoyi Dong , Ruixing Long , Ian R. Petersen , Herschel A. Rabitz

Imbalanced classification and spurious correlation are common challenges in data science and machine learning. Both issues are linked to data imbalance, with certain groups of data samples significantly underrepresented, which in turn would…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Ryumei Nakada , Yichen Xu , Lexin Li , Linjun Zhang

In recent years, real-world external controls have grown in popularity as a tool to empower randomized placebo-controlled trials, particularly in rare diseases or cases where balanced randomization is unethical or impractical. However, as…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Chenyin Gao , Shu Yang , Mingyang Shan , Wenyu Ye , Ilya Lipkovich , Douglas Faries

Individualized treatment rules can lead to better health outcomes when patients have heterogeneous responses to treatment. Very few individualized treatment rule estimation methods are compatible with a multi-treatment observational study…

Randomized controlled trials are the gold standard for measuring causal effects. However, they are often not always feasible, and causal treatment effects must be estimated from observational data. Observational studies do not allow robust…

Data from both a randomized trial and an observational study are sometimes simultaneously available for evaluating the effect of an intervention. The randomized data typically allows for reliable estimation of average treatment effects but…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-01 David Cheng , Tianxi Cai

This paper studies inference in randomized controlled trials with covariate-adaptive randomization when there are multiple treatments. More specifically, we study inference about the average effect of one or more treatments relative to…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-21 Federico A. Bugni , Ivan A. Canay , Azeem M. Shaikh

In practical compressed sensing (CS), the obtained measurements typically necessitate quantization to a limited number of bits prior to transmission or storage. This nonlinear quantization process poses significant recovery challenges,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-09 Xiangming Meng , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

Synthetic control (SC) methods are widely used to estimate the effects of policy interventions, especially those targeting specific geographic regions, referred to as units. These methods construct a weighted combination of untreated units,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-04 Esteban Fernández-Morales , Arman Oganisian , Youjin Lee

Machine learning has emerged as a promising approach to path loss prediction, yet its effectiveness often degrades when measurement data are scarce. To address this limitation, we propose an ensemble-based machine learning framework that…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-26 Ahmed P. Mohamed , Byunghyun Lee , Yaguang Zhang , Christopher R. Anderson , David J. Love , James V. Krogmeier

Nested case-control (NCC) studies are a widely adopted design in epidemiology to investigate exposure-disease relationships. This paper examines weighted analyses in NCC studies, focusing on two prominent weighting methods: Kaplan-Meier…

Class imbalance is a substantial challenge in classifying many real-world cases. Synthetic over-sampling methods have been effective to improve the performance of classifiers for imbalance problems. However, most synthetic over-sampling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-11 Hadi A. Khorshidi , Uwe Aickelin

The STEP 1 randomized trial evaluated the effect of taking semaglutide vs placebo on body weight over a 68 week duration. As with any study evaluating an intervention delivered over a sustained period, non-adherence was observed. This was…

We propose a simple, statistically principled, and theoretically justified method to improve supervised learning when the training set is not representative, a situation known as covariate shift. We build upon a well-established methodology…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Maximilian Autenrieth , David A. van Dyk , Roberto Trotta , David C. Stenning

Policy researchers using synthetic control methods typically choose a donor pool in part by using policy domain expertise so the untreated units are most like the treated unit in the pre intervention period. This potentially leaves…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-29 Jared Amani Greathouse , Mani Bayani , Jason Coupet

This paper considers identifying and estimating causal effect parameters in a staggered treatment adoption setting -- that is, where a researcher has access to panel data and treatment timing varies across units. We consider the case where…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-08 Brantly Callaway , Emmanuel Selorm Tsyawo

There are many settings where researchers are interested in estimating average treatment effects and are willing to rely on the unconfoundedness assumption, which requires that the treatment assignment be as good as random conditional on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-02 Susan Athey , Guido W. Imbens , Stefan Wager

Stepped-wedge cluster randomised trials (SW-CRTs) increasingly evaluate complex interventions, yet methodological guidance for analysing composite endpoints using generalized pairwise comparisons (GPC)remains limited. This work investigates…

We consider the problem of efficient inference of the Average Treatment Effect in a sequential experiment where the policy governing the assignment of subjects to treatment or control can change over time. We first provide a central limit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 Thomas Cook , Alan Mishler , Aaditya Ramdas