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We study decision rule approximations for generic multi-stage robust linear optimization problems. We consider linear decision rules for the case when the objective coefficients, the recourse matrices, and the right-hand sides are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Guanglin Xu , Grani A. Hanasusanto

In this article we look at stochastic processes with uncertain parameters, and consider different ways in which information is obtained when carrying out observations. For example we focus on the case of a the random evolution of a traded…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-08 Will Hicks

This paper deals with the problem of formulating an adaptive Model Predictive Control strategy for constrained uncertain systems. We consider a linear system, in presence of bounded time varying additive uncertainty. The uncertainty is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-13 Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Xiaojing Zhang , Marko Tanaskovic , Francesco Borrelli

The energy system studies include a wide range of issues from short term (e.g. real-time, hourly, daily and weekly operating decisions) to long term horizons (e.g. planning or policy making). The decision making chain is fed by input…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-26 Alireza Soroudi , Turaj Amraee

The analysis of computer models can be aided by the construction of surrogate models, or emulators, that statistically model the numerical computer model. Increasingly, computer models are becoming stochastic, yielding different outputs…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-10 Evan Baker , Peter Challenor , Matt Eames

Reliability analysis is a sub-field of uncertainty quantification that assesses the probability of a system performing as intended under various uncertainties. Traditionally, this analysis relies on deterministic models, where experiments…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Anderson V. Pires , Maliki Moustapha , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

We study approaches to robust model-based design of experiments in the context of maximum-likelihood estimation. These approaches provide robustification of model-based methodologies for the design of optimal experiments by accounting for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-03 Anwesh Reddy Gottu Mukkula , Michal Mateáš , Miroslav Fikar , Radoslav Paulen

This paper considers risk-sensitive model predictive control for stochastic systems with a decision-dependent distribution. This class of systems is commonly found in human-robot interaction scenarios. We derive computationally tractable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-02 Renzi Wang , Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

Stochastic systems often exhibit multiple viable metastable states that are long-lived. Over very long timescales, fluctuations may push the system to transition between them, drastically changing its macroscopic configuration. In realistic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-04-14 Tobias Grafke , Alessandro Laio

We derive a stochastic gradient algorithm for semidefinite optimization using randomization techniques. The algorithm uses subsampling to reduce the computational cost of each iteration and the subsampling ratio explicitly controls…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-08-30 Alexandre d'Aspremont

In this work we introduce a new framework for performing temporal predictions in the presence of uncertainty. It is based on a simple idea of disentangling components of the future state which are predictable from those which are inherently…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-12-04 Mikael Henaff , Junbo Zhao , Yann LeCun

Ignoring uncertainty in combinatorial optimization leads to suboptimal decisions in practice. Nevertheless, the focus is often on deterministic combinatorial optimization problems, mainly because they are already challenging enough without…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Joost Berkhout

Uncertainty in optimization is often represented as stochastic parameters in the optimization model. In Predict-Then-Optimize approaches, predictions of a machine learning model are used as values for such parameters, effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Pieter Smet

Distributed decision-makers are modeled as players in a game with two levels. High level decisions concern the game environment and determine the willingness of the players to form a coalition (or group). Low level decisions involve the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Edward A. Billard

Mathematical programming formulations of influence diagrams can bridge the gap between representing and solving decision problems. However, they suffer from both modeling and computational limitations. Aiming to address modeling…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Olli Herrala , Tommi Ekholm , Fabricio Oliveira

We develop a quadratic regularization approach for the solution of high-dimensional multistage stochastic optimization problems characterized by a potentially large number of time periods/stages (e.g. hundreds), a high-dimensional resource…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Tsvetan Asamov , Warren B. Powell

In this paper, we introduce a new class of decision rules, referred to as Constant Depth Decision Rules (CDDRs), for multistage optimization under linear constraints with uncertainty-affected right-hand sides. We consider two uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Vincent Guigues , Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadi Nemirovski

Ordinal user-provided ratings across multiple items are frequently encountered in both scientific and commercial applications. Whilst recommender systems are known to do well on these type of data from a predictive point of view, their…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Sjoerd Hermes

We investigate multi-stage demand uncertainty for the multi-item multi-echelon capacitated lot sizing problem with setup carry-over. Considering a multi-stage decision framework helps to quantify the benefits of being able to adapt…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-28 Manuel Schlenkrich , Jean-François Cordeau , Sophie N. Parragh

Model Predictive Control is an extremely effective control method for systems with input and state constraints. Model Predictive Control performance heavily depends on the accuracy of the open-loop prediction. For systems with uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Francesco Micheli , John Lygeros