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Nonlinear systems with model uncertainty are often described by stochastic differential equations. Some techniques from random dynamical systems are discussed. They are relevant to better understanding of solution processes of stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-11-25 Jinqiao Duan

Multi-stage stochastic optimization lies at the core of decision-making under uncertainty. As the analytical solution is available only in exceptional cases, dynamic optimization aims to efficiently find approximations but often neglects…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Anna Timonina-Farkas

We study two-stage stochastic optimization problems with random recourse, where the adaptive decisions are multiplied with the uncertain parameters in both the objective function and the constraints. To mitigate the computational…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Xiangyi Fan , Grani A. Hanasusanto

Ellipsoidal tube-based model predictive control methods effectively account for the propagation of the reachable set, typically employing linear feedback policies. In contrast, scenario-based approaches offer more flexibility in the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-17 Moritz Heinlein , Florian Messerer , Moritz Diehl , Sergio Lucia

Model uncertainties and simulation uncertainties occur in mathematical modeling of multiscale complex systems, since some mechanisms or scales are not represented (i.e., "unresolved") due to lack in our understanding of these mechanisms or…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-11-25 Jinqiao Duan

Many real-world systems are characterized by stochastic dynamical rules where a complex network of interactions among individual elements probabilistically determines their state. Even with full knowledge of the network structure and of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-15 Filippo Radicchi , Claudio Castellano

A standard assumption in multistage stochastic programming is that decisions are made after observing the uncertainty from the prior stage. The resulting solutions can be difficult to implement in practice, as they leave practitioners…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Chengwenjian Wang , Alexander S. Estes , Jean-Philippe P. Richard

As net-load becomes less predictable there is a lot of pressure in changing decision models for power markets such that they account explicitly for future scenarios in making commitment decisions. This paper proposes to make commitment…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-21 Bita Analui , Anna Scaglione

Optimization under uncertainty deals with the problem of optimizing stochastic cost functions given some partial information on their inputs. These problems are extremely difficult to solve and yet pervade all areas of technological and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-13 Fabrizio Altarelli , Alfredo Braunstein , Abolfazl Ramezanpour , Riccardo Zecchina

Trajectory planning in urban automated driving is challenging because of the high uncertainty resulting from the unknown future motion of other traffic participants. Robust approaches guarantee safety, but tend to result in overly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-30 Tommaso Benciolini , Tim Brüdigam , Marion Leibold

Multistage stochastic programming provides a modeling framework for sequential decision-making problems that involve uncertainty. One typically overlooked aspect of this methodology is how uncertainty is incorporated into modeling.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Juyoung Wang , Mucahit Cevik , Merve Bodur

We introduce the class of multistage stochastic optimization problems with a random number of stages. For such problems, we show how to write dynamic programming equations and detail the Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming algorithm to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-18 Vincent Guigues

Multi-stage screening pipelines are ubiquitous throughout experimental and computational science. Much of the effort in developing screening pipelines focuses on improving generative methods or surrogate models in an attempt to make each…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-15 Kristofer G. Reyes , Jiaqian Liu , Carlos Juan Díaz Vargas

We present an anytime algorithm which computes policies for decision problems represented as multi-stage influence diagrams. Our algorithm constructs policies incrementally, starting from a policy which makes no use of the available…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Michael C. Horsch , David L. Poole

Two-stage stochastic programming is a popular framework for optimization under uncertainty, where decision variables are split between first-stage decisions, and second-stage (or recourse) decisions, with the latter being adjusted after…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-19 Antonio Alcántara , Carlos Ruiz , Calvin Tsay

We consider the optimization of an uncertain objective over continuous and multi-dimensional decision spaces in problems in which we are only provided with observational data. We propose a novel algorithmic framework that is tractable,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Dimitris Bertsimas , Christopher McCord

This paper presents a novel dynamic model for slug flow crystallizers that addresses the challenges of spatial distribution without backmixing or diffusion, potentially enabling advanced model-based control. The developed model can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-21 Collin R. Johnson , Stijn de Vries , Kerstin Wohlgemuth , Sergio Lucia

We propose a novel data-driven stochastic model predictive control framework for uncertain linear systems with noisy output measurements. Our approach leverages multi-step predictors to efficiently propagate uncertainty, ensuring chance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Haldun Balim , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Johannes Köhler

Multi-stage (designed) procedures, obtained by splitting the sampling budget suitably across stages, and designing the sampling at a particular stage based on information about the parameter obtained from previous stages, are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-08 Atul Mallik , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

Hyperparameter tuning is a challenging problem especially when the system itself involves uncertainty. Due to noisy function evaluations, optimization under uncertainty can be computationally expensive. In this paper, we present a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Akash Yadav , Ruda Zhang