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Models for extreme values are generally derived from limit results, which are meant to be good enough approximations when applied to finite samples. Depending on the speed of convergence of the process underlying the data, these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Thomas Lugrin , Anthony C. Davison , Jonathan A. Tawn

Continuous-time event sequences represent discrete events occurring in continuous time. Such sequences arise frequently in real-life. Usually we expect the sequences to follow some regular pattern over time. However, sometimes these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Siqi Liu , Milos Hauskrecht

A novel method for sequential outlier detection in non-stationary time series is proposed. The method tests the null hypothesis of ``no outlier'' at each time point, addressing the multiple testing problem by bounding the error probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-26 Florian Heinrichs , Patrick Bastian , Holger Dette

This study explores the impact of class outliers on the effectiveness of example-based explainability methods for black-box machine learning models. We reformulate existing explainability evaluation metrics, such as correctness and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-02 Ikhtiyor Nematov , Dimitris Sacharidis , Tomer Sagi , Katja Hose

The isolation forest algorithm for outlier detection exploits a simple yet effective observation: if taking some multivariate data and making uniformly random cuts across the feature space recursively, it will take fewer such random cuts…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 David Cortes

Discriminative learning effectively predicts true object class for image classification. However, it often results in false positives for outliers, posing critical concerns in applications like autonomous driving and video surveillance…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Masoud Taghikhah , Nishant Kumar , Siniša Šegvić , Abouzar Eslami , Stefan Gumhold

Outliers widely occur in big-data applications and may severely affect statistical estimation and inference. In this paper, a framework of outlier-resistant estimation is introduced to robustify an arbitrarily given loss function. It has a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-20 Yiyuan She , Zhifeng Wang , Jiahui Shen

Outlier or anomaly detection is an important task in data analysis. We discuss the problem from a geometrical perspective and provide a framework that exploits the metric structure of a data set. Our approach rests on the manifold…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-01 Moritz Herrmann , Florian Pfisterer , Fabian Scheipl

We look at optimal liability-driven portfolios in a family of fat-tailed and extremal risk measures, especially in the context of pension fund and insurance fixed cashflow liability profiles, but also those arising in derivatives books such…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-16 Jan Rosenzweig

Out-of-distribution detection (OOD) deals with anomalous input to neural networks. In the past, specialized methods have been proposed to reject predictions on anomalous input. Similarly, it was shown that feature extraction models in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Jan Diers , Christian Pigorsch

Anomalies in economic and financial data -- often linked to rare yet impactful events -- are of theoretical interest, but can also severely distort inference. Although outlier-robust methodologies can be used, many researchers prefer…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Monica Billio , Roberto Casarin , Fausto Corradin , Antonio Peruzzi

In a network meta-analysis, some of the collected studies may deviate markedly from the others, for example having very unusual effect sizes. These deviating studies can be regarded as outlying with respect to the rest of the network and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-11 Silvia Metelli , Dimitris Mavridis , Perrine Créquit , Anna Chaimani

In risk management, tail risks are of crucial importance. The quality of a tail model, which is determined by data from an unknown distribution, depends critically on the subset of data used to model the tail. Based on a suitably weighted…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Ingo Hoffmann , Christoph J. Börner

In recent years, there have been significant improvements in various forms of image outlier detection. However, outlier detection performance under adversarial settings lags far behind that in standard settings. This is due to the lack of…

Dynamic factor models have a wide range of applications in econometrics and applied economics. The basic motivation resides in their capability of reducing a large set of time series to only few indicators (factors). If the number of time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Roberto Baragona , Francesco Battaglia

We develop methods, based on extreme value theory, for analysing observations in the tails of longitudinal data, i.e., a data set consisting of a large number of short time series, which are typically irregularly and non-simultaneously…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-10 Jess Spearing , Jonathan Tawn , David Irons , Tim Paulden

Outlier is the term that indicates in statistics an anomalous observation, aberrant, clearly distant from others collected observations. The outliers are the subject to animated discussions in various contexts with regard to be or not to be…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-24 Gianluca Rosso

We study the fundamental task of outlier-robust mean estimation for heavy-tailed distributions in the presence of sparsity. Specifically, given a small number of corrupted samples from a high-dimensional heavy-tailed distribution whose mean…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-11-30 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Jasper C. H. Lee , Ankit Pensia

A collection of robust Mahalanobis distances for multivariate outlier detection is proposed, based on the notion of shrinkage. Robust intensity and scaling factors are optimally estimated to define the shrinkage. Some properties are…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-06 Elisa Cabana , Rosa E. Lillo , Henry Laniado

The goal of this paper is to investigate the tools of extreme value theory originally introduced for discrete time stationary stochastic processes (time series), namely the tail process and the tail measure, in the framework of continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-31 Philippe Soulier