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Outlier detection refers to the identification of rare items that are deviant from the general data distribution. Existing approaches suffer from high computational complexity, low predictive capability, and limited interpretability. As a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-04 Zheng Li , Yue Zhao , Nicola Botta , Cezar Ionescu , Xiyang Hu

The Copula is widely used to describe the relationship between the marginal distribution and joint distribution of random variables. The estimation of high-dimensional Copula is difficult, and most existing solutions rely either on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-02 Zhi Zeng , Ting Wang

We propose a novel framework that harnesses the power of generative artificial intelligence and copula-based modeling to address two critical challenges in multivariate time-series analysis: delivering accurate predictions and enabling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Nicholas A. Pearson , Francesca Zanello , Davide Russo , Luca Bortolussi , Francesca Cairoli

Practical anomaly detection requires applying numerous approaches due to the inherent difficulty of unsupervised learning. Direct comparison between complex or opaque anomaly detection algorithms is intractable; we instead propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-08 Matthew Davidow , David Matteson

Anomaly detection methods are widely used but often rely on ad hoc rules or strong assumptions, and they often focus on tail events, missing ``inlier'' anomalies that occur in low-density gaps between modes. We propose a unified framework…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-11 Rob J Hyndman , David T. Frazier

Analysing dependent risks is an important task for insurance companies. A dependency is reflected in the fact that information about one random variable provides information about the likely distribution of values of another random…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-22 Sen Hu , Adrian O'Hagan

Anomalies are strange data points; they usually represent an unusual occurrence. Anomaly detection is presented from the perspective of Wireless sensor networks. Different approaches have been taken in the past, as we will see, not only to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-30 Pelumi Oluwasanya

We propose a new copula model that can be used with replicated spatial data. Unlike the multivariate normal copula, the proposed copula is based on the assumption that a common factor exists and affects the joint dependence of all…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-08 Pavel Krupskii , Raphael Huser , Marc G. Genton

We propose a copula-based measure of asymmetry between the lower and upper tail probabilities of bivariate distributions. The proposed measure has a simple form and possesses some desirable properties as a measure of asymmetry. The limit of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-05 Shogo Kato , Toshinao Yoshiba , Shinto Eguchi

We propose a new copula model for replicated multivariate spatial data. Unlike classical models that assume multivariate normality of the data, the proposed copula is based on the assumption that some factors exist that affect the joint…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-12 Pavel Krupskii , Marc G. Genton

We propose a method that performs anomaly detection and localisation within heterogeneous data using a pairwise undirected mixed graphical model. The data are a mixture of categorical and quantitative variables, and the model is learned…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-21 Romain Laby , François Roueff , Alexandre Gramfort

We introduce a novel perspective by linking ordered probabilistic choice to copula theory, a mathematical framework for modeling dependencies in multivariate distributions. Each representation of ordered probabilistic choice behavior can be…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-10 Christopher P. Chambers , Yusufcan Masatlioglu , Kemal Yildiz

To disentangle the complex non-stationary dependence structure of precipitation extremes over the entire contiguous U.S., we propose a flexible local approach based on factor copula models. Our sub-asymptotic spatial modeling framework…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-26 Daniela Castro-Camilo , Raphaël Huser

Anomaly detection is a branch of data analysis and machine learning which aims at identifying observations that exhibit abnormal behaviour. Be it measurement errors, disease development, severe weather, production quality default(s) (items)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-11 Pavlo Mozharovskyi , Romain Valla

Detecting anomalies in large sets of observations is crucial in various applications, such as epidemiological studies, gene expression studies, and systems monitoring. We consider settings where the units of interest result in multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-22 Ivo V. Stoepker , Rui M. Castro , Ery Arias-Castro

This paper introduces a new methodology for detecting anomalies in time series data, with a primary application to monitoring the health of (micro-) services and cloud resources. The main novelty in our approach is that instead of modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-31 Fadhel Ayed , Lorenzo Stella , Tim Januschowski , Jan Gasthaus

In this article, a copula-based method for mixed regression models is proposed, where the conditional distribution of the response variable, given covariates, is modelled by a parametric family of continuous or discrete distributions, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-13 Pavel Krupskii , Bouchra R Nasri , Bruno N Remillard

Timely detection of abrupt anomalies is crucial for real-time monitoring and security of modern systems producing high-dimensional data. With this goal, we propose effective and scalable algorithms. Proposed algorithms are nonparametric as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Mehmet Necip Kurt , Yasin Yilmaz , Xiaodong Wang

Copula modeling consists in finding a probabilistic distribution, called copula, whereby its coupling with the marginal distributions of a set of random variables produces their joint distribution. The present work aims to use this…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-24 Pierre Nazé

Anomaly detection is a longstanding and active research area that has many applications in domains such as finance, security, and manufacturing. However, the efficiency and performance of anomaly detection algorithms are challenged by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Yang Cao , Haolong Xiang , Hang Zhang , Ye Zhu , Kai Ming Ting
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