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Accurate estimates of long-term risk probabilities and their gradients are critical for many stochastic safe control methods. However, computing such risk probabilities in real-time and in unseen or changing environments is challenging.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-20 Zhuoyuan Wang , Yorie Nakahira

The book develops the fundamental ideas of the famous Kac-Rice formula for vectorvalued random fields. This formula allows to compute the expectation and moments of the measure, and integrals with respect to this measure, of the sets of…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2022-05-19 Corinne Berzin , Alain Latour , José León

This paper develops several average-case reduction techniques to show new hardness results for three central high-dimensional statistics problems, implying a statistical-computational gap induced by robustness, a detection-recovery gap and…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2020-05-20 Matthew Brennan , Guy Bresler

Randomized iterative methods, such as the Kaczmarz method and its variants, have gained growing attention due to their simplicity and efficiency in solving large-scale linear systems. Meanwhile, absolute value equations (AVE) have attracted…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Jiaxin Xie , Hou-Duo Qi , Deren Han

We start with a rather detailed, general discussion of recent results of the replica approach to statistical mechanics of a single classical particle placed in a random $N (\gg 1)$-dimensional Gaussian landscape and confined by a…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-01-03 Yan V Fyodorov , Ian Williams

In covariance matrix estimation, one of the challenges lies in finding a suitable model and an efficient estimation method. Two commonly used modelling approaches in the literature involve imposing linear restrictions on the covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Piotr Zwiernik

We study the limiting distribution of critical points and extrema of random spherical harmonics, in the high energy limit. In particular, we first derive the density functions of extrema and saddles; we then provide analytic expressions for…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-01-09 Valentina Cammarota , Domenico Marinucci , Igor Wigman

We propose a new computational framework for the expected number of real roots of a stochastic function on a given interval. The classical Kac-Rice formula requires the joint density of the function and its derivative, which is often…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Xu Yi

A hierarchical Bayesian approach that permits simultaneous inference for the regression coefficient matrix and the error precision (inverse covariance) matrix in the multivariate linear model is proposed. Assuming a natural ordering of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Christina Zhao , Ding Xiang , Galin L. Jones , Adam J. Rothman

This paper aims to review the methodology behind the generalized linear models which are used in analyzing the actuarial situations instead of the ordinary multiple linear regression. We introduce how to assess the adequacy of the model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-09 Murwan H. M. A. Siddig

Parameter estimation connects mathematical models to real-world data and decision making across many scientific and industrial applications. Standard approaches such as maximum likelihood estimation and Markov chain Monte Carlo estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-06 Matthew J Simpson , James S Bennett , Alexander Johnston , Ruth E Baker

We propose $\nabla$-RANSAC, a generalized differentiable RANSAC that allows learning the entire randomized robust estimation pipeline. The proposed approach enables the use of relaxation techniques for estimating the gradients in the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-11 Tong Wei , Yash Patel , Alexander Shekhovtsov , Jiri Matas , Daniel Barath

We study the problem of identifying change points in high-dimensional generalized linear models, and propose an approach based on sample-weighted empirical risk minimization. Our method, Weighted ERM, encodes priors on the change points via…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Gabriel Arpino , Ramji Venkataramanan

A common measure of a function's complexity is the count of its stationary points. For complicated functions, this count grows exponentially with the volume and dimension of their domain. In practice, the count is averaged over a class of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-17 Jaron Kent-Dobias

Generalization bounds which assess the difference between the true risk and the empirical risk, have been studied extensively. However, to obtain bounds, current techniques use strict assumptions such as a uniformly bounded or a Lipschitz…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Itai Gat , Yossi Adi , Alexander Schwing , Tamir Hazan

Analytical, free of time consuming Monte Carlo simulations, framework for credit portfolio systematic risk metrics calculations is presented. Techniques are described that allow calculation of portfolio-level systematic risk measures…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-07-14 Mikhail Voropaev

The landscape of empirical risk has been widely studied in a series of machine learning problems, including low-rank matrix factorization, matrix sensing, matrix completion, and phase retrieval. In this work, we focus on the situation where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-04 Shuang Li , Gongguo Tang , Michael B. Wakin

Much of uncertainty quantification to date has focused on determining the effect of variables modeled probabilistically, and with a known distribution, on some physical or engineering system. We develop methods to obtain information on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Kamaljit Chowdhary , Paul Dupuis

A central question in risk analysis is to identify the factors that drive the system toward a specific hazardous outcome, such as the exceedance of a given threshold. When relying on numerical simulators, we propose to study the…

Finding the mean of the total number of stationary points for N-dimensional random Gaussian landscapes can be reduced to averaging the absolute value of characteristic polynomial of the corresponding Hessian. First such a reduction is…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Yan V Fyodorov