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How should one construct a portfolio from multiple mean-reverting assets? Should one add an asset to portfolio even if the asset has zero mean reversion? We consider a position management problem for an agent trading multiple mean-reverting…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-22 E. Boguslavskaya , M. Boguslavsky , D. Muravey

The problem of finding the optimal portfolio for investors is called the portfolio optimization problem. Such problem mainly concerns the expectation and variability of return (i.e., mean and variance). Although the variance would be the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-21 Kei Nakagawa , Shuhei Noma , Masaya Abe

In order to estimate the conditional risk of a portfolio's return, two strategies can be advocated. A multivariate strategy requires estimating a dynamic model for the vector of risk factors, which is often challenging, when at all…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-12 Christian Francq , Jean-Michel Zakoian

An intense research on financial market microstructure is presently in progress. Continuous time random walks (CTRWs) are general models capable to capture the small-scale properties that high frequency data series show. The use of CTRW…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Miquel Montero , Jaume Masoliver

This paper concerns a continuous time mean-variance (MV) portfolio selection problem in a jump-diffusion financial model with no-shorting trading constraint. The problem is reduced to two subproblems: solving a stochastic linear-quadratic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-07 Xiaomin Shi , Zuo Quan Xu

Although maximizing median and quantiles is intuitively appealing and has an axiomatic foundation, it is difficult to study the optimal portfolio strategy due to the discontinuity and time inconsistency in the objective function. We use the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-31 Xue Dong He , Zhaoli Jiang , Steven Kou

We study a continuous-time portfolio choice problem for an investor whose state-dependent preferences are determined by an exogenous factor that evolves as an It\^o diffusion process. Since risk attitudes at the end of the investment…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-25 Luca De Gennaro Aquino , Sascha Desmettre , Yevhen Havrylenko , Mogens Steffensen

We study the consistency of sample mean-variance portfolios of arbitrarily high dimension that are based on Bayesian or shrinkage estimation of the input parameters as well as weighted sampling. In an asymptotic setting where the number of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Francisco Rubio , Xavier Mestre , Daniel P. Palomar

In this article, inspired by Shi, et al. we investigate the optimal portfolio selection with one risk-free asset and one risky asset in a multiple period setting under cumulative prospect theory (CPT). Compared with their study, our novelty…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-26 Liurui Deng , Traian A. Pirvu

We study the problem of optimal long term portfolio selection with a view to beat a benchmark. Two kinds of objectives are considered. One concerns the probability of outperforming the benchmark and seeks either to minimise the decay rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

When considering a general system of equations describing the space-time evolution (flow) of one or several variables, the problem of the optimization over a finite period of time of a measure of the state variable at the final time is a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-04 D. P. G. Foures , C. P. Caulfield , P. J. Schmid

Under losses which are potentially heavy-tailed, we consider the task of minimizing sums of the loss mean and standard deviation, without trying to accurately estimate the variance. By modifying a technique for variance-free robust mean…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-12 Matthew J. Holland

We consider the problem of an agent who faces losses in continuous time over a finite time horizon and may choose to share some of these losses with a counterparty. The agent is uncertain about the true loss distribution and has multiple…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-13 Emma Kroell , Sebastian Jaimungal , Silvana M. Pesenti

Market timing is an investment technique that tries to continuously switch investment into assets forecast to have better returns. What is the likelihood of having a successful market timing strategy? With an emphasis on modeling…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-20 Guy Metcalfe

The optimization of large portfolios displays an inherent instability to estimation error. This poses a fundamental problem, because solutions that are not stable under sample fluctuations may look optimal for a given sample, but are, in…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-14 Susanne Still , Imre Kondor

In this paper, we consider a mean-reverting stochastic volatility equation with regime switching, and present some sufficient conditions for the existence of global positive solution, asymptotic boundedness in pth moment, positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-16 Yanling Zhu , Kai Wang , Yong Ren

We study a variance reduction strategy based on control variables for simulating the averaged macroscopic behavior of a stochastic slow-fast system. We assume that this averaged behavior can be written in terms of a few slow degrees of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-09-16 Ward Melis , Giovanni Samaey

We study the problem of active portfolio management where an investor aims to outperform a benchmark strategy's risk profile while not deviating too far from it. Specifically, an investor considers alternative strategies whose terminal…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Silvana Pesenti , Sebastian Jaimungal

Motivated by the current fears of a potentially stagflationary global economic environment, this paper uses new and recently introduced mathematical techniques to study multivariate time series pertaining to country inflation (CPI),…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-22 Nick James , Max Menzies , Kevin Chin

Markov switching models are often used to analyze financial returns because of their ability to capture frequently observed stylized facts. In this paper we consider a multivariate Student-t version of the model as a viable alternative to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-04 Mauro Bernardi , Antonello Maruotti , Lea Petrella