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Prediction algorithms that quantify the expected benefit of a given treatment conditional on patient characteristics can critically inform medical decisions. Quantifying the performance of treatment benefit prediction algorithms is an…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-17 Yuan Xia , Paul Gustafson , Mohsen Sadatsafavi

We adapt the gradient sampling algorithm to the local scoring algorithm to solve complex estimation problems based on an optimization of an objective function. This overcomes non-differentiability and non-smoothness of the objective…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-30 Marc-Olivier Boldi , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

Estimation of the intensity of a point process is considered within a nonparametric framework. The intensity measure is unknown and depends on covariates, possibly many more than the observed number of jumps. Only a single trajectory of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-20 Alessio Sancetta

Esports has emerged as a popular genre for players as well as spectators, supporting a global entertainment industry. Esports analytics has evolved to address the requirement for data-driven feedback, and is focused on cyber-athlete…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-11-20 Victoria Hodge , Sam Devlin , Nick Sephton , Florian Block , Anders Drachen , Peter Cowling

Scoring functions are used to evaluate and compare partially probabilistic forecasts. We investigate the use of rank-sum functions such as empirical Area Under the Curve (AUC), a widely-used measure of classification performance, as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Simon Byrne

Gradient boosting is a prediction method that iteratively combines weak learners to produce a complex and accurate model. From an optimization point of view, the learning procedure of gradient boosting mimics a gradient descent on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-30 Erwan Fouillen , Claire Boyer , Maxime Sangnier

This paper proposes a multiple-membership generalized linear mixed model for ranking college football teams using only their win/loss records. The model results in an intractable, high-dimensional integral due to the random effects…

Applications · Statistics 2014-04-01 Andrew T. Karl

Attention mechanisms have recently boosted performance on a range of NLP tasks. Because attention layers explicitly weight input components' representations, it is also often assumed that attention can be used to identify information that…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Sofia Serrano , Noah A. Smith

In the domain of Sport Analytics, Global Positioning Systems devices are intensively used as they permit to retrieve players' movements. Team sports' managers and coaches are interested on the relation between players' patterns of movements…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-08 Rodolfo Metulini

Now-a-days the amount of data stored in educational database increasing rapidly. These databases contain hidden information for improvement of students' performance. Educational data mining is used to study the data available in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-20 Surjeet Kumar Yadav , Saurabh Pal

Determining the value of basketball players through analyzing the players' behavior is important for the managers of modern basketball teams. However, conventional methods always utilize isolated statistical data, leading to ineffective and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-01-01 Xin Du , Weihong Cai , Jianquan Liu , Ding Yu , Kai Xu , Wei Li

Recently there has been a significant interest in learning disentangled representations, as they promise increased interpretability, generalization to unseen scenarios and faster learning on downstream tasks. In this paper, we investigate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Francesco Locatello , Gabriele Abbati , Tom Rainforth , Stefan Bauer , Bernhard Schölkopf , Olivier Bachem

Ranking a vector of alternatives on the basis of a series of paired comparisons is a relevant topic in many instances. A popular example is ranking contestants in sport tournaments. To this purpose, paired comparison models such as the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-15 Guido Masarotto , Cristiano Varin

This book chapter reviews some of the major principles associated with optimal strategy in basketball. In particular, we consider the principles of allocative efficiency (optimal allocation of shots between offensive options), dynamic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-18 Brian Skinner , Matthew Goldman

A burgeoning paradigm in algorithm design is the field of algorithms with predictions, in which algorithms can take advantage of a possibly-imperfect prediction of some aspect of the problem. While much work has focused on using predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Mikhail Khodak , Maria-Florina Balcan , Ameet Talwalkar , Sergei Vassilvitskii

Individual performance metrics are commonly used to compare players from different eras. However, such cross-era comparison is often biased due to significant changes in success factors underlying player achievement rates (e.g. performance…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-21 Alexander M. Petersen , Orion Penner

This paper develops metrics from a social network perspective that are directly translatable to the outcome of a basketball game. We extend a state-of-the-art multi-resolution stochastic process approach to modeling basketball by modeling…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-01 Fan Bu , Sonia Xu , Katherine Heller , Alexander Volfovsky

A recommender system generates personalized recommendations for a user by computing the preference score of items, sorting the items according to the score, and filtering top-K items with high scores. While sorting and ranking items are…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Hyunsung Lee , Yeongjae Jang , Jaekwang Kim , Honguk Woo

In this survey, we discuss several different types of gradient boosting algorithms and illustrate their mathematical frameworks in detail: 1. introduction of gradient boosting leads to 2. objective function optimization, 3. loss function…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-20 Zhiyuan He , Danchen Lin , Thomas Lau , Mike Wu

Binary classification involves predicting the label of an instance based on whether the model score for the positive class exceeds a threshold chosen based on the application requirements (e.g., maximizing recall for a precision bound).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Gundeep Arora , Srujana Merugu , Anoop Saladi , Rajeev Rastogi